Who will qualify to the final? 国王杯晋级决赛?
2023-04-04
比赛分析
解读理由
Disagree with this odds.
Athletic is probably in the worst moment of the season, especially upfront where they are lacking ideas and clarity, struggling a lot to create chances and score goals. Several key players are in bad form, but in defense they are doing well.
They are dominating the games, outplaying rivals… But nearby areas are blocked. The draw (0:0) against Getafe at the weekend was the best example of that. If they want to qualify, it will be very important to be very effective and more creative upfront, something that they have been lacking in the last months.
Osasuna on the other hand are 100% focused in this match since a long time ago. In La Liga they are in a quiet position so have been making rotations in order to be fully ready for this match. They are a very competitive team, able to equalize the high intensity that Athletic will put, and in defense are very strong too. Several key players like Abde or David Garcia were reserves in the weekend game against Mallorca.
For Osasuna it will be very important to be strong at the back and not concede an early goal. The same plan they did in the first leg (won 1:0), where they managed to block Athletic upfront and even achieved an important lead for this game.
Surely Athletic will make a very strong start of the match, trying to score an early goal. Osasuna will park the bus and leave the ball to Athletic, as they know that being solid at the back, Athletic will struggle to create chances. Both teams have better defense than attacks, and this will be a very tight and physical game. Osasuna is one of those teams able (physically) to compete against Athletic at 100%, while their defense is also able to block their attacks as several teams are doing lately.
I don't imagine an easy game for Athletic, seeing their poor performances in attack lately and how strong is Osasuna. Furthermore, guests will be very motivated because this is an historical match for them: would be the second time in their history to play a Spanish Cup final - previously lost one final in 2005.
毕尔巴鄂竞技可能正处于本赛季最糟糕的时刻,尤其是前场,他们缺乏想法和清晰度,为创造机会和进球而苦苦挣扎。几个关键球员状态不佳,但在防守方面他们做得很好。
他们主宰了比赛,打败了对手……但是附近的区域被封锁了。周末对阵赫塔菲的平局(0:0)就是最好的例子。如果他们想获得资格,那么在前期表现得非常有效和更有创造力是非常重要的,这是他们在过去几个月里一直缺乏的。
另一方面,奥萨苏纳从很久以前就100%专注于这场比赛。在西甲,他们处于安静的位置,所以一直在进行轮换,以便为这场比赛做好充分的准备。他们是一支非常有竞争力的球队,能够平衡竞技队的高强度,而且防守也非常强大。在周末对阵马洛卡的比赛中,像阿布德或大卫加西亚这样的几名关键球员是预备队。
对于奥萨苏纳,它将非常重要的是要在后场保持强势并且不要早早失球。他们在第一回合(1:0 获胜)中采用了相同的计划,他们设法提前阻止了毕尔巴鄂竞技,甚至在这场比赛中取得了重要的领先优势。
毫无疑问,毕尔巴鄂竞技将在比赛中打出强势开局,力争早早进球。奥萨苏纳会停好大巴,把球交给毕尔巴鄂竞技,因为他们知道后防线很稳固,毕尔巴鄂竞技很难创造机会。两支球队的防守都比进攻更好,这将是一场非常紧张和身体对抗的比赛。奥萨苏纳是能够(身体上)100% 与毕尔巴鄂竞技竞争的球队之一,而他们的防守也能够像最近几支球队所做的那样阻止他们的进攻。
我不认为毕尔巴鄂竞技会是一场轻松的比赛,看到他们最近在进攻端的糟糕表现以及奥萨苏纳的实力。此外,客队会非常积极,因为这对他们来说是一场历史性的比赛:这将是他们历史上第二次参加西班牙杯决赛 - 之前在 2005 年输掉了一场决赛。
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