In my opinion West Ham have bigger chances to avoid loss than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

West Ham will give absolutely everything to avoid loss here because they are just above relegation zone. They plays better than their position in table can suggest. According to the expected goals scored model they should score 36.3 goals (they scored only 25). According to the expected goals conceded model they have fourth-best defensive formation in whole league (only 3 teams have lower expected goals conceded number).

West Ham currently looks very good at home as they went unbeaten in 5 construction home league matches. Newcastle is not top team on the road, no doubt about that - they failed to win in 8 of 13 away league matches.

West Ham didn't lost in last 3 Premier League matches against Newcastle and I believe they have all required tools to avoid loss also today.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，西汉姆避免输球的几率比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。

西汉姆联队会竭尽全力避免在这里输球，因为他们刚刚在降级区之上。他们发挥得比他们在积分榜上的位置要好。根据预期进球模型，他们应该进36.3个球(他们只进了25个)。根据预期失球模型，他们的防守阵型在整个联赛中排名第四(只有3支球队的预期失球数低于他们)。

西汉姆联目前在主场看起来非常不错，因为他们在5场主场联赛中保持不败。纽卡斯尔在客场并不是最好的球队，这是毫无疑问的——他们在13场客场比赛中有8场没有赢球。

西汉姆联在最近3场对阵纽卡斯尔的比赛中都没有输球，我相信他们今天也有能力避免输球。