Hapoel Hadera VS Hapoel Kiryat Shmona

Hapeol Hadera welcome Kiryat Shmona for this Israeli Ligat Ha´al Relegation Group riund 29 clash at Netanya Stadium in Netanya early Sunday morning Beijing time. As most of my fans probably are aware of probably by now I never let the standings fool me.. Yesm Hapoel Hadera are higher up in the standings but with the expected lineups I see the visitors as the stronger team here! The hosts currently occupy the 7th place in the Relegation Group with 30 points to their account. However, their score difference tells a lot – it is bad. They have allowed 44 goals and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is even bigger - 46.09. Furthermore, they have netted the ball just 26 times in this league so far this season. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 26.34. They have won just one of their most recent eight games. Still the biggest, often somewhat smart bookmakers that offer the biggest betting limits see this match as a relatively balanced one! The visitors are offered odds of around 2.50 to take all three points. The hosts are almost certainly safe from relegation and have looked pretty lazy in some of their most recent matches. Some players seem to play at 90-95% of their best, trying to avoid injuries and not being too eager to make an extra effort to stop the opponent from scoring.

In their most recent match the hosts played a balanced match against Bnei Raina away from home – both teams earned a point through a 1-1 draw in this pretty low-level game. However, before this they were very disappointing and lost to Nez Ziona 1-2 at home as clear favorites on the betting market. Indeed, they were priced around 1.90 to win. Kiryat Shmona, on the other hand, have had a difficult season but have performed pretty well in their most recent fibe games losing just once. They desperately need the points here as they are in the 7th place in the group with 23 points to their account. They would have to topple Bnei Raina to save themselves from relegation Indeed, they have a big advantage in motivation here! Moreover, their number of xPTS is 30.12 and have a better goal difference than the hosts – 30:42. They have an edge over Hapoel Hadera in all areas of the game. In their most recent match they played well at home against a dangerous team Sakhnin but it was a 2-2 draw. The hosts had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (11-6) as well as attacks and dangerous attacks - 58-37. They have a 46% chance to win this game.