Annecy vs Rodez

Annecy host Rodez for this French Ligue 2 round 38 clash at Parc des Sports early Sunday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have done very well betting on this league where the bookies seem to make quite a few mistakes with their odds. We have yet another lucrative betting opportunity here! Stakes are high here as both teams still need points to secure their place in the league for next season. Indeed, four teams are relegated to Nacional in this league with a total of 20 clubs. Annecy currently occupy the 15th place in the standings with 36 points to their account. Laval, in the 17th place, are just five points behind.. They are one of the worst teams in this league in terms of offensive quality and have netted the ball just 32 times in this league so far this season. Their offense has a decent structure but it lacks speed, passing accuracy, creativity – and especially individual talent. In terms of expected goals (xG) they have been a little lucky as their xG is 30.09. Their defense is pretty leaky as they have allowed 42 goals so far. Their defenders make too many silly mistakes and the midfielders should take part in defending more actively.

The hosts have been in bad form lately and got crushed by Bastia in their most recent game. Bastia are not even a top-team in Ligue 2. Even so, they took a convincing 3-0 win after 61% ball possession. Furthermore, Bastia recorded many more goal attempts (14-3), shots on target (6-0), total passes, completed passes, attacks (126-68) as well as dangerous attacks. Annecy's offense was extremely lame and the players seemed to more or less give up the fight after the 2-0 goal. They are clearly low in confidence at the moment. Before this they were a little lucky to beat out-of-form Valenciennes at home as clear favorites according to the bookies. Even so, the visitors created more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks (126-68) as well as dangerous attacks. Annecy have won just one their latest seven games and are only marginal favorites here. On the betting market they are, however - at least at the tie of posting - clear favorites so the obvious bet for me and my fans is Rodez +0.5 goals! The goal expectancy is lower than the bookies think – the probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 65%. A draw would certainly surprise no one..

Annecy are the better team in all areas of the game here. They have 37 points in the pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 40.04. They, too, do not have a particularly good offense and have, in fact, netted the ball just 31 times but their number of xG is 35.12. Their edge in terms of defense is bigger as they have conceded 38 goals – but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 34.32. They have improved in this area recently allowing just one goal in their most recent three games! They are in much better form than the hosts but the home advantage must be given enough emphasis - this is why they are slim underdogs. Rodez have won five of their latest seven matches and I believe they will secure their place in Ligue 2 soon! A win here would help a lot but a point would not be bad at all and I expect them to be pretty defensive here - relying mainly on counter-attacks. This is something they are good at and Annecy can be vulnerable if on transitions. Rodex beat Laval 1-0 at home in their most recent game but were a little lame offensively - they can do better! However, they defended well and Laval only managed three shots on goal. The match overall was a pretty balanced one. Weirdly Laval were the favorites according to the bookies – yet another example of them underestimating Rodez!

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北京时间周日凌晨，法国第二联赛第38轮比赛在体育公园举行，阿纳西主场迎战罗德斯。我的球迷和我在这个联赛上的投注做得很好，博彩公司似乎在赔率上犯了不少错误。我们又有一个赚钱的赌博机会!赌注很高，因为两支球队仍然需要积分来确保他们下赛季在联赛中的位置。事实上，在这个联赛中，有四支球队被降级为国家队，总共有20个俱乐部。安纳西目前在积分榜上排名第15位，积36分。拉瓦尔排在第17位，只落后5分。就进攻质量而言，他们是联盟中最差的球队之一，本赛季到目前为止，他们在联盟中只有32次进球。他们的进攻结构不错，但缺乏速度、传球准确性、创造力，尤其是个人天赋。在预期进球(xG)方面，他们有点幸运，因为他们的xG是30.09。他们的防守漏洞百出，到目前为止他们已经丢了42个球。他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误，中场应该更积极地参与防守。

东道主最近状态不佳，在最近一场比赛中被巴斯蒂亚击败。巴斯蒂亚甚至不是法甲的顶级球队。即便如此，在控球率为61%的情况下，他们还是以3比0取得了令人信服的胜利。此外，巴斯蒂亚的进球次数(14胜3负)、射正次数(6胜0负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(126胜68负)以及危险进攻次数都更多。安纳西的进攻非常无力，球员们在2:0进球后似乎或多或少放弃了战斗。他们目前显然信心不足。在此之前，他们有点幸运地在主场击败了状态不佳的瓦伦西亚，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是明显的热门。即便如此，客队创造了更多的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数(126-68)以及危险进攻。安纳西在最近的七场比赛中只赢了一场，在这里也只是个小热门。然而，在博彩市场上，至少在发布的时候，他们是明显的热门，所以对我和我的球迷来说，显而易见的赌注是罗德斯+0.5个进球!预期进球比博彩公司认为的要低——打进2.5球以下的概率是65%。平局当然不会让人感到意外。

安纳西在比赛的各个方面都是更好的球队。他们现在有37分，但是他们的期望积分(xPTS)是40.04。他们也没有特别好的进攻，事实上，只有31次进球，但他们的xG数是35.12。他们在防守方面的优势更大，因为他们丢了38个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有34.32个。他们最近在这方面有了进步，最近三场比赛只丢了一个球!他们的状态比东道主好得多，但主场优势必须得到足够的重视——这就是为什么他们是微弱的劣势。罗德斯在最近的7场比赛中赢了5场，我相信他们很快就会保住法甲的位置!在这里赢一场会有很大帮助，但一分也不坏，我希望他们在这里有很强的防守能力——主要依靠反击。这是他们擅长的事情，如果过渡，Annecy可能会很脆弱。Rodex在最近的一场比赛中主场1-0击败了拉瓦尔，但是他们在进攻端表现得有点差劲——他们可以做得更好!然而，他们防守得很好，拉瓦尔只射门三次。这场比赛总体上是相当平衡的。奇怪的是，根据博彩公司的说法，拉瓦尔是最受欢迎的-这是他们低估罗德斯的又一个例子!