Lommel welcome Deinze for this Belgian Challenger Pro League Relegation Group round 7 clash at Stedelijk Sportstadion early Saturday morning Beijing time. I have spotted yet another interesting match to bet on in this league that the bookies do not seem to know very well.. The biggest, often pretty sharp bookies who accept the biggest bets offer the hosts odds of around 2.40 to send the visitors home empty-handed and we must take advantage of these odds! Based on my sophisticated, in-depth analysis the visitors deserve to be slim favorites here! As most of my fans probably are aware of by now I never let the standings fool me! Yes, Lommel have taken a few more points than the visitors so far. They currently top the Relegation group with 42 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 37.32. They have netted the ball 39 times in this league so far this season. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is just 35.11. Deinze, on the other hand, have grabbed a total of 40 points but their number of xPTS is 45.67. Their number of expected goals is 43.12 but the actual number is just 40. They have and edge in all areas of the game.

Deinze have been in better form than Lommel recently. Indeed, they seem to be very high on confidence at the moment. I trust their excellent and tactically smart coach too. They have won three games in a row and have lost just one of their latest six games. All we need is a draw here - with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap option. In their most recent match they beat St. Liege U23 2-1 away from home despite S. De Ridder being sent off in the fist half! The ball possession was almost 50-50% but Deinze recorded many more goal attempts (15-12) as well as shots on goal (6-4). Without the sending off I believe they would have won by several goals margin. Before this they they crushed the same opponent – this time at home – 5-0. It was a fine offensive performance! Deinze created 22 scoring attempts. They were priced around 1.70 on the betting market to win this game. The final score does flatter them but they still dominated the visitors on the pitch. Furthermore, on the 23rd of March they beat a dangerous team, Oostende, who play in the first tier, 3-1 in a friendly game. Lommel beat Virton five days ago 1-0 but before this they lost to the same opponent 1-2.