Sturm Graz VS Red Bull Salzburg

Sturm Graz and RB Salzburg lock horns in this Austrian Bundesliga Championship Group round 26 battle at Merkur-Arena late Sunday evening Beijing time. This league is of mediocre quality by European standards. However, football fans and bettors can expect a pretty good-level and entertaining encounter here as these are the two best teams in the league. After the regular season – before the teams were divided into two groups last month – the other group being the relegation group – Salzburg topped the standings with 55 points to their account and had netted the ball 49 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) was just 44.23. They conceded just 13 goals. However, their defense was not quite as good as the 13 goals allowed would reflect as their expected number of goals allowed (xGA) was 16.12. There are, however, no clear weaknesses in their defense. Sturm Graz, too, have defended very well this season. Their defensive structure is very solid and even the strikers sometimes take part in defending – or putting pressure on the opponent’s defense. They allowed 15 goals during the regular season and their number of xGA was 16.78. Indeed, in this area of the game the visitors only have a minimal edge! Offensively the edge is not substantial either.. In the Championship Group the visitors have two more points than Graz in the bank. The stakes are high as both teams have a good chance of winning the championship!

With today’s expected lineups I see the visitors as the better team but only by a very thin margin. They are missing Fernando, Guindo, Kjaergaard, Okafor, Omoregie, Onguene, Sucic, Tijani and Van der Brempt. Gourna-Douath and Ulmer are questionable, As for the hosts only Jantscher and Wels are out. The atmosphere at Merkur-Arena is going to be awesome today and taking the substantial home advantage into account the hosts are definitely the favorites here. The fans offer a huge boost to Graz! The betting market seems to disagree – offering Salzburg odds of around 2.50 to take all three points.. Indeed, the recommended +0.5 handicap on the hosts is a lucrative betting option. Let’s also remember that Graz have beaten Salzburg in three of the four most recent matches between these two big teams. The hosts have been in much better form than the visitors recently. Indeed, they have won eight of their most recent 10 games! In their most recent game they took an easy and fully deserved win away from home against A. Klagenfurt 2-0. They recorded 3.12 in xG – the hosts managed just 0.67. Before this they were unlucky to lose to Lask, currently in 3rd place in the standings, 1-2 away from despite having more shots on goal, scoring attempts and attacks. Furthermore, they generated 1.98 in xG - Lask’s number was 1.62. Salzburg, on the other hand, have won just one of their latest five games! Their offense was lame in their most recent game and no goals were scored in Salzburg in a match against Lask. Before this their defense was, quite surprisingly, very leaky and it was a 3-3 draw at home against Austria Vienna who generated 2.34 in xG despite being priced around 9.00 to win by the bookies!

北京时间周日晚间，奥地利德甲冠军联赛第26轮在默库尔竞技场对决，格拉茨斯特姆和萨尔茨堡红牛将角逐。按照欧洲标准，这个联赛的质量很一般。然而，足球迷和投注者可以期待一场水平相当高且有趣的相遇，因为这是联盟中最好的两支球队。常规赛结束后——在上个月球队被分成两组之前——另一组是保级组——萨尔茨堡以 55 分高居积分榜榜首，并有 49 次进球。然而，他们的预期进球数 (xG) 仅为 44.23。他们只丢了 13 个球。然而，他们的防守并不像允许的 13 个进球所反映的那样好，因为他们的预期允许进球数 (xGA) 为 16.12。然而，他们的防守没有明显的弱点。格拉茨风暴本赛季的防守也非常出色。他们的防守结构非常稳固，甚至前锋有时参与防守——或对对手的防守施加压力。他们在常规赛期间丢了 15 个球，他们的预期进球数为 16.78。事实上，在这个领域，客队的优势微乎其微！进攻端的优势也不大。在冠军组中，客队比格拉茨多两分。指数很高，因为两支球队都有很大的机会赢得冠军！

根据今天的预期阵容，我认为客队是更好的球队，但差距很小。他们缺少费尔南多、金多、克亚尔加德、奥卡福、奥莫雷吉、翁格内、苏契奇、蒂贾尼和范德布伦普特。 Gourna-Douath 和 Ulmer 值得怀疑，至于主队，只有 Jantscher 和 Wels 出局。 Merkur-Arena 的气氛今天会很棒，考虑到主场的巨大优势，主队绝对是这里的最爱。球迷们为格拉茨提供了巨大的动力！市场似乎不同意 – 提供萨尔茨堡获得全部三分的指数约为 2.50。确实，建议的主队 +0.5 让分是有利可图的投注选项。我们还要记住，格拉茨在这两支大球队最近四场比赛中的三场比赛中都击败了萨尔茨堡。东道主最近的状态比客队好得多。事实上，他们最近 10 场比赛赢了 8 场！在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场以 2-0 轻而易举地战胜了克拉根福。他们在 xG 中记录了 3.12——东道主只管理了 0.67。在此之前，他们不幸输给了目前在积分榜上排名第3的拉斯克，尽管射门次数、射门次数和进攻次数都更多，但他们仍以1-2领先。此外，他们在预期进球中产生了 1.98 - Lask 的数字是 1.62。另一方面，萨尔茨堡在最近的五场比赛中只赢了一场！他们在最近一场比赛中的进攻很糟糕，在萨尔茨堡对阵拉斯克的比赛中没有进球。在此之前，他们的防守相当令人惊讶的是，非常漏洞，这是在主场 3-3 战平奥地利维也纳，后者预期进球 中产生了 2.34！