In my opinion Milan have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up and get promotion into semifinals stage.

Milan have huge mental advantage before this game. This month both teams already played twice - Milan recorded two wins and even not conceded a single goal. What is even more impressive - guests won last 3 matches in a row at this stadium so for sure they coming here without any fear.

Milan in their history only two times failed to qualify into next round after win in opening match. On the other hand Napoli never go into next stage when lost first match.

For me is hard to see Napoli as so big favorite -they won only once in last 4 matches in all competitions. Currently they have problems with goalscoring - only one goal scored in those 4 matches. Best scorer Osimhen is available today, but is hard to expect amazing performance from him today. On the other hand Milan looks outstanding at the back - they not conceded a single goal in last 5 Champions League matches in a row.. They conceded only one goal in last 4 matches in all competitions. All key defensive players are ready to go today so I can imagine another stable performance at the back.

According to the ratings - central midfielder Kim and defensive midfielder Anguissa are top5 Napoli players in current season. Both are unavailable today. It's huge blow and should have really bad impact on their performance at the back. On the other hand Milan players are extremely dangerous, especially Rafael Leao - he is second-best dribbler in whole Champions League, only Vinicius Junior from Real Madrid have better stats. Leao scored 2 goals and recorded one assist in two April matches against Napoli.

On those circumstances Milan is able to score at least one goal and that should be enough to avoid loss because I dont' see more than one goal for Napoli today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，米兰有很大的机会在今天的比赛中避免输球，晋级半决赛。

米兰在这场比赛前有巨大的心理优势。本月两队已经交手两次——米兰取得两场胜利，甚至一球未失。更令人印象深刻的是，客人在这个球场连续赢了三场比赛，所以他们来这里肯定没有任何担心。

米兰历史上只有两次在首战获胜后未能晋级下一轮。另一方面，那不勒斯在第一场比赛失利后就永远无法进入下一阶段。

对我来说，那不勒斯是最受欢迎的球队，他们在最近4场比赛中只赢了一场。目前他们在进球方面存在问题——在这4场比赛中只进了一个球。最佳射手奥西蒙今天可以上场，但是很难期待他今天有惊人的表现。另一方面，米兰在后防线上表现出色——他们在过去的5场欧冠比赛中没有丢过一球。在最近4场比赛中，他们在各项赛事中只丢了1球。所有主要的防守球员今天都准备好了，所以我可以想象在后防线上又有一个稳定的表现。

根据收视率，中路中场金和防守型中场安圭萨是本赛季那不勒斯球员排名前五的球员。今天这两款都无法买到。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们在后场的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。另一方面，米兰球员非常危险，尤其是拉斐尔-莱奥，他是整个欧冠第二好的盘带球员，只有皇马的小维尼休斯有更好的数据。莱奥在4月对阵那不勒斯的两场比赛中打进2球，并有1次助攻。

在这种情况下，米兰至少能进一个球，这应该足以避免输球，因为我今天不会看到那不勒斯超过一个球。