In my opinion Aston Villa have excellent chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Aston Villa have good mental advantage before this game because they won at home against Newcastle in last 3 seasons in a row with 6:0 goals balance.

Since Unai Emery came to the club, Aston Villa is second-best team in Premier League. In last 17 rounds only Arsenal made more points than hosts of today's match. They don't have any problems with goalscoring - Watkins is in great form (9 goals in last 11 matches). Everything clicking together - 4 wins in a row, in each game scored more than one goal and only one goal conceded in the process. In last round they won 2:0 at home against Nottingham and had only 0.25 expected goals conceded.

Newcastle in current season failed to win in 8 of 15 away matches. They conceded 12 goals on the road, but according to the expected goals scored model they should concede more than 18. In previous round they recorded 2:1 away win against Brentford, but that wasn't deserved at all as they had 2.52 expected goals conceded. In addition to that guests today are without best scorer Almiron and second-best assistant Saint-Maximine.

Aston Villa fly sky high at the moment, they have realistic chances to make European Cups at the end of the season. For sure players will give absolutely everything to win front of home crowd.

Hosts have all required tools to score at least one goal in this game and that should be enough to avoid loss because I don't see more than one goal for Newcastle.

Double chance on Aston Villa looks like superb option to play, no doubt about that.

在我看来，阿斯顿维拉很有机会在今天的比赛中至少拿下一分。

阿斯顿维拉在本场比赛前拥有不错的心理优势，因为他们在最近三个赛季的主场比赛中以6:0的总比分连续击败纽卡斯尔。

自从乌奈埃梅里来到俱乐部，阿斯顿维拉是英超第二好的球队。在过去的 17 轮比赛中，只有阿森纳比今天的东道主得分更多。他们在进球方面没有任何问题——沃特金斯状态很好（过去 11 场比赛打进 9 球）。球队取得了4连胜，每场比赛都进了一个以上的球，而且在这个过程中只丢了一个球。上轮主场2:0战胜诺丁汉，预期失球数仅为0.25个。

本赛季纽卡斯尔在15个客场比赛中有8场未能获胜。他们在客场丢了12个球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该丢了18个以上。上轮他们客场2:1战胜布伦特福德，但这根本不是合理的结果，因为他们有 2.52 个预期失球。除此之外，今天球队还缺少了最佳射手阿尔米隆和第二助攻手圣马克西姆。

阿斯顿维拉此刻状态火爆，他们有现实的机会在赛季末进入欧战的机会。可以肯定的是，球员们会竭尽全力为主场观众赢下比赛。

主队拥有在这场比赛中取胜的实力，这应该足以避免输球，因为我认为纽卡斯尔的进球不会超过一球。

毫无疑问，阿斯顿维拉不败看起来是极好的选择。