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芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Ykkönen continues, 2 top tips! 芬甲两场分享

2023-04-15

比赛分析

芬甲

已完赛

星期六2023-04-15 21:00

芬甲

已完赛

星期六2023-04-15 21:00

解读理由

First round of the Finnish Ykkönen continues today with interesting matches, in all of these the ones I have chosen are about 50% winners.

The winner of this league wins promotion to Premier League, and due to television rights and a few other financial changes getting promoted would mean a lot of money for the first time, and there will be a huge race and risks with player signings will be taken.

Currently the player budgets with all Ykkönen clubs are more or less the same, a few hundred thousand euros, except with KPV who have not published it at all.


芬甲的第一轮比赛今天继续进行,比赛很有趣,在所有这些比赛中,我选择的比赛大约有 50% 的获胜者。

这个联赛的冠军将升级到超级联赛,由于电视转播权和其他一些财务变化,首次获得升级将意味着很多钱,而且将会有非常激烈的争夺,并且会冒球员签约的风险. 目前所有芬甲俱乐部的球员预算都差不多,都是几十万欧元,除了 KPV 根本没有公布。

So the key to success is partly to avoid injuries, find a cheap player who turns into a goal-scorer and match winner, to introduce new players, to succeed with coaching, and partly to be lucky and get a positive spin of results to keep the working morale high.

Last night the league started with two surprise results when two promotion winners HIFK and Jaro both lost their games.

Back to today.

EIF v TPS.

Short distance, TPS always the biggest favorite to promote as they have the best squad with also former international players like Kasper Hämäkäinen, a big city and a traditional organization behind them in one of the biggest Finnish cities, Turku.

EIF are from a small town of Ekenäs, a swedish-speaking gem of a city, and they have had co-operation with IFK Mariehamn, they tend to sign their foreign signings very late to avoid paying for long term wages, and the result has been varied. Some have been really good, some not. EIF also tend to risk a lot with depth of the squad, there is not one, and the bench players are in a completely wrong level.

The one good thing one can say about EIF latest matches is that most of them are against decent teams, apart from the last one against a lower league club PK-35.


昨晚联赛以两个令人惊讶的结果开始,两位冠军争夺中 HIFK 和 Jaro 都输掉了比赛。

回到今天,TPS图尔库一直是最有希望晋级的球队,因为他们拥有最好的阵容,还有像 Kasper Hämäkäinen 这样的前国际球员,一个大城市和他们背后的传统组织,位于芬兰最大的城市之一图尔库。

EIF来自Ekenäs小镇,瑞典语城市的瑰宝,他们与IFK Mariehamn有过合作,他们往往很晚才签外援以避免支付长期工资,结果多种多样。有些真的很好,有些则不然。

EIF 也往往会随着球队的深度而冒险,主力和替补球员的水平完全不对。

关于 EIF 最近的比赛,可以说的一件好事,除了最后一场对阵低级别联赛俱乐部 PK-35 之外,大多数比赛都是像样的球队。

No major absentee worries reported and there is always a doubt with TPS who always also fail, but I like to oppose EIF here.


没有重要的缺席,TPS 总是有疑问,但是我还是看好TPS。

**

With JJK there is not much add to budget. They are the promoted club, the smallest, with least resources, and looking at the preseason and results there neither seems to be any ambition and they have struggled with teams from lower leagues. At the moment they look very weak. They have lost to Jaro and VPS by 0-3 and 4-0, and this is almost a similar challenge.

KPV to win this one easy.


对于 JJK,预算不会增加太多。他们是升班马,规模最小,资源最少,从季前赛和成绩来看,似乎都没有什么野心,与低级别联赛的球队较量。此刻他们看起来很虚弱。他们分别以0-3和4-0输给了Jaro和VPS,这几乎是一次类似的挑战。

KPV科高拉要拿下比赛轻而易举。

***

I also planned to hit JäPS away at Salo, but there has been some downward trend recently so it is not so attractive idea anymore. You can place an asian moneyline handicap bet for them, I do not see them losing.

Good luck!


我还计划在写Salo 击败 JäPS,但目前出现了一些下降趋势,所以不再那么吸引人了。我不认为他们会输。

祝好运!

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