SJK vs Lahti

SJK welcome Lahti for this Finnish Veikkausliiga round 3 clash at OmaSp Stadion late Saturday evening Beijng time. This is my home country's first tier but unfortunately the level by European standards is somewhat low. However, Veikkausliiga has been improving in the recent 5 or so years.. My fans’ and my goal is to make a profit and for this purpose this league will surely be one of the best - especially in the summer when big European league are on a summer break and there are less lucrative betting opportunities. HJK Helsinki are the the best team in this league – by a wide margin at the moment but behind them the teams are expected to be more balanced than last season. In fact, HJK even made it to the UEFA Europa League group stage last season where they faced Bulgarian Ludogorets, AS Roma and Spanish Real Betis – these opponents were too good though. The teams in the Veikkausliiga have changed quite a lot for this season and even the best Finnish professional bettors and well-known and respected football journalist disagree in terms of power ratings quite significantly.. The bookies often over-react to the results of the first 1-10 rounds of Veikkausliiga - this should offer us very lucrative betting opportunities. In fact, we have one here! Let’s take a closer look..

Many teams have a pretty competitive starting eleven + 2-4 good substitutes but for some teams missing even one, not to mention more players can affect a lot! This is something the betting market often does not fully realize - at least in previous seasons. At the start of the Veikkausliiga season, however, most teams have a quite good situation in terms of injuries. However, in case of information on key players being injured surfaces only a few hours before the match starts odds can change a lot. I recommend my fans to avoid betting with abnormally big stakes just because the odds are much higher than the one I have mentioned on my analysis. There usually is, after all, a reason for big odds movements. SJK are a team that never quite seems to meet the usually pretty high expectations. They almost always have a pretty strong team on paper but there has often been a lot internal problems, coaches are easily sacked and the team spirit has also not been always great in the previous 4-5 season. Here in Finland SJK were almost like a bad joke last season as they, once, again started the season very badly but a strong second half of the season. Early season struggles in the past probably affect the odds too much here.. SJK have good financial resources and a cool stadium – by Finnish standard.

The home advantage in the Finnish Veikkausliiga is lower than in many other European football leagues but here it is bigger than on average in this league. Sunny weather and +15 degrees is expected for this match that starts 17:00 Finland time. People in the small city of Seinäjoki love their team and I expect a good number of fans at the stadium. Moreover, despite beating IFK Mariehamn last week 3-2 away from home Lahti are a bad team away from home! The trip from Lahti to Seinäjoki is a long and tiring one – some 5 hours by bus. SJK rich owner, Raimo Sarajärvi, loves his team despite all the disappointment and has once again invested quite a lot in players. I strongly believe this season well be much better than last season for SJK. The negative things mentioned before do not seem to be in issue according to my sources and observations. They also have a very good coach on Joaquin Gomez – the Spaniard has improved his skills but tactically and as a leader a lot during the past two years. I trust this guy more than many Finnish football journalists. The 3-2 away win in Mariehamn was a lucky one – I was not impressed by Lahti’s performance. They did have 51% ball possession but the hosts are at their best on counter attack and allowed Lahti to keep the ball for long periods of time. Even so, on the pitch IFK Mariehamn were the better team. They created 15 scoring attempts – Lahti had eight. Furthermore, the hosts recorded more shots on goal - 6-3 as well as more attacks. Before this they faced VPS away from home and no goals were scored in Vaasa. It was a pretty low-level battle and I can’t see a draw was unjustified as such but VPS were closer to winning with many more goal attempts (11-4). Lahti are in the 11th place in this league with a total of 12 clubs in my power ratings that reflects the teams’ pure class. This was also their position at the end last season and they were pretty close to being relegated to Ykkönen, the second tier. SJK, have a clear edge in all areas of the game here and have a 62% chance of taking all three points. They have no reported absentees in this game. Ovie Ejeheri, a loan, from Arsenal (!) has been very good on goal and I would not be surprised if VPS failed to score here. They are in the 4th place in my power rating at the moment

The visitors, in the other hand, have a worse situation: Lassi Järvenpää, Teemu Penninkangas Eemeli Virta, Pablo Andrade are out. I do not fullt trust their coach Mikko Mannila, especially in terms of tactics against a much very dangerous opponent. SJL have a pretty young and talented squad this season Niko Markkula and Mehmet Hetemaj have quit their careers. Star player Murilo has returned to Seinäjoki from HJK because of having some arguments with the coach, Toni Koskela. He is a moody person but super killed by Veikkausliiga standards and created some scoring chances with HJK last season against bigger clubs than HJK – in Champions League and Europa League qualification matches. Nicaraguan Jaime Moreno is a dangerous player and might well score here.. Other key players include for example Pyry Hannola, Diego Rojas ja Jake Dunwoody - all three are often undervalued in my opinion. SJK beat Haka, a team that finished 4th last season, 2-1 at home in their previous game after a mediocre performance. They can improve a lot from this level.. In the second round they played a high-level and defensive match against Honka in Myyrmäki, Vantaa. Honka were the better team though but let’s not forget that they are the second-best team in this league..

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周六晚，SJK在OmaSp体育场欢迎拉赫蒂参加与芬兰的联赛第三轮比赛。这是我祖国的第一梯队，但不幸的是，按照欧洲标准，这一水平有些低。然而，在最近5年左右的时间里，维克考斯利加一直在进步。我的球迷和我的目标是赚钱，为此，这个联赛肯定会成为最好的联赛之一——尤其是在夏天，欧洲各大联赛都在夏季休假，有利可图的赌博机会少了。赫尔辛基HJK是这个联赛中最好的球队——目前有很大的差距，但在他们之后，球队预计会比上赛季更加平衡。事实上，在上个赛季的欧联杯小组赛中，他们面对的是保加利亚的卢多戈雷特、罗马和西班牙的皇家贝蒂斯——尽管这些对手都太厉害了。本赛季，维考斯利加的球队发生了很大的变化，即使是最好的芬兰职业投注者和著名的受人尊敬的足球记者也不同意他们的实力排名。博彩公司经常对前1-10轮的比赛结果反应过度，这应该给我们提供非常有利可图的赌博机会。事实上，我们这里就有一个!让我们仔细看看……

许多球队都有很有竞争力的首发11人+ 2-4名优秀的替补，但对于一些球队来说，即使缺少一名球员，更不用说更多的球员也会影响很大!这是博彩市场通常没有完全意识到的——至少在前几个赛季是这样。然而，在新赛季开始的时候，大多数球队在伤病方面的情况都很好。然而，如果关键球员受伤的消息在比赛开始前几小时才出现，赔率可能会发生很大变化。我建议我的粉丝们避免以异常大的赌注下注，因为赔率比我在分析中提到的要高得多。毕竟，赔率的大幅变动通常是有原因的。SJK是一支似乎从来没有完全满足通常相当高的期望的球队。他们在纸面上几乎总是一支非常强大的球队，但经常有很多内部问题，教练很容易被解雇，在过去的4-5个赛季中，团队精神也不总是很好。在芬兰，SJK上赛季几乎就像一个糟糕的笑话，因为他们又一次在赛季开始时表现非常糟糕，但在赛季后半段表现强劲。过去赛季初的挣扎可能会对现在的赔率影响太大。SJK有很好的财政资源和一个很酷的体育场——按照芬兰的标准。

芬兰足球联赛的主场优势低于许多其他欧洲足球联赛，但这里的主场优势高于这个联赛的平均水平。这场比赛将于芬兰时间17:00开始，预计天气晴朗，气温为+15度。小城市Seinäjoki的人们热爱他们的球队，我希望在球场上会有很多球迷。此外，尽管上周在客场3-2击败了玛丽汉姆，但拉赫蒂在客场是一支糟糕的球队!从拉赫蒂到Seinäjoki是一个漫长而累人的旅程，乘公共汽车大约需要5个小时。SJK富有的老板，Raimo Sarajärvi，爱他的球队，尽管所有的失望，并再次投入了相当多的球员。我坚信这个赛季对SJK来说会比上赛季好得多。根据我的消息来源和观察，前面提到的负面事情似乎没有问题。他们也有一个很好的教练戈麦斯——西班牙人在过去的两年里提高了他的技术，战术和领导能力。比起许多芬兰足球记者，我更相信这家伙。客场3-2战胜玛丽汉姆是一场幸运的比赛——拉赫蒂的表现并没有给我留下深刻印象。他们确实有51%的控球率，但主队在反击上发挥得最好，让拉赫蒂长时间控球。即便如此，在球场上，IFK玛丽汉还是一支更好的球队。他们创造了15次得分机会，拉赫蒂有8次。此外，主队的射门次数更多——6比3，进攻次数也更多。在此之前，他们在客场面对VPS，在瓦萨没有进球。这是一场相当低级的比赛，我不认为平局是不合理的，但是VPS更接近胜利，有更多的进球尝试(11-4)。拉赫蒂在这个联赛中排名第11位，总共有12支俱乐部在我的力量评级中反映了球队的纯粹等级。这也是他们在上赛季末的位置，他们非常接近降级到Ykkönen，第二梯队。SJK，在游戏的所有领域都有明显的优势，并且有62%的机会获得所有三分。他们在这场比赛中没有报告缺席。从阿森纳租借过来的奥维·埃耶赫里(!)在进球方面表现非常出色，如果VPS在这里没有进球，我也不会感到惊讶。他们目前在我的能量评级中排名第四

另一方面，客队的情况更糟:拉西Järvenpää，特姆·潘宁坎加斯，伊梅里·维尔塔，帕布罗·安德拉德都出局了。我不完全信任他们的教练米科·曼尼拉，特别是在对付一个非常危险的对手的战术方面。本赛季SJL拥有一支年轻而有天赋的球队，马库拉和赫特马吉已经退出了他们的职业生涯。由于与主教练托尼·科斯凯拉发生了一些争执，明星球员穆里洛已经从hkk回到Seinäjoki。他是一个喜怒无常的人，但在维克考斯利加的标准下，他被超级杀死了，上赛季在冠军杯和欧联杯资格赛中，他为皇马创造了一些进球机会。尼加拉瓜的莫雷诺是个危险的球员，他很可能在这里进球。其他关键球员包括，例如，皮里·汉诺拉，迭戈·罗哈斯和杰克·邓伍迪-这三个人在我看来经常被低估。在上一场比赛中，SJK在主场以2比1击败了上赛季排名第四的哈卡队。他们可以在这个水平上提高很多。在第二轮，他们在Myyrmäki，万塔与洪卡进行了一场高水平的防守比赛。Honka是一支更好的球队，但别忘了他们是联盟第二好的球队。