PROFIT from the MLS?
2023-03-26
比赛分析
解读理由
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United
Columbus Crew welcome Atlanta United at Lower.com Field Sunday morning Beijing time for this USA MLS fifth round battle. This league has improved a lot during the 10 or so years and has both young talented players, mainly from South American countries. Teams from both the USA and Canada play in this league. Us football bettors and fans can expect a good-level and entertaining match here. The MLS is more high-scoring on average than most European leagues. Typically for US sports entertaining the fans at the stadium as well spectators at home is considered important. It's not only about winning but also the entertainment industry. In the Play Offs when stakes are higher most teams start playing more defensive football. Atlanta have been on fire so far this season and have won three of the four games in this league! I have already raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class! They have netted the ball 11 times and have 10 points to their account and the Eastern Conference standings. Their defense, too, has been great and they have allowed just three goals. They are clearly high in confidence and also have a great coach who is often underrated in the football media. I must strongly disagree with the biggest, often pretty sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers. These bookies do not seem to have an actual favorite in this game. Some of these bookies see the hosts as marginal favorites – some slightly side with Atlanta United. However, I do expect Atlanta's odds to go down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on the visitors!
Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Atlanta – with the expected lineups - have a 42% chance of winning. My fans and I only need the visitors not to lose this game to make a profit with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap bet on them. They do undoubtedly have an edge over the hosts in all areas of the game. In terms of offensive quality the difference in class in their favor is bigger than defensively.Columbus have scored five goals so far and condeded seven. They have won just one match so far. They took this win on the 4th of this month (US time) beating DC United 2-0 at home. Columbus were clear favorites in this game, priced around 1.80 to take all three points by the bookies. However, this match was a balanced one and could have gone either way. It is very clear the betting market overvalued Columbus. The visitors had 53% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. The hosts did record marginally more in expected goals (xG) 1.09-1.07. Atlanta, on the other hand, crushed Portland Timbers 5-1 in their most recent match 5-1 after a stunning offensive performance! They recorded 3.01 in xG - the visitors' number was 0.56. Atlanta offense has a great structure, a lot of individual skill and creativity! I expect them to be aggressive here - putting a lot of pressure on the hosts' often shaky defense.
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来自美国和加拿大的球队都参加这个联赛。美国的足球投注者和球迷可以在这里期待一场高水平和有趣的比赛。MLS的平均得分比大多数欧洲联赛都要高。对于美国体育来说,在体育场取悦球迷和在主场取悦观众被认为是很重要的。这不仅关乎输赢,也关乎娱乐业。在附加赛中,当赌注更高时,大多数球队开始踢更多的防守足球。亚特兰大老鹰本赛季到目前为止状态火热,在联盟的四场比赛中赢了三场!我已经提高了他们的实力等级,这反映了球队的纯粹水平!他们已经进了11个球,在东部积分榜上有10分。他们的防守也很出色,只丢了3个球。他们显然非常自信,也有一个经常被足球媒体低估的伟大教练。我必须强烈反对那些规模最大、往往相当精明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注。在这场比赛中,这些庄家似乎没有真正喜欢的人。这些博彩公司中的一些人认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队——有些人略微支持亚特兰大联队。然而,我确实希望亚特兰大的赔率在开球前下降,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在客队身上!
根据我复杂的深入分析,亚特兰大在预期的阵容下,有42%的机会获胜。我的球迷和我只需要客队不输掉这场比赛,就可以通过推荐的+0.5个进球的赔率来赚钱。毫无疑问,他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。在进攻质量方面,他们在级别上的差距比防守上的差距更大。到目前为止,哥伦布队已经进了5球,丢了7球。到目前为止他们只赢了一场比赛。他们在本月4日(美国时间)主场2-0击败华盛顿联队。哥伦布在这场比赛中显然是最受欢迎的,博彩公司定价约为1.80分,可以获得全部三分。然而,这场比赛是一场势均力敌的比赛,任何一方都有可能获胜。很明显,博彩市场高估了哥伦布的价值。客队有53%的控球率,记录了更多的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻和危险进攻。东道主的预期进球数(xG)略高于1.09-1.07。另一方面,亚特兰大在最近的一场比赛中,凭借惊人的进攻表现,以5-1击败了波特兰木材队!它们的xG值为3.01,而访客数为0.56。亚特兰大的进攻有一个伟大的结构,很多个人技术和创造力!我认为他们在这里会很有侵略性,给东道主不稳定的防守带来很大的压力。
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