Almeria vs Valencia

Almeria welcome Valencia for this Spanish LaLiga round 28 clash at Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the second-best league on the planet after the English Premier League but football fans and us football bettors cannot, I am afraid, expect a particularly entertaining match here. Both teams are having a disappointing season and are clearly relatively low in self confidence. According to my sources neither team have a very good team spirit either.. I expect a pretty defensive, cautious – perhaps even anxious game here. I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does and the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 52%. Furthermore, the draw is more probable in my opinion than the bookies seem to estimate. The chance for this result is 31% and would be enough for my fans and me to extend the good record betting on this league. The stakes are high here as both teams are in an intense battle to avoid relegation to LaLiga2 for next season. I do not believe that any football journalist – and certainly not the betting market or myself would have guessed Valencia to be this weak this season.. Yes, they lost some key defensive players but the season has been a huge struggle for this traditional club! They have played some good games but on a bad day they can be abysmal. To sum up, they are a very erratic team!

Valencia have grabbed just 27 points so far and are in 17th place in the standings. Teams who finish 18-20th are relegated.. Valencia have netted the ball just 29 times in this league so far this season but would have deserved several more goals in terms of expected goals (xG). The hosts have scored 32 goals so far but Valencia do have a small edge in this area of the game. They have allowed 32 goals – the hosts have had quite a few defensive issues this season and have conceded 47 goals. Even so, I am not sure if Valencia have the skill, good enough offensive structure and confidence to break the hosts defense – especially more than once. In terms of expected points (xPTS) Valencia would have deserved more points than the actual 27 but the bookies seem to give massively too much emphasis on their potential.. The biggest, often pretty sharp bookies that offer the biggest betting limits offer the visitors odds of around 2.25 to win. This is way too low! Yes, they are the better team despite the hosts having the same number of points in the pocket.. However, the home advantage must be taken into account! Indeed, with today's expected lineups I do not see a favorite in this game so the obvious choice is a bet on the hosts! Almeria have now played two draws in a row – Valencia on the other hand took a point from Rayo Vallecano in their most recent game but before that they got crushed by Atletico Madrid in Madrid – 3-0 was the final score.

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阿尔梅里亚欢迎瓦伦西亚参加这场西甲第28轮比赛Mediterráneos北京时间周一凌晨。这是地球上仅次于英超联赛的第二大联赛，但我恐怕球迷和我们的足球投注者不能指望这里会有一场特别有趣的比赛。这两支球队都经历了一个令人失望的赛季，显然他们的自信心相对较低。根据我的消息来源，这两个团队也没有很好的团队精神。我期待着一场防守，谨慎，甚至是焦虑的比赛。我认为这场比赛比博彩市场的得分更低，总进球数低于2.5的概率是52%。此外，在我看来，平局的可能性比博彩公司估计的要大。这个结果的概率是31%，这足以让我的球迷和我继续在这个联赛中下注。这里的赌注很高，因为两支球队都在激烈的战斗中，以避免在下赛季降级为LaLiga2。我不相信任何足球记者，当然也不相信博彩市场和我自己会想到瓦伦西亚这个赛季会这么弱。是的，他们失去了一些关键的防守球员，但这个赛季对这支传统俱乐部来说是一场巨大的斗争!他们踢了一些不错的比赛，但在糟糕的一天，他们可能会糟透了。总而言之，他们是一支非常不稳定的球队!

瓦伦西亚到目前为止只拿到了27分，排在第17位。排名18-20的球队降级。本赛季到目前为止，瓦伦西亚在联赛中只进了29次球，但就预期进球而言，他们应该得到更多的进球(xG)。到目前为止，东道主已经打进32球，但瓦伦西亚在这方面确实有一点优势。他们丢了32个球——东道主本赛季有不少防守问题，丢了47个球。即便如此，我不确定瓦伦西亚是否有足够的技术，足够好的进攻结构和信心来打破东道主的防线——尤其是不止一次。在期望积分(xPTS)方面，瓦伦西亚应该得到比实际的27分更多的积分，但博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力。最大的，通常相当敏锐的博彩公司提供最大的投注限额，为游客提供2.25左右的获胜赔率。这太低了!是的，他们是更好的球队，尽管东道主在口袋里有相同的分数。然而，主场优势必须考虑在内!事实上，从今天的阵容来看，我看不出这场比赛的最佳阵容，所以最明显的选择就是押注东道主!阿尔梅里亚已经连续打了两场平局，另一方面，瓦伦西亚在最近的一场比赛中从巴列卡诺那里得到一分，但在那之前他们在马德里被马德里竞技击败，最终比分是3-0。