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The best Sunday football pick! 法甲 巴黎圣曼VS里昂

2023-04-02

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期一2023-04-03 02:45

解读理由

On Sunday night, seven games in the French Ligue 1 are going to happen and the last match will be between Paris Saint-Germain and Lyon. After 28 games, PSG has 21 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses, a total of 66 points and 1st place while Lyon has 11 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses, a total of 41 points and 10th place. In this game, I'm predicting that PSG is going to win.

PSG didn't start the international break in a good mood because they lost to Rennais at home 0:2. The team allowed 2 goals in 3 minutes but the interesting part is that the Paris team had a better xG - 1.75 compared to 1.54. It was PSG's 1st loss at home this season and it ended 4 game winning streak in Ligue 1. At home this season, the team has 11 wins and 2 draws in 14 games, with a total of 34 goals scored (the best result) and 17 conceded. Per xG, PSG is expected to score 2.29 goals at home (the best) and concede 1.31.

Lyon is having a mediocre season. The team has 3 draws in a row - at home against Lorient (8th best) and Nantes (14th best), and on the road against Lille (6th best). Lyon has gotten 6 losses out of 9 on the road, and they have 5 wins and 3 draws as well, with a total of 23 goals scored and 21 conceded which is the 2nd worst among TOP10 teams. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.64 goals on the road and concede 1.45.

We all know that Neymar is out for the season. The good news is that Achraf Hakimi will be back after missing 5 games. Marquinhos should also be available as well as Carlos Soler. As for Lyon, Malo Gusto probably is still going to be out with a hamstring injury. PSG won the 1st meeting of the season by 1:0 after Messi scored a goal already in the 5th minute. PSG beat Lyon last season at home and has won 11 out of the last 14 meetings at home.

During the break, Kylian Mbappe was great for France as he scored 2 goals while Lionel Messi had 4 goals in 2 friendly games. The Paris team has been in the 1st place all season long but their advantage isn't so big. It's 7 points and Marseille can cut it to 4 points with a win. If PSG losses this game, the difference would be very little and they don't want extra stress when 9 rounds are left this season.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日晚上,法甲联赛将进行7场比赛,最后一场比赛将在巴黎圣日耳曼和里昂之间进行。28场比赛结束后,PSG取得21胜3平4负,积66分,排名积分榜第一;里昂11胜8平9负,积41分,排名积分榜第十。在这场比赛中,我预测PSG会赢。

巴黎圣日耳曼在国际比赛日开始时心情并不好,因为他们在主场0:2输给了雷纳斯。该队在3分钟内丢了2球,但有趣的是,巴黎队的xG - 1.75比1.54更好。这是PSG本赛季在主场的第一次失利,结束了法甲的4连胜。本赛季在主场,球队14场11胜2平,共进34球(最好成绩)丢17球。根据xG, PSG预计在主场进球数为2.29个(最好),失球为1.31个。

里昂本赛季表现一般。球队已经连续3场平局——主场对阵洛里昂(排名第8)和南特(排名第14),客场对阵里尔(排名第6)。里昂在客场9战6负,5胜3平,共进23球失21球,在前十名球队中排名第二。根据xG,球队预计在客场进1.64球,丢1.45球。

我们都知道内马尔将缺席本赛季的比赛。好消息是哈基米将在缺席5场比赛后复出。马奎诺斯和索勒也应该可以上场。至于里昂,马洛·古斯托可能仍然会因为腿筋受伤而缺席比赛。在梅西在第5分钟打进一球后,巴黎圣日耳曼以1:0赢得了本赛季的第一次交锋。PSG上赛季在主场击败了里昂,并在过去14次主场交手中赢了11场。

在中场休息期间,基利安·姆巴佩为法国贡献了2个进球,而梅西在两场友谊赛中打进4球。巴黎队整个赛季都是第一名,但他们的优势并不大。现在是7分,如果马赛赢了,就可以把积分降到4分。如果巴黎圣日耳曼输了这场比赛,差距将会非常小,他们不想在本赛季还剩9轮的时候有额外的压力。

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