Kashima Antlers VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kashima Antlers welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima for this Japan J1 League round six battle at Kashima Soccer Stadium in Kashima Saturday afternoon Beijing time. This is a very high-level league by Asian standards and of pretty good level by global standards. My fans and I have done very well betting on this league and I have once again spotted a very lucrative betting opportunity! Kashima Antlers currently occupy the 10th place in the standings with seven points in to pocket. They cannot match the visitors in any area of the game! Early season it is often useful to take a look at last season – especially if the squad of each team has not got significantly weaker - or stronger for the ongoing season. The visitors were very strong last season and finished in 3rd place with a good number of points – 55 to be precise. They have a score difference of 52:41. The hosts, on the other hand, finished in 7th place with 47 points - their goal difference was 43:44. Especially offensively, Hiroshima have a clear edge here. They have scored just five goals in this league so far this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is much higher – 8.67. The hosts have netted the ball seven times but their number of xG is just 6.09. The visitors have defended very well and have allowed just four goals so far – this is less than a very strong team, Urawa Red – currently in second place with 12 points! Their defense has a fine structure, the defenders make very few unforced mistakes and the midfielders – sometimes even strikers actively take part in defending!

The hosts' defense has been surprisingly solid as well and they have conceded five goals. Even so, their number of expected goals allowed is 7.12. They played pretty well in their most recent game despite losing to Yokohama F. Marinos 1-2 away from home. However, Yokohama were far from their best in this game.. Before this they played a disappointing 0-0 draw at home against Avispa Fukuoka as solid favorites – priced around 1.95 on the betting marker to take all three points. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have improved their level of football recently from the first two rounds on play winning 2/3 most recent matches. The biggest, usually pretty smart bookies see this match as more or less a coin toss - a 50-50% game without an actual favorite offering both teams odds of around 2.65 to win. I have to disagree and see the visitors having a 43% chance of winning. All we need is, however, for them to avoid losing. I see this match as a pretty low-scoring one and the draw and under 2.5 total goals to be scored are more probable than the betting market estimates. I would not be at all surprised to see Hiroshima's odds go down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them. The home advantage is , of course, there but Kashima Antlers do not have the best fans.. They beat Kashiwa Reysol in their most recent game 1-0 at home and could easily have scored more goals. They controlled the events on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes having close to 60% ball possession. They also created 13 scoring attempts and recorded many more shots on goal (5-2), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks.

本周六下午，鹿岛鹿角在鹿岛鹿岛足球场迎战广岛三箭，征战本场日本J1联赛第6轮。这是一个以亚洲标准衡量的非常高水平的联赛，以全球标准衡量也是相当不错的联赛。我和我的球迷在这个联赛上投注得很好，我又一次发现了一个非常有利可图的投注机会！鹿岛鹿角目前积7分排在积分榜第10位。他们在游戏的任何区域都无法与访客相提并论！赛季初，回顾上赛季通常很有用——尤其是如果每支球队的阵容在接下来的赛季中没有明显变弱或变强的话。客队上赛季表现非常强劲，以不错的积分排名第三——准确地说是 55 分。他们的分差是52:41。另一方面，东道主以 47 分排名第七 - 他们的净胜球为 43:44。尤其是进攻端，广岛在这里有明显的优势。本赛季到目前为止，他们在这个联赛中只进了 5 个球，但他们的预期进球数 (xG) 高得多——8.67。东道主已经七次进球，但他们的 xG 数仅为 6.09。客队防守非常好，到目前为止只丢了四个球——这还不如一支非常强大的球队浦和红——目前以 12 分排名第二！他们的防守结构很好，后卫很少犯非受迫性失误，中场球员——有时甚至前锋也积极参与防守！

主队的防守也出奇的稳固，他们丢了五个球。即便如此，他们允许的预期目标数量为 7.12。尽管在客场以 1-2 输给了横滨水手队，但他们在最近的比赛中表现不错。然而，横滨在这场比赛中远未达到最佳状态。在此之前，他们在主场以令人失望的 0-0 战平福冈阿维斯帕，成为夺冠热门——赔率约为 1.95在投注标记上获得所有三分。 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 最近在前两轮比赛中提高了他们的足球水平，在最近的比赛中赢得了 2/3。最大的，通常是非常聪明的博彩公司将这场比赛或多或少地视为抛硬币 - 一场 50-50% 的比赛，没有真正的热门，两队获胜的赔率约为 2.65。我不同意并看到客队有 43% 的获胜机会。然而，我们所需要的只是让他们避免失败。我认为这场比赛的得分很低，平局和总进球数低于 2.5 个的可能性比市场估计的要大。如果看到广岛的赔率在开球前下降，我一点也不会感到惊讶，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。主场优势当然存在，但鹿岛鹿角队并没有最好的球迷。他们在最近的一场比赛中主场 1-0 击败了柏太阳神，本可以轻松进更多球。他们控制了球场上的事件90 分钟的大部分时间控球率接近 60%。他们还创造了 13 次得分尝试，并记录了更多的射门次数 (5-2)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。