In my opinion Espanyol have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Espanyol is in relegation zone, 4 points behind safe place. It's must win game for hosts, no doubt about that. I believe they have all required tools to do it.

Espanyol at home plays much better than their results can suggest. They scored 18 goals in 14 home matches, but according to the expected goals scored they should score 23.68. They conceded 25 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should 19. It's big difference. Espanyol best striker Joselu (12 goals in current season) loves to play against Cadiz as he scored 6 goals in 4 matches against them.

Cadiz scored only 9 goals in 14 away matches in La Liga. They conceded 21 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 29.73. They don't have any stability at the back and is really hard to trust them.

Espanyol won 10 of last 18 home league matches played at Friday and I see really good chances for them to improve that record today.

在我看来，西班牙人队在今天的比赛中很有机会拿下 3 分。

西班牙人队处于降级区，落后安全区4分。主队必须赢得比赛，这一点毫无疑问。我相信他们有能力做到这一点。

西班牙人队在主场的表现比他们的成绩展示的要好得多。他们在14场主场比赛中攻入18球，但按照预期进球数应该是23.68。他们丢了 25 个球，但根据预期的失球模型，他们应该丢 19 个球。这是很大的不同。西班牙人队最佳前锋何塞卢（本赛季12球）最喜欢对阵加的斯，4场比赛攻入6球。

加的斯在14个西甲客场比赛中只打进9球。他们丢了 21 个球，但根据预期的失球模型，他们应该丢 29.73 个球。他们在后方没有任何稳定性，真的很难相信他们。

西班牙人队在周五进行的最后 18 场主场联赛中赢了 10 场，我认为他们今天有机会延续这一记录。