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外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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A GREAT match to bet on! $$$

2023-04-26

比赛分析

瑞士超

已完赛

星期三2023-04-26 02:30

解读理由

Grasshoppers VS Young Boys


Grasshoppers host Young Boys for this Swiss Super League Two round 30 clash at Rodney Parade early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. Football fans and bettors ca expect a pretty high-level game by this league's standards here between these two good teams. The season in all big European leagues is soon coming to an end . The stakes for the visitors are hosts and the motivation factor has now become one of the key elements in profitable betting in many late season matches. For some things there is nothing left to play for. This is the case with Young Boys here. They will be the champions. The teams who finish first and second will qualify for the Champions League qualification next season – a great achievement for any Swiss team. Grasshoppers currently occupy the 4th place in this league with a total of just 10 teams and have 37 points to their account. However, they have been a little unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved just 38.09 points. Young Boys have a whopping 61 to their account – Luzern, in second place, have 42 points. Young Boys' number of xPTS is, however, just 56.12. The betting market - once again respects them way too much here. Yes, Young Boys will surely do their best but with the gigantic edge in motivation the hosts have a chance for a surprise here! 

Grasshoppers have great home fans who offer a massive boost for the players in this difficult game. The odds of around 1.50 offered by the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers – at the time of writing this analysis at least - are way too low. I expect the odds On Grasshoppers before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them. The recommended bet is the hosts with the +1.5 handicap option with a big chance of winning. They have a 46% chance of taking at least a point here, based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis. I would not be surprised to see the visitors' manager do some squad rotation here – offering a chance for some young, promising guys an opportunity to prove their skills! Young Boys have many such players in the squad. I want to highlight thet Young Boys have not been very strong on the road in this league so far this season. Indeed, they have not won any of their latest five games away from home! In their most recent away game they faced Basel as clear favorites according to the bookies – priced around 1.85 to win. It was, however, a balanced match. Basel had 51% ball possession and recorded more scoring attempts and shots on target. The expected goals numbers were 1.24-1.26. In their most recent game they beat Servette 6-1 at home but both teams recorded about the same number in xG. This result seems to affect the odds way too much here. Grasshoppers defeated Winterthur 2-1 away from home three days ago despite not being at their best.

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