Real Valladolid VS Mallorca

Valladolid host Mallorca for this Spanish LaLiga round 28 clash at Estadio José Zorrilla Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-best league in the world after the Englis Premier League and football fans and us football bettors can expect a pretty good-level match here despite none of the two teams being among the top teams. Mallorca currently occupy the 12th place in the standings with a respectable 33 points to their account. In terms of expected points they would have deserved 35.87 points. They have an edge in all areas of the game over the hosts in all areas of the game. Mallorca play pretty defensive, sometimes even cautious football – especially away from home. Indeed, they lack some offensive power compared to other top-12 teams so the tactic they have applied is certainly the best way to maximise the number of points in the pocket. They have netted the ball just 22 times in this league so far this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is 26.01 – still not a great number though.. Vallidolid, on the other hand, have scored just 20 goals – this is the lowest number in this league with a total of 20 teams! I would not be at all surprised if they were to fail to break Mallorca's defense here even once. Indeed, the visitors' defense has been very solid this season - they have allowed just 27 goals – just three more than the mighty Real Madrid currently in second place! Mallorca's defense has a great structure, silly mistakes are very rare and even the midfielders – and sometimes even strikers - actively take part in defending especially if Mallorca are in the lead!

Valladolid's defense has been shaky this season and I do not see them having potential for improvement in this area of the game.. Their defense has no strengths at all – only weaknesses. Their defenders lack skill for this level and often give too risky passes and the defense often looks unorganized - even lazy as a whole. The midfielders should do more defensively if Valladolid want to cut the number of goals they allow per game.. They have conceded a whopping nine goals in their most recent two games! Furthermore, their number of goals allowed (xGA) is 53.12! Only Elche, clearly the worst team in this league, have a clearly weaker defense than Valladolid – the rock-bottom teams have allowed 57 goals. In their most recent match Valladolid lost 0-6 in Madrid after a shameful performance. Of course Real Madrid were big favorites in this game but it looked like Valladolid completely gave up the game at 2-0. Real recorded an incredible 5.65 in xG – Valladolid's number was 0.82. Before this they were very bad at home losing to Athletic Bilbao 1-3 at home after recording 1.06 in xG. Valladolid's defense was – once again – abysmal and the visitors created 2.98 in xG. Mallorca have not won a game lately but unlike the bookies seem to think are - based on my in-depth analysis - still slim favorites here to fly home with all three points! The home advantage is substantial in LaLiga and must be given enough emphasis. The visitors'' latest match was a typical one - a goalless draw. They did record a little more than Osasuna in xG though – 0.62-0.47 to be precise.

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巴利亚多利德主场迎战马洛卡的西甲第28轮比赛José北京时间周日晚上。这是世界上仅次于英超联赛的第二大联赛，球迷和美国足球投注者可以期待一场相当高水平的比赛，尽管两支球队都不是顶级球队。马洛卡目前以33分的优异成绩排在积分榜第12位。就预期得分而言，他们应该得到35.87分。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。马洛卡踢得很防守，有时甚至很谨慎——尤其是在客场。事实上，与其他12强球队相比，他们缺乏一些进攻能力，所以他们采用的战术肯定是最大限度地提高积分的最佳方式。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中只进了22个球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)是26.01个——尽管这仍然不是一个很大的数字。另一方面，瓦利多利德只进了20个球——这是联赛中20支球队中最少的进球!如果他们一次都没能攻破马略卡的防线，我一点也不惊讶。事实上，客队本赛季的防守非常稳固——他们只丢了27个球——只比目前排名第二的强大的皇家马德里多3个!马洛卡的防守结构很好，愚蠢的错误很少，甚至中场球员——有时甚至前锋——都积极参与防守，尤其是在马洛卡领先的情况下!

巴利亚多利德的防守本赛季一直不稳定，我看不出他们在这方面有提高的潜力。他们的防守毫无优势，只有弱点。他们的防守者缺乏这一级别的技术，经常传球风险太大，防守经常看起来没有组织，甚至整体上很懒。如果巴利亚多利德想要减少他们场均失球的数量，中场球员应该做更多的防守。他们在最近的两场比赛中丢了9个球!此外，他们的进球数(xGA)是53.12!只有埃尔切，显然是联赛中最差的球队，防守明显弱于巴利亚多利德——垫底的球队已经丢了57个球。在最近的一场比赛中，巴利亚多利德在马德里以0-6输掉了比赛。当然，皇马在这场比赛中是大热门，但看起来巴利亚多利德在2-0时完全放弃了比赛。皇马在xG中记录了令人难以置信的5.65 -巴拉多利德的数字是0.82。在此之前，他们在主场1-3输给了毕尔巴鄂竞技，xG成绩为1.06。巴利亚多利德的防守再一次糟糕透顶，客队在xG中创造了2.98分。马洛卡最近没有赢过一场比赛，但不像博彩公司认为的那样——基于我的深入分析——他们仍然有微弱的希望带着三分飞回家!在西甲联赛中，主场优势是巨大的，必须给予足够的重视。客队最近的一场比赛是一场典型的比赛——一场零进球的平局。他们在xG方面的记录确实比奥萨苏纳多一点——准确地说是0.62-0.47。