Sepsi OSK Sfantul Gheorghe VS CFR Cluj

Sepsi and Cluj lock horns in this Romanian Cup semi-final battle at Stadionul Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe. Football fans and bettors can expect a good-level game here by Romanian standards. The Liga 1, where both teams play, is of mediocre level by European standards. My fans and I have won nine bets betting on this league! We have yet another great betting opportunity here! Both teams play in the Championship group that has a total of six clubs.Cluj are currently in second place in this group – Sepsi, on the other hand, occupy the six place after five rounds of football. The points calculation system in the Championship group is a bit confusing so let's take a look at the situation after the regular season.. Cluj are the reigning champions of Romania but finished the regular season in second place with 63 points in the pocket. This is one point less than Farul Constanta who topped the standings and have the biggest number of points also in the Championship Group. Cluj netted the ball 54 times in the regular season and allowed 28 goals. In my power ratings they are the best team in Romania and would earn more respect on the betting market also in this cup game. Their number of expected goals (xG) in the regular season was 57.11. Furthermore, they were unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) and would have deserved 66.65. Yes, it is true that this competition is not the main priority for Cluj this season and some squad rotation by their good coach would not be a surprise. Even so, they are the biggest club in Romania by financial resources and have a big number of very good players in the squad. Many younger players and those who have not been in the starting eleven regularly are surely very motivated to prove their skills. They also played in the UEFA Conference League Play Offs but were eventually beaten by a strong Italian team, Lazio, 1- on aggregate. Cluj challenged Lazio better than many football fans and analysts probably would have believed.. Sepsi, on the other hand, finished the regular season 6th place with 42 points to their account. They, too, were a little unlucky as their xPTS was 44.23.

Sepsi are now 13 points behind FCSB, currently in 3rd place, in the Championship Group which means their Liga 1 season is more or less over.. The team that finishes in third would have a chance to compete in the UEFA Conference League next season. Yes, Sepsi are probably the slightly more motivated team here. Even so, the current odds of around 2.15.- 2.20 on them to win are way too low! Indeed, I must disagree with the biggest, often somewhat smart bookmakers that offer the biggest betting limits. Even these bookies seem to make many mistakes with their odds in Romanian football! It is impossible to give an exact probability estimation here as there is uncertainty regarding the starting lineups – and how many minutes Cluj's best players will play even if they were to start the match but It is safe to say that that is match should be a balanced – more or less a coin toss (50-50%). Indeed the smart bet here is Cluj +0.5 goals! We must remember that it is quite possible that they will fail to win the Liga 1 – and for Cluj lifting trophies is always important.. According to a famous and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com Cluj are a much bigger club here. Indeed, their squad has a total market value of 28.50 million euros. Sepsi players are valued at just 14.01 million.The home advantage is substantial here but I believe it has still been given a little too much emphasis on the betting market.. Sepsi, in fact, lost their most recent game in front of their fans to Univ. Craiova 1-2 five days ago. Before this Cluj dominated them and Sepsi managed just one shot on goal! Cluj, the hosts in this game, recorded 11 shots on target and could easily have taken a more clear win! Cluj created a whopping 23 goal attempts – Sepsi's number was just five. Cluj also recorded many attacks and especially dangerous attacks -100-47. Furthermore, Sepsi have not beaten Cluj in any of the last three games between the two teams. Cluj lost to Farul Constanta 0-1 away from home three days ago and the hosts were slightly the better team and were also the favorites according to the bookies in this match. Cluj, however, did have their chances too – recording 11 goal attempts and it could easily have been a draw.. Farul Constanta played a very good game so this loss does not worry me at all. Before this defeat Cluj played 12 games without losing and have looked confident and well-organized on the pitch in most games this year.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在罗马尼亚杯半决赛中，塞普西和克鲁日在塞普西-斯凡图-格奥尔基球场交手。按照罗马尼亚的标准，球迷和投注者可以期待一场高水平的比赛。这两支球队都参加的西甲联赛，以欧洲的标准来看，处于中等水平。我和我的粉丝已经在这个联赛中赢了九次了!我们还有另一个绝佳的投注机会!两支球队都参加了英冠组，该组共有6个俱乐部。克鲁日目前在小组中排名第二，另一方面，经过五轮比赛后，塞普西占据了第六名。冠军小组的积分计算系统有点混乱，所以让我们来看看常规赛结束后的情况。克鲁日是罗马尼亚的卫冕冠军，但在常规赛中以63分排名第二。这比法拉尔·康斯坦塔少一分，后者在积分榜上排名第一，并且在冠军小组中拥有最多的积分。克鲁日在常规赛中进球54次，失28球。在我的实力评级中，他们是罗马尼亚最好的球队，在这场杯赛中，他们也会在博彩市场上赢得更多的尊重。他们在常规赛的预期进球数(xG)为57.11。此外，他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面运气不佳，应该得到66.65分。是的，这项比赛确实不是克鲁日本赛季的首要任务，他们的好教练的一些阵容轮换也不会令人惊讶。即便如此，他们在财政资源上是罗马尼亚最大的俱乐部，球队中有很多非常优秀的球员。许多年轻球员和那些没有经常进入首发11人的球员肯定非常有动力来证明他们的技术。他们也参加了欧洲联盟联赛附加赛，但最终被一支强大的意大利球队拉齐奥以总比分1- 1击败。克鲁日对拉齐奥的挑战比许多球迷和分析人士可能认为的要好。另一方面，Sepsi在常规赛中以42分排名第6。他们也有点不走运，因为他们的xPTS是44.23。

塞维利亚现在落后FCSB 13分，目前在英冠组排名第三，这意味着他们的西甲赛季或多或少已经结束了。获得第三名的球队将有机会在下赛季参加欧洲联盟联赛。是的，Sepsi可能是这里更有动力的球队。即便如此，目前的赔率在2.15左右。2.20赌他们赢的概率太低了!事实上，我必须反对那些最大的、往往有些聪明的博彩公司提供最大的投注限制。甚至这些博彩公司在罗马尼亚足球的赔率上似乎也犯了很多错误!我们不可能在这里给出一个准确的概率估计，因为首发阵容和克鲁日最好的球员在比赛开始后能打多少分钟是不确定的，但可以肯定的是，这场比赛应该是一场平衡的比赛——或多或少是一场掷硬币的比赛(50-50%)。事实上，明智的选择是克鲁日+0.5个进球!我们必须记住，他们很有可能无法赢得联赛冠军——对克鲁日来说，举起奖杯总是很重要的。根据德国一家著名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com，克鲁日是一家更大的俱乐部。事实上，这支球队的总市值为2850万欧元。Sepsi球员的身价仅为1401万美元。主场优势在这里是巨大的，但我认为它仍然有点过于强调博彩市场。事实上，5天前，Sepsi在球迷面前输给了克拉约瓦大学。在此之前，克鲁日控制了他们，塞普西只射门一次!克鲁日，本场比赛的东道主，记录了11次射正，本可以很容易地取得更明显的胜利!克鲁日创造了惊人的23次射门机会，而塞普西只有5次。克鲁日也记录了许多袭击，特别是危险的袭击-100-47。此外，塞普西在两队之间的最近三场比赛中没有击败克鲁日。克鲁日三天前在客场0-1输给了法鲁克-康斯坦塔，东道主稍强一些，而且根据博彩公司的预测，他们也是最受欢迎的球队。然而，克鲁日也有他们的机会，他们有11次进球尝试，很容易打成平局。康斯坦塔踢得很好，所以输球一点也不让我担心。在这场失利之前，克鲁日打了12场比赛没有输球，在今年的大多数比赛中，他们看起来都很自信，组织得很好。