Defensa Y Justicia VS Velez Sarsfield

Defensa Y Justicia welcome Velz Sarsfield for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 9 battle at Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa) Friday morning Beijing time. The level is this league is lower than many football fans think - especially taking into account what an awesome football country Argentina is. It is, similarly to many other South American leagues, a pretty low-scoring one an average. The goal expectancy in this game is low as well. My probability estimation on under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 66%. Most teams play pretty defensive and and well-organized football. Furthermore, a draw is a pretty probable result here – the probability is 33%. The draw would be enough for my fans and me to make a profit with the recommended +0.6 goals handicap option on the visiotors. The biggest, usually somewhat sharp bookies see Velez Sarsfield as slim favorites here offering them odds of around 2.65 to travel home with all three points. I cannot agree with these bookies and see the visitors as solid favorites. With today's expected lineup I see the visitors as pretty clearly the better team! The hosts started the season well and currently occupy the 3rd place in the standings. They have a respectable 14 points to their account. They have netted the ball 11 times in this league so far this season and have allowed six goals but have been very lucky in many games.

Their number of expected points (xPTS) is much lower than 14. The did lose their most recent game The opponent was Platense in this away game that was very balanced. The visitors did 62% and recorded many more total passes, completed passes and dangerous attcks. Both teams recorded the same number of shots on target (three) as well as scoring attemots – 16 to be precise. Before this they faced Talleres Cordoba at home and had to settle for one point They had 60% ball possession and recirded many more total passes, completed passes, dangerous attacks. Shots on target (6-2) as well as scoring attempts -16-9. I want to mention that last season the hosts finished in 12th place with 40 points and had score difference of 29:27. The visitors, on the other hand, had a horribe season and ended up in the 26th place in this league with a total of 28 clubs but were also pretty unlucky in terms of expected points and last season probably affects the odds too much here. They will surely be much better this season At the moment they are in 10th place in the league table but will surely climb up the standings soon. Yes, they have improved from early season and beat Central Cordoba in their most recent match 4-0 at home as very clear favorites – priced around 1.80 to win by the bookmakers. Yes, they were the better team but the final score is maybe too clear though. They recorded 12 scoring attempts - visitors' number was 10.

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北京时间周五上午，在诺伯托·蒂托·托马格罗体育场(州长胡里奥·a·科斯塔)举行的阿根廷西甲职业联赛第9轮比赛中，Defensa Y Justicia欢迎萨尔斯菲尔德。这个联赛的水平比许多球迷想象的要低，尤其是考虑到阿根廷是一个非常棒的足球国家。和许多其他南美联赛一样，这是一个平均得分很低的联赛。这场比赛的目标期望值也很低。我估计总进球数在2.5个以下的概率是66%。大多数球队都是防守严密、组织有序的足球。此外，平局是一个非常有可能的结果——概率是33%。对于我的球迷和我来说，这足以让我通过推荐的访客+0.6个进球的障碍选项获利。最大的，通常有点敏锐的博彩公司认为Velez Sarsfield是最受欢迎的，他们提供2.65左右的赔率，带着三分回家。我不同意这些赌徒的观点，认为客队是最受欢迎的球队。从今天的阵容来看，我认为客队显然是一支更好的球队!东道主本赛季开局不错，目前在积分榜上排名第三。他们有14个值得尊敬的分数。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中已经进球11次，失球6个，但在许多比赛中都非常幸运。

他们的期望点数(xPTS)远低于14。他们输掉了最近的一场比赛，对手是普拉滕斯，他们在客场打得很平衡。客队的传球率为62%，并且记录了更多的总传球、完成传球和危险进攻。两支球队都记录了相同的射正次数(3次)和得分次数——准确地说是16次。在此之前，他们在主场面对塔雷雷斯-科尔多瓦，只得到了一分。他们有60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的总传球，完成传球，危险的进攻。射正次数(6-2)以及得分次数(16-9)。我想说的是，上赛季东道主以40分排名第12，比分相差29:27。另一方面，客队经历了一个可怕的赛季，在共有28家俱乐部的联赛中排名第26位，但在预期积分方面也很不走运，上赛季可能对这里的赔率影响太大了。本赛季他们肯定会变得更好，目前他们在积分榜上排名第十，但肯定很快就会上升。是的，他们比赛季初有所进步，并在最近的一场主场比赛中以4-0击败了中央科尔多瓦，这是非常明显的热门。