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75% Bundesliga wins! 德甲 弗赖堡VS柏林赫塔

2023-04-01

比赛分析

主队弗赖堡LOGO

弗赖堡

德甲

已完赛

星期六2023-04-01 21:30

客队柏林赫塔LOGO

柏林赫塔

解读理由

On the 1st day of April, six Bundesliga games are going to happen and one of them is going to be between Freiburg and Hertha. After 25 games, Freiburg has 13 wins, 7 draws, 5 losses, a total of 46 points and 4th place while Hertha has 5 wins, 6 draws, 14 losses, a total of 21 points and 16th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Freiburg is going to win.

Before the break, Freiburg had 2 bad games. In the UEFA Europa League, the team lost 2nd leg to Juventus 0:3 and finished their international season. Just 3 days later, Freiburg played against Mainz on the road and draw 1:1. The team got the lead in the 55th minute but conceded in the 96th minute. Freiburg should have won because their xG was 1.74 while the opponents had 1.04. That game was on the road, while at home they have 2 wins and 1 draw. Overall this season, Freiburg has 8 wins and 3 draws in 12 home games, with a total of 21 goals scored and 10 conceded (2nd best). Per xG, Freiburg is expected to score 1.92 goals at home (2nd best) and concede 1.36.

These 2 months are going to be very important for Hertha as they are fighting to get out of the relegation zone. During the break, Hertha beat an amateur team by 5:0. In the last game before the break, Hertha lost 1:3 on the road against Hoffenheim and allowed the opponents to climb over Hertha in the standings. At home, Hertha was able to draw against Mainz and beat teams like Augsburg and Gladbach but the team very struggles on the road. Hertha has lost 8 road games in a row, they have just 1 win and 1 draw in 12 road games this season, and they have scored 11 goals (3rd worst) and conceded 28 (3rd worst). Per xG, Hertha is expected to score 1.22 goals on the road (7th worst) and concede 1.56.

Freiburg is going to be without their 2nd best scorer Michael Gregoritsch while Philipp Lienhart should be back in the lineup after missing the previous game. As for Hertha, Marco Richter won't be available for the same reason as Gregoritsch - too many yellow cards. In the 1st meeting of the season, teams earned a point - 2:2. When teams are meeting in Freiburg, the home team has won 4 games in a row and this streak should continue as Freiburg is in much better form and they are fighting for a place in the Champions League for the 1st time ever and they can't afford to lose points.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

4月1日,德甲联赛将举行6场比赛,其中一场将在弗莱堡和赫塔之间进行。25场比赛过后,弗赖堡13胜7平5负,积46分,排名第4;赫塔5胜6平14负,积21分,排名第16。在这场比赛中,我预测弗赖堡队会赢。

在中场休息前,弗赖堡有两场糟糕的比赛。在欧联杯中,球队0:3输给尤文图斯,结束了他们的国际赛季。仅仅3天后,弗莱堡客场对阵美因茨,并以1:1战平。该队在第55分钟取得领先,但在第96分钟失球。弗赖堡应该赢,因为他们的xG是1.74,而对手是1.04。那场比赛是在客场,而在主场他们取得了2胜1平。本赛季,弗赖堡在12个主场比赛中取得8胜3平的成绩,共进21球丢10球(排名第二)。根据xG,弗赖堡预计在主场进1.92球(第二好),丢1.36球。

这两个月对赫塔来说非常重要,因为他们正在努力脱离降级区。在休息期间,赫塔队以5:0击败了一支业余球队。在中场休息前的最后一场比赛中,赫塔客场1:3输给霍芬海姆,并让对手在积分榜上超越赫塔。在主场,赫塔打平了美因茨,击败了奥格斯堡和格拉德巴赫等球队,但球队在客场非常挣扎。赫塔客场8连败,本赛季12场客场仅取得1胜1平,进11球(倒数第三)丢28球(倒数第三)。根据xG,赫塔预计在客场进1.22球(排名第七),丢1.56球。

弗赖堡将失去他们的第二射手迈克尔·格雷戈里奇,而菲利普·林哈特在错过了上一场比赛后应该会回到阵容中。至于赫塔,里克特将不会出场,原因和格里戈里奇一样——黄牌太多。在本赛季的第一次交锋中,两队以2:2的比分获得一分。当球队在弗赖堡相遇时,主队已经连续赢了4场比赛,这种连胜应该会继续,因为弗赖堡状态更好,他们正在为有史以来第一次在欧洲冠军联赛中获得一席之地而战,他们不能失去积分。

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