On Friday night, 3 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen and one of the matches is going to be between Lecce and Napoli. After 28 games, Lecce has 6 wins, 9 draws, 13 losses, a total of 27 points and the 16th place while Napoli has 23 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses, a total of 71 points and 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Napoli is going to win.

Lecce is 8 points above the relegation zone but they can't feel safe about their place in Serie A. In the last 5 games, the team hasn't scored a single goal and has lost all games. It's not like they have played all games against the best teams because their opponents also have been teams like Sassuolo (12th), Torino (10th) and Empoli (14th). Lecce struggles a lot at home because they have won just one home game in 2023 and have 2 points this year (draws against Milan and Roma though). Overall this season, Lecce has 2 wins and 6 draws in 13 home games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.10 goals at home (3rd worst) and concede 1.48 (6th worst).

Napoli is at the top of the standings and probably is going to win it all. The last game wasn't the best because Napoli was crushed by Milan - 0:4. At the same time, the difference shouldn't have been so big because Napoli's xG was 1.26 while the opponents had 2.14. This year Napoli has lost only 3 Serie A games against Inter, Milan and Lazio (all TOP4 teams) and lost to Cremonese in the cup game. Napoli is a dangerous force on the road with 12 wins and 1 draw in 14 games, with a total of 31 goals scored (the best) and 7 conceded (tied for the best). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.97 goals on the road (2nd best) and concede 1.16 (the best).

Marin Pongracic and Kastriot Dermaku are out for Lecce due to injuries while Alexis Blin must now serve a suspension due to accumulated bookings. As for Napoli, they are going to be without their best scorer Victor Osimhen and Mathias Olivera won't be available as well. The 1st meeting of the season ended 1:1 but Napoli had an xG of 1.77 while Lecce had 1.07.

At this stage of the season, these are 2 different teams. Napoli has a Champions League game next week and they want' to go to Milan in a good mood so I'm expecting a win today. Lecce has its problems on offense and against such a good defensive team as Napoli it will be very hard to score. Napoli will be angry about their 0:4 loss to Milan and could crush the home team.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

周五晚上，意甲将有三场比赛，其中一场是莱切和那不勒斯。28场比赛过后，莱切6胜9平13负，积27分，排名第16;那不勒斯23胜2平3负，积71分，排名第1。在这场比赛中，我预测那不勒斯会赢。

莱切比降级区高出8分，但他们对自己在意甲的位置感到不安。在过去的5场比赛中，球队一球未进，并且输掉了所有比赛。他们并不是所有的比赛都对阵最好的球队，因为他们的对手也有萨索洛(第12名)，都灵(第10名)和恩波利(第14名)。莱切在主场非常艰难，因为他们在2023年只赢了一场主场比赛，今年只积了2分(不过与米兰和罗马战平)。本赛季，莱切在13个主场比赛中取得2胜6平的成绩，共进13球失17球。根据xG，球队预计在主场进1.10球(倒数第三)，丢1.48球(倒数第六)。

那不勒斯在积分榜上排名第一，很可能会赢得所有冠军。上一场比赛不是最好的，因为那不勒斯被米兰0:4击败。与此同时，由于那不勒斯的xG为1.26，而对手的xG为2.14，所以差距不应该这么大。今年那不勒斯只输掉了3场意甲比赛，对阵国米、米兰和拉齐奥(都是排名前四的球队)，并在杯赛中输给了克雷莫纳斯。那不勒斯在客场是一支危险的力量，14场比赛12胜1平，共进31球(最好)，丢7球(并列最好)。根据xG，这支球队预计在客场打进1.97球(第二好)，丢1.16球(最好)。

蓬格拉西奇和德马库因为伤病缺席了莱切的比赛，而布林因为累积的黄牌必须停赛。至于那不勒斯，他们将失去他们最好的得分手维克多·奥西蒙和马蒂亚斯·奥利维拉。本赛季第一次交锋以1:1结束，但那不勒斯的xG为1.77，莱切为1.07。

在赛季的这个阶段，这是两支不同的球队。那不勒斯下周有一场欧冠比赛，他们想带着好心情去米兰，所以我期待着今天的胜利。莱切在进攻上存在问题，面对那不勒斯这样一支防守很好的球队，想要进球是非常困难的。那不勒斯将会对0:4输给米兰感到愤怒，可能会碾压主队。