Arges VS Chindia Targoviste

FC Arges welcome Chindia Targovitse for this Romanian Relegation Group round 4 clash at Stadionul Nicolae Dobrin in Pitesti late Monday evening Beijing time. My fans and I have done super well betting in this league and once again I have spotted a lucrative betting opportunity. This league is of mediocre level by European standards but as this is a relegation group match it will probably not offer very good entertainment. That does not, however, stop us from going for more profit! I expect a pretty defensive, perhaps even anxious game here.. The goal expectancy is even lower than the betting market estimates. Based on my mainly data-based, sophisticated analysis the probability for under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 72%. The probability for a draw is higher than on average in this league – 34%. This result would be enough to bring my fans and me profit. The stakes are high here as both teams are in great risk of being relegated. Teams who finish in 15th or 16th place in this group of 10 clubs total face this grim fate. Losing the game would be very bad for both teams as they will probably have approximately the same number of points at the end of the season – and are direct rivals. The teams who finish 13th or 14th will still have a chance to save their place in Liga 1. Arges are currently in the 15th place with 14 points to their account. The points calculation is a bit confusing in the Relegation Group so to make it easier to understand let's take a look at the points both teams grabbed during the regular season. The hosts number was 27 but their number of expected points (xPTS) was much bigger 31.16 - to be precise. The visitors managed to take a total of 32 points which was a little more than they would have deserved in terms of xPTS. Yes, with today's expected lineups they are the stronger team here – no denying that. They now have 19 points to their account in the Relegation Group – the host have 14 in the bank. However, the home advantage is pretty big in this league and must be given enough emphasis. The biggest, often somewhat smart bookies see the visitors as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.20.-2.30 and this is too low. I do not see a favorite at all in this game – it is a coin toss!

Both teams have been in horribly bad form lately – winning just one of their most recent five games. Arges have not even netted the ball at all in their latest three games. Indeed, in terms of offensive quality the visitors have a clear edge.. They scored several more goals than Arges during the regular season. Defensively there is not much between the two teams. Yes, Arges' offensde has lacked speed, creativity, structure and passing accuracy lately but they are still not as bad as the recent matches would reflect in this area of the game! The visitors are not great at scoring either and they, too, are low in confidence at the moment. They have scored twice in their most recent three games. In terms of players total market value according to a respected and famous German website the visitors are only marginally bigger. Their squad is valued at 9.8 million euros – Arges' number is 9.03 million. Both numbers are more or less correct in my view. The hosts were not bad in their most recent game away from home against Botosani as clear underdogs according to the bookies – priced around 5.00 to win. 1-0 was the final score but the ball possession was 53-47% and Arges did record seven scoring attempts. Botosani's number was 12. The visitors did, however, have more attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams recorded just two shots on target. Targovitse, on the other hand, were disappointing in their most recent match losing to Hermannstadt 1-2 at a neutral location. They looked pretty vulnerable defensively in this game.

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北京时间周一晚些时候，阿热斯欢迎钦迪亚·塔戈维茨参加罗马尼亚保级组第4轮的比赛。我和我的球迷在这个联赛中投注得非常好，我再一次发现了一个有利可图的投注机会。以欧洲标准来看，这个联赛水平一般，但由于这是一场保级小组赛，它可能不会提供很好的娱乐。然而，这并不妨碍我们追求更多的利润!我预计这将是一场相当防守，甚至是紧张的比赛。这一进球预期甚至低于博彩市场的预期。根据我主要基于数据的复杂分析，总进球数低于2.5个的概率为72%。平局的概率高于这个联赛的平均水平——34%。这个结果足以给我的粉丝和我带来利润。这两支球队都有降级的风险，所以风险很大。在这10家俱乐部中排名第15或第16位的球队将面临严峻的命运。输掉这场比赛对两支球队来说都是非常糟糕的，因为他们在赛季结束时可能会有大致相同的积分，而且是直接的竞争对手。排名第13或14位的球队仍有机会保住自己在西甲联赛中的位置。Arges目前以14分排名第15位。保级组的积分计算有点混乱，为了更容易理解，让我们来看看两支球队在常规赛中获得的积分。东道主的数字是27，但他们的期望点数(xPTS)要大得多，确切地说，是31.16。客队总共获得了32分，这比他们在xPTS方面应得的要多一些。是的，在今天的阵容中，他们是一支更强的球队，这是不可否认的。他们现在在降级组有19分，而主队有14分。然而，在这个联赛中，主场优势是相当大的，必须给予足够的重视。最大的，通常有点聪明的博彩公司认为游客是可靠的热门，提供2.20 -2.30左右的赔率，这太低了。在这个游戏中我没有看到一个最喜欢的人——这是一个抛硬币的游戏!

两支球队最近的状态都非常糟糕——最近五场比赛只赢了一场。在最近的三场比赛中，阿热斯连球都没有进过。事实上，客队在进攻质量方面有明显的优势。他们在常规赛中比阿热斯多进了几个球。在防守端，两队之间没有太大的差距。是的，阿热斯最近的进攻缺乏速度、创造力、组织和传球的准确性，但他们仍然没有最近比赛中在这方面表现得那么糟糕!客队也不擅长进球，他们现在也信心不足。他们在最近的三场比赛中梅开二度。从球员的总市场价值来看，根据一个著名的德国网站，访问者只是稍微多一点。他们的身价是980万欧元，而阿热斯的身价是903万欧元。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少都是正确的。根据博彩公司的说法，主队在最近客场对阵博托萨尼的比赛中表现不错，他们显然处于劣势——赢球的赔率在5.00左右。最终比分是1-0，但控球率是53-47%，阿热斯确实有7次得分尝试。博托萨尼的数字是12。然而，来访者确实有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。两队都只有两次射正。另一方面，塔戈维茨在最近的一场比赛中令人失望地在中立地点以1-2输给了赫尔曼施塔特。在这场比赛中，他们的防守看起来相当脆弱。