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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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5/5 latest WON in this league! $$$ 澳超 悉尼FCvs纽喷气机

2023-04-29

比赛分析

澳超

已完赛

星期六2023-04-29 15:00

解读理由

Sydney FC VS Newcastle Jets

Sydney welcome Newcastle Jets for this Australian A-League round 26 clash at Sydney Football Stadium Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is, in fact, the last round of play before the Play Offs. My fans and I have done extremely well betting on this league that is of pretty low level by International standards – especially taking into account that Australia have done pretty well in international tournaments – they even made it to the Play Offs in the World Cup last in Qatar last year. Even so, football has increased in popularity and some teams have quite enthusiastic fans and a good atmosphere at the stadium nowadays! Most importantly, we have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here!Sydney currently occupy the 5th place in the standings with 35 points in the pocket. However, they have been unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) so far this season. They would have deserved 39.12 points. Furthermore, they have netted the ball 38 times so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is 44.41! Indeed, they have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game! Sydney have conceded 39 goals so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 35.88. The visitors have allowed many more goals - 43 to be precise. Their number of xGA is 47.02. Furthermore, defense has been leaky recently. Indeed they have conceded eight goals in their latest three games. Their defense lacks structure, individual skill and the defenders make too many stupid mistakes. The midfielders should have been more active in defending.. Their offense, too, has been disappointing this season. It has lacked speed, creativity and often passing accuracy near the opponent's goal as well. The structure has been okay in some games though., They have betted the ball just 30 goals so far in the A-League. Even the rock-bottom team, Macarthur, have scored more goals. The visitors' number of xG is 28.12. They are in 8th place in the standings with 29 to their account.

The top-6 teams make it to the Play Offs. Wellington Phoenix, currently in the 6th place, have grabbed 32 points and have a goal difference of 38:45. If teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. This means that in reality Newcastle Jets's hopes of playing in the Play Offs are not really there anymore.. They were not bad in their most recent game despite losing to the Central Coast Mariners at home 1-3. However, in this game they were still massively motivated.. However, their defense was, once again, too poor against quality opposition.. I expect Sydney's talented offensive players to score at least twice on Saturday. The visitors had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts as well as shots on goal (10-6). Newcastle Jets did generate more in xG. I do not believe they are 100% motivated in this game.. It is more probable that they will be very disappointed – perhaps even a little depressed.. Furthermore, I do trust their coach Papastamatis – he is an overrated guy in my view. Before the loss to Central Coast Mariners they did beat Macarthur 2-1 as very clear favorites according to the bookies – priced around 1.80 to win. I was, however, not impressed by this performance. Furthermore, on the eighth of this month they were humiliated by Brisbane Roar away from home. Indeed, the hosts, currently in 11th place in this league with a total of 12 clubs, cruised to a 3-0 win. Newcastle only recorded one shot on goal – the hosts' managed six. Brisbane also recorded many more goal attempts and massively more in xG – 2.54 – 0.33 to be precise. Sydney, on the other hand, have been in fine form lately. In their most recent game they beat Brisbane 2-0 away from home despite not being at their best. I also want to mention that Brisbane fought hard in front of their fans and played above their normal level. Before this they were amazingly strong- especially offensively – and crushed Perth Glory 4-1 in front of ecstatic home fans! They recorded a whopping 2+ scoring attempts and a stunning 4.57 in xG – Perth's xG was just 0.44. With the expected lineups the hosts are very clear favorites and the odds of around 1.65-1.70 are too high! The hosts will be welcoming back Diego Caballo into the squad as he has been cleared, and getting him minutes before the Play Offs is important. The visitors will be missing Brandon O'Neill and Carl Jenkinson for this game as both of them were sent off last weekend.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

事实上,这是附加赛之前的最后一轮比赛。我和我的球迷都很看好这个联赛,但按照国际标准来看,这个联赛的水平很低——尤其是考虑到澳大利亚在国际比赛中表现不错——他们甚至在去年的卡塔尔世界杯上进入了附加赛。尽管如此,足球已经越来越受欢迎,一些球队有相当热情的球迷和良好的气氛在体育场。最重要的是,我们还有另一个赚钱的赌博机会!悉尼目前以35分的积分排名第五。然而,本赛季到目前为止,他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面并不走运。他们应该得到39.12分。此外,迄今为止,他们有38次进球,但他们的预期进球(xG)是44.41!的确,他们在比赛的各个方面都比客队有优势!悉尼队目前丢了39个球,但他们的预期失球(xGA)是35.88个。客队丢了更多的球——准确地说是43个。xGA的值是47.02。此外,最近的防御也有漏洞。事实上,他们在最近的三场比赛中丢了8个球。他们的防守缺乏结构和个人技术,防守者犯了太多愚蠢的错误。中场应该更积极地防守。他们的进攻本赛季也令人失望。它缺乏速度、创造力,也经常在对手的球门附近传球准确。不过在一些游戏中,这种结构还是不错的。到目前为止,他们在a联赛中只进了30个球。就连排名垫底的麦克阿瑟队也进了更多的球。xG的参观人数是28.12人。他们在积分榜上排名第八,拥有29个席位。

前六名的队伍进入附加赛。目前排名第6的惠灵顿凤凰队拿到了32分,净胜球为38:45。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等,则得分差将成为决胜局。这意味着纽卡斯尔喷气机队进入附加赛的希望实际上已经不存在了。他们在最近的比赛中表现不错,尽管在主场1-3输给了中央海岸水手队。然而,在这款游戏中,他们仍然非常有动力。然而,面对高质量的对手,他们的防守再一次太差劲了。我希望悉尼的天才进攻球员在周六至少能进两球。客队的控球率为60%,进球次数和射正次数也更多(10比6)。纽卡斯尔喷气机队在xG中确实产生了更多。我不相信他们在这场比赛中有100%的积极性。更有可能的是,他们会非常失望,甚至有点沮丧。此外,我确实信任他们的教练帕帕斯塔马蒂斯——在我看来,他是一个被高估的人。在输给中央海岸水手队之前,他们确实以2比1击败了麦克阿瑟队,根据博彩公司的预测,他们的胜率在1.8美元左右。然而,我对他的表现并不满意。此外,本月8日,他们在客场被布里斯班咆哮队羞辱。事实上,东道主以3比0轻松取胜。目前,东道主共有12家俱乐部,在联赛中排名第11位。纽卡斯尔只有1次射门,而主队则有6次射门。布里斯班也记录了更多的进球尝试,准确地说,是在xG - 2.54 - 0.33。另一方面,悉尼队最近状态不错。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们客场2-0击败了布里斯班,尽管他们并没有处于最佳状态。我还想提一下,布里斯班在他们的球迷面前打得很努力,超出了他们的正常水平。在此之前,他们非常强大,尤其是在进攻端,并且在欣喜若狂的主场球迷面前4-1击败了珀斯荣耀队!他们的得分次数高达2+,xG值高达4.57,而珀斯的xG值仅为0.44。根据预期的阵容,东道主是非常明显的热门,赔率在1.65-1.70左右太高了!东道主将欢迎迭戈·卡巴洛回归,因为他已经康复,在附加赛之前让他上场是很重要的。客队将在本场比赛中失去奥尼尔和詹金森,因为他们在上周末都被罚下。

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