What a battle in the Champions League we are going to have! AC Milan is going to host Napoli and this will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Napoli won the 1st game in Milan while last season's champs got revenge just a few days ago by crushing Napoli 4:0. To be fair, it must be said that this game should have been much closer because Napoli's xG was 1.26 while Milan had 2.14. In this game, I'm predicting that Napoli won't lose.

In the previous round, Milan scored just 1 goal but beat Tottenham and qualified for this round. Since the last Champions League game, Milan has played 4 times. Yes, they crushed Napoli but other results haven't been well - a draw at home versus Salernitana, a loss in Udinese, and a 0:0 draw at home versus Empoli. Per xG, Milan is expected to score 1.52 goals at home in the Champions League while is expected to concede 1.48.

Napoli is having a wonderful season. The team is leading the Serie A by 16 points and they will get the 1st title since 1990. Napoli had a great previous Champions League round as they beat Eintracht by 5:0 overall. Since the last game, Napoli not only lost to Milan but also crushed Torino on the road (4:0) and beat Lecce on the road (2:1). Napoli is a dominating force on the road. In Serie A, the team has more points on the road than at home and they have 13 wins and 1 draw in 15 road games and they have conceded just 8 goals. Per xG, Napoli is expected to score 2.62 goals on the road in the Champions League and concede 1.31.

Pierre Kalulu is expected to miss out on this game for Milan because of an injury. While Olivier Giroud is Milan's top Champions League scorer this term with four goals, Napoli has four men on the same tally as the French forward: Victor Osimhen, Piotr Zielinski, Giovanni Simeone and Giacomo Raspadori. At the same time, Osimhen won't be available while Simeone is a major doubt.

Napoli has won the last 8 road games and has scored at least 2 goals in each game. This show how dominant is this team and they should be very angry about their recent loss to Milan. If we look at the last 8 meetings, every time the match has ended with a visitor win or draw. I'm confident that this trend is going to continue because Napoli is a much better team and they should be in great positions to get into the final.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我们将在冠军联赛中进行一场多么激烈的战斗啊!AC米兰将主场迎战那不勒斯，这将是他们本赛季的第三次交锋。那不勒斯赢得了米兰的第一场比赛，而上个赛季的冠军就在几天前以4:0大胜那不勒斯。公平地说，这场比赛应该更接近，因为那不勒斯的xG是1.26，而米兰的xG是2.14。在这场比赛中，我预测那不勒斯不会输。

在上一轮中，米兰只进了1球，但却击败了热刺，获得了这轮的资格。自上一场欧冠比赛以来，米兰已经参加了4场比赛。是的，他们击败了那不勒斯，但其他结果并不好——主场战平萨勒尼塔纳，输球乌迪内斯，0:0战平恩波利。根据xG，米兰在欧冠主场的进球数预计为1.52球，丢球数预计为1.48球。

那不勒斯正在经历一个美妙的赛季。球队以16分的优势领先意甲联赛，他们将获得自1990年以来的第一个冠军。那不勒斯在上一轮欧冠中表现出色，他们以5:0的总比分击败了法兰克福。自上一场比赛以来，那不勒斯不仅输给了米兰，还在客场击败了都灵(4:0)，并在客场击败莱切(2:1)。那不勒斯是客场的统治力量。在意甲联赛中，球队客场得分高于主场，他们在15场客场比赛中取得了13胜1平的成绩，只丢了8球。根据xG的数据，那不勒斯在欧冠的客场进球数为2.62球，丢球数为1.31球。

卡鲁鲁因伤将缺席米兰的这场比赛。虽然奥利维尔·吉鲁是米兰本赛季欧冠进球最多的球员，他打进了4球，但那不勒斯有4人与法国前锋齐名:维克多·奥西蒙、彼得·齐林斯基、乔瓦尼·西蒙尼和贾科莫·拉斯帕多利。与此同时，奥西蒙将无法上场，而西蒙尼则是个大问题。

那不勒斯在过去的8场客场比赛中取得了胜利，并且每场比赛至少打入2球。这显示了这支球队的统治力，他们应该对最近输给米兰感到非常愤怒。如果我们看看最近8次交锋，每次比赛都以客队赢球或平局结束。我相信这种趋势会继续下去，因为那不勒斯是一支更好的球队，他们应该处于进入决赛的绝佳位置。