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Huge Europa League game! 欧联杯 勒沃库森VS圣吉联合

2023-04-13

比赛分析

欧罗巴

已完赛

星期五2023-04-14 03:00

解读理由

On Thursday night, 4 games are going to happen in the UEFA Europa League's round 8. One of the matches is going to happen in Germany where Bayer 04 is going to host Royale Union. For the 1st time in history, both teams are going to play against each other and I'm predicting that Bayer will win the 1st game.

In the previous round, Bayer performed very well against Ferencvaros as they won both games 2:0. Since the last Europa League game, Bayer has played 3 matches in the Bundesliga and they have performed well. On the road, Bayer was able to beat the worst team in Bundesliga Schalke (3:0) but at home, Bayer had 2 great wins. At first, they beat the best German team Bayern (2:1) and just a few days ago they beat the Champions League team Eintracht (3:1). In the Europa League per xG, Bayer is expected to score 1.46 goals at home and concede 1.02.

For the 2nd round in a row, Royale Union is going to play against a German team. The series against Berlin Union started on the road, and the 1st match ended with a 3:3 draw although Union had a much better xG (2.76 vs. 1.32). A week later, Royale Union crushed opponents at home by 3:0. Since the last game, USG has 2 wins against lower-level Belgium teams but drew on the road against Gent. Per xG, Royale Union is expected to score 1.43 goals on the road in the Europa League and concede 1.79.

While Royale Union has played well, I'm taking Bayer. Yes, the Belgium team has beaten Berlin Union three times this season but that team wasn't in the best shape when they met. We can't say this about Bayer which has 7 wins in a row and this streak will give a big confidence boost, especially after winning Bayern. Under Xabi Alonso, Bayer is flying, and the team has 2nd best xG in the Bundesliga which is a huge accomplishment. In the last 4 games, Bayer has scored 10 goals and conceded just 2 while USG has 8 goals scored and 3 conceded. While the difference isn't huge, the competition level is different.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四晚上,欧联杯第8轮将进行4场比赛。其中一场比赛将在德国举行,勒沃库森将主场迎战圣吉联合。这是历史上第一次,两支球队将对阵,我预测勒沃库森将赢得第一场比赛。

在上一轮比赛中,勒沃库森在对阵费伦瓦罗斯的比赛中表现出色,两场比赛都以2:0取胜。自从上一场欧联杯以来,勒沃库森已经在德甲踢了3场比赛,他们表现得很好。在客场,拜耳击败了德甲最差的球队沙尔克(3:0),但在主场,勒沃库森取得了两场伟大的胜利。起初,他们击败了最好的德国球队拜仁(2:1),就在几天前,他们击败了欧冠球队法兰克福(3:1)。在每xG的欧联杯中,勒沃库森预计在主场进1.46球,丢1.02球。

在连续第二轮比赛中,圣吉联合将对阵一支德国球队。与柏林联盟的系列赛在客场开始,第一场比赛以3:3的平局结束,尽管圣吉联合拥有更好的xG(2.76比1.32)。一周后,圣吉联合在主场以3:0大胜对手。自上一场比赛以来,圣吉联合在对阵低级别比利时的比赛中取得了2场胜利,但在客场与根特队战平。根据xG的数据,圣吉联合在欧联杯的客场进球数为1.43球,丢球数为1.79球。

虽然圣吉联合表现不错,但我选择了勒沃库森。是的,比利时队本赛季三次击败柏林联合队,但那支球队在相遇时状态不是最好的。我们不能对已经取得7连胜的勒沃库森这样说,这一连胜将极大地增强信心,尤其是在赢得拜仁之后。在哈维·阿隆索的带领下,勒沃库森正在腾飞,球队拥有德甲第二好的小将,这是一个巨大的成就。在过去的4场比赛中,勒沃库森进了10球,只丢了2球,而圣吉联合进了8球,丢了3球。虽然差别不大,但竞争水平不同。

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