Metz VS Paris FC

Paris FC try to challenge Metz in this French Ligue 2 round 33 battle at Stade Saint-Symphorien very early Sunday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have done very well long-term betting on this league and here we have yet another very lucrative clash to make money betting on! Metz currently occupy the 3th place in the league table with 58 points in their pocket. However, they have been somewhat unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) so far this season. They would have deserved a total of 60.11 points. They are massively motivated here! The top2 teams are promoted to Ligue 1 for next season. Metz are just one point behind Bordeaux at the moment. Bordeaux are a very big club by Ligue 2 standards and are in fine form. This means that Metz need to go for all three points here! I believe they will increase the risk level late into the second half if the score is level to go for the win.

Metz have been very impressive offensively this season! Their offensive players are very good – both individually and tactically for this level. They have netted the ball a whopping 51 times in Ligue 2 so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is even slightly higher – 52.98. Furthermore, hosts have conceded 28 goals so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is lower – 25.43 to be precise. They have a substantial edge over the hosts in all areas of the game here! The home advantage is, on average, big in this league and this is the case here as well! Metz have lost just twice in front of their loud and demanding fans in Ligue 2 so far this season. Their score difference at home is 23:12. However, in terms of xPTS and xG they would have deserved even more points, goals and wins at home. The current odds of around 1.75-1.80 offered by the biggest, often relatively sharp bookies are definitely too high and are expected to be cut on Saturday! The probability of a home win with the expected lineups is 65%.

The visitors have nothing to play for left. They are in 9th place in the league table with a score difference of 39:40. They have grabbed 43 points so far. Their number of expected points is just 39.31. I have them in 13th place in my power rating that reflects the teams pure class.Furthermore, the hosts are clearly the bigger club in terms of players total market value according to a famous and well-respected German website, Transfermarkt.com. I also want to mention that Metx played in Ligue 1 last season. Indeed, they are a traditional team in France and have the potential to improve in all areas of the game – even late into the season. I trust their coach a lot. He is smart in terms of tactic and is also a great leader. Metz have been in awesome form lately – winning four of their latest five games in Ligue 2. Moreover, the last time they suffered a defeat was on the 7th of January (!) away from home against a very big team, Lyon. The hosts took a 2-1 win in this French Cup game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

京时间周日凌晨，法甲联赛第33轮，巴黎FC将在圣辛福里安球场迎战梅斯。我和我的球迷在这个联赛的长期投注中做得很好，现在我们又有一个非常有利可图的比赛来赚钱投注!梅斯目前以58分的成绩排在联赛第三位。然而，本赛季到目前为止，他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面有些不走运。他们应该得到60.11分。他们在这里干劲十足!排名前二的球队将在下个赛季升入法甲。梅斯目前只落后波尔多一分。按照法甲的标准，波尔多是一家非常大的俱乐部，而且状态很好。这意味着梅斯需要拿下这里的全部三分!我相信他们会在下半场后期增加风险，如果比分接近胜利的话。

梅斯本赛季在进攻端表现非常出色!他们的进攻球员非常出色——无论是个人还是战术上都是如此。到目前为止，他们在法甲联赛中取得了惊人的51次进球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)甚至略高，为52.98。此外，东道主到目前为止已经丢了28个球，但他们的预期失球(xGA)更低，准确地说是25.43个。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有很大的优势!平均来说，这个联盟的主场优势很大，这里也是如此!本赛季到目前为止，梅斯在法甲联赛中只在他们喧闹和苛刻的球迷面前输了两场。他们在主场的比分差距是23:12。然而，从积分和积分来看，他们理应在主场获得更多的积分、进球和胜利。目前最大的、通常相对敏锐的博彩公司提供的1.75-1.80左右的赔率肯定太高了，预计周六将被削减!根据预期阵容，主场获胜的概率是65%。

客队没有什么可玩的了。他们以39:40的比分差距排在联赛第9位。到目前为止，他们已经拿到了43分。他们的预期分数仅为39.31。我把他们排在第13位，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。此外，根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市值来看，东道主显然是更大的俱乐部。我还想提一下，梅克斯上赛季在法甲踢球。事实上，他们是法国的一支传统球队，在比赛的各个方面都有潜力提高——即使是在赛季后期。我非常信任他们的教练。他在战术上很聪明，也是一个伟大的领袖。梅斯最近状态很好，在最近的5场法甲比赛中赢了4场。此外，他们上一次遭遇失败是在1月7日客场对阵一支非常强大的球队里昂。东道主在这场法国杯比赛中以2比1获胜。