More than 70% wins in Bundesliga! 德甲 波鸿VS多特蒙德
2023-04-28
比赛分析
解读理由
On Friday night, one game in the German Bundesliga is going to happen as Bochum will host Dortmund Borussia. After 29 games, Bochum has 8 wins, 3 draws, 18 losses, a total of 27 points and 15th place while Dortmund has 19 wins, 3 draws, 7 losses, a total of 60 points and 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Dortmund is going to win.
Bochum is fighting to keep a place in the Bundesliga as they are 2 points above relegation playoffs and 3 points above relegation. It's not like Bochum has played well recently because they have lost the last 2 games. Interesting that both losses were at home in big scoring games - 1:5 against Wolfsburg and 2:3 against Stuttgart. At home, Bochum has lost 4 out of the last 5 games in Bundesliga. The only win was against RB Leipzig although opponents had an xG of 1.85 while Bochum had 1.10. Overall this season, Bochum has 6 wins and 1 draw in 14 home games, with a total of 21 goals scored and 29 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.45 goals at home this season (5th worst) and concede 1.72 (2nd worst).
Borussia hasn't won a Bundesliga title since 2012 but they have a great chance to do it this season as they are leading the championship. Dortmund has won 2 out of the last 3 games but they blew twice the lead against Stuttgart on the road although the opponents got the red card in the 39th minute. Dortmund has just 1 point in the last 3 road games but overall this season, they have 7 wins and 2 draws in 15 games, with a total of 24 goals scored and 26 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.92 goals on the road (2nd best) and concede 1.76.
Bochum will remain without Keven Schlotterbeck and Marko Johansson due to muscular issues, while Philipp Forster is a major doubt. Dortmund, meanwhile, appears to have lost Nico Schlotterbeck for the rest of the campaign after the defender suffered a tendon injury against Frankfurt. Teams have already met twice this season. Dortmund won the 1st matchup at home and it was followed by a win on the road in the German Cup game. When teams are playing in Bochum, Borussia has won 3 out of the last 4 times.
It is an important game for both teams but I'm confident that Dortmund is going to win. The title is very close to them so Dortmund can't afford to lose points and Bochum has struggled a lot in recent games.
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
周五晚上,德甲将有一场比赛,波鸿将主场迎战多特蒙德。29场比赛结束后,波鸿8胜3平18负,积27分,排名第15位;多特蒙德19胜3平7负,积60分,排名第1位。在这场比赛中,我预测多特蒙德会赢。
波鸿目前距离保级季后赛还有2分,距离保级还有3分,他们正在努力保住德甲的席位。波鸿最近打得并不好,因为他们最近输了两场比赛。有趣的是,这两场失利都是在主场的大比分比赛中——1:5输给沃尔夫斯堡,2:3输给斯图加特。在主场,波鸿在最近的5场德甲比赛中输掉了4场。唯一的胜利是对阵莱比锡RB,尽管对手的xG值为1.85,而波鸿的xG值为1.10。本赛季,波鸿在14场主场比赛中取得了6胜1平的成绩,进21球失29球。本赛季主场平均进球数为1.45球(倒数第5位),失球数为1.72球(倒数第2位)。
自2012年以来,俄罗斯还没有赢得过德甲冠军,但他们本赛季很有机会做到这一点,因为他们在积分榜上遥遥领先。多特蒙德在最近3场比赛中取得2胜,但他们在客场对阵斯图加特的比赛中两次失去领先优势,尽管对手在第39分钟吃到了红牌。多特蒙德在最近的3场客场比赛中只拿到1分,但在本赛季的15场比赛中,他们取得了7胜2平的成绩,进24球失26球。预计在客场比赛中,球队将取得1.92个进球(排名第二),失球1.76个。
由于肌肉问题,波鸿将失去施洛特贝克和约翰逊,而菲利普·福斯特则是最大的疑问。与此同时,多特蒙德在对阵法兰克福的比赛中跟腱受伤后,似乎失去了尼科·施洛特贝克(Nico Schlotterbeck)。两队本赛季已经相遇两次。多特蒙德在主场赢得了第一场比赛,随后在德国杯的客场比赛中取得了胜利。当球队在波鸿比赛时,俄罗斯队在过去的4次比赛中赢了3次。
这场比赛对两支球队都很重要,但我相信多特蒙德会赢。冠军离他们很近,所以多特蒙德不能丢分,波鸿在最近的比赛中表现得很糟糕。
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