I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements.

Odds on hosts slashed down by 0.20 from opening lines on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Maastricht for sure have much bigger motivation to win this game as they are in play off zone and for sure don't want to lose it. On the other hand Dordrecht plays for nothing till the end of the season.

Maastricht have really good mental advantage as they won first match of the season between both teams.

Hosts are very solid at home as they recorded 11 wins in 16 home league matches, on the other hand Dordrecht is poor on the road - they lost 10 of 16 away matches so far.

In addition to that Maastricht is in better form as they won 3 of last 4 matches. Dordrecht don't have a good period - 7 losses in last 9 league matches.

I understand market logic here, hosts have all required tools to win this game.