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2023-04-08

比赛分析

英超

已完赛

星期六2023-04-08 19:30

解读理由

On Saturday night, 8 games in the English Premier League will happen and the 1st match is going to be between Manchester United and Everton. After 28 games, United has 16 wins, 5 draws, 7 losses, a total of 53 points and 4th place while Everton has 6 wins, 9 draws, 14 losses, a total of 27 points and 16th place. In this game, I'm predicting that United is going to win.

Since the international break, United has played 2 games. A week ago, the team lost on the road to Newcastle United (0:2) but on Wednesday, they were able to beat Brentford at home by 1:0. Every game matters because Manchester is focusing on being in the TOP4 which will give a Champions League spot. While on the road they struggle a little bit, at home United plays very well as they haven't lost a single home game in all tournaments since September 8th! Overall this season, United has 10 wins and 3 draws in 14 home games, with a total of 25 goals scored and 8 conceded (the best). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.73 goals at home (7th best) and concede 1.34 (6th best).

Everton is fighting to keep a place in the Premier League. Lately, their performance has been good because they have 1 win and 3 draws in the last 4 games. Everton at home beat Brentford (1:0, opponents had much better xG though) and drew against Tottenham (opponents again had better xG) while on the road they drew versus Nottingham Forest and Chelsea (opponents had better xG). While recent results have been good, on the road they struggle because Everton has 4 draws and 8 losses in the last 12 road games. Overall this season, Everton has 1 win, 6 draws and 7 losses on the road, with a total of 10 goals scored (4th worst) and 24 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 0.93 goals on the road (3rd worst) and concede 1.85 (5th worst).

Casemiro will miss the final game while Luke Shaw left the last United game with a hamstring issue. As for Everton, they are going to be without Abdoulaye Doucoure who received a red card in the last game and he's probably the only absentee for Everton if we take out other long-term injuries.

Teams have already met 2 times this season. In Liverpool, United got a 2:1 victory but in January teams met in Manchester during the FA Cup game, and United was able to win 3:1. The last time when Everton won in Manchester was in 2013. While Everton can bite United, Manchester is a much better team and it is very hard to play in Old Trafford this season. I'm expecting United to get a win and keep fighting for TOP4.


周六晚上,英超联赛将进行 8 场比赛,第 1 场比赛将在曼联和埃弗顿之间进行。28轮过后,曼联16胜5平7负积53分排名第4,埃弗顿6胜9平14负积27分排名第16。在这场比赛中,我预测曼联会赢。

自国际比赛日以来,曼联打了 2 场比赛。一周前,球队客场0:2负于纽卡斯尔联队,但在周三,他们在主场1:0击败布伦特福德。每场比赛都很重要,因为曼彻斯特正专注于进入前四,这将获得冠军联赛席位。虽然在客场他们有点挣扎,但在主场曼联表现非常好,自 9 月 8 日以来,他们在所有锦标赛中没有输过一场主场比赛!整体本赛季,曼联14个主场10胜3平,共打进25球失8球(最佳)。平均预期进球,球队有望得分主场 1.73 个进球(第 7 名),失球 1.34 个(第 6 名)。

埃弗顿正在努力保住英超联赛的一席之地。最近,他们的表现不错,最近4场比赛1胜3平。埃弗顿在主场击败布伦特福德(1:0,尽管对手的 xG 更好)并战平托特纳姆(对手再次拥有更好的 xG),而在客场他们打平了诺丁汉森林和切尔西(对手拥有更好的 xG)。虽然最近的成绩不错,但他们在客场表现不佳,因为埃弗顿在过去的 12 场客场比赛中 4 平 8 负。本赛季埃弗顿客场1胜6平7负,总计打进10球(倒数第4)失24球。预期进球,球队预计客场进球数为 0.93(倒数第 3),失球数为 1.85(倒数第 5)。

卡塞米罗将缺席最后一场比赛,而卢克肖则因腿筋问题离开了上一场曼联比赛。至于埃弗顿,他们将失去 Abdoulaye Doucoure,他被红牌罚下在上一场比赛中,如果我们排除其他长期伤病,他可能是埃弗顿唯一缺席的人。

两队本赛季已经交手 2 次。在利物浦,曼联以 2:1 获胜,但在一月份的足总杯比赛中,两队在曼彻斯特相遇,曼联以 3:1 获胜。埃弗顿上一次在曼彻斯特取胜是在2013年。虽然埃弗顿可以咬住曼联,但曼彻斯特是一支更好的球队,本赛季在老特拉福德踢球非常困难。我期待曼联能够取得胜利并继续为前四而战。

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