A GREAT betting opportunity!
2023-03-23
比赛分析
解读理由
North Macedonia VS Malta
North Macedonia host Malta for this EURO 2024 Qualification Group C clash at National Arena Toshe Proeski in Skopje late Thursday evening Beijing time. This is the first round of qualification but a lot is at stake here as every match is very important in this group with a total of five teams. England are slim favorites to win the group – followed by the reigning European champions, Italy. The team which finishes in second place do also earn a ticket to the tournament in the summer next year. Ukraine are a dangerous team and are clearly the third-best team in this league. North Macedonia did qualify for the EURO 2020. Many football fans probably remember them beating Italy in the World Cup 2022 Qualification Promotion semi-final – with quite a lot of luck though. In the next round Portugal did not, however, give them even a true fighting chance and won 2-0. North Macedonia failed to score any shots on goal in this clash and Portugal could easily have won by even a bigger margin. Malta qualifying for the EURO 2024 would, of course, by a massive surprise but their national team did achieve many positive results in 2022. The hosts currently occupy the 65th place in the FIFA ranking but in my global power rating that reflects the national teams' pure class with the best possible lineup they are in the 79th place. North Macedonia's performances during the latter part or 2022 were mainly very disappointing, In fact, the most recent decent football country they have beaten is Italy - a year ago. After that they have only been able to beat a lowly team, Gibraltar. In their most recent match they lost to Azerbaijan 1-3. It was a friendly game though and should not be given too much emphasis. They have lost two of their most recent competitive games - both in the UEFA Nations League. On the 26th of September 2022 they lost to Bulgaria at home as clear favorites according to the betting market – priced around 1.80 to take all three points. The visitors recorded more shots on goal, scoring attempts, total passes, completed passes and dangerous attacks. However, I need to mention that the hosts' T. Todoroski was sent off already in the first half but even taking this factor into account I was somewhat disappointed by their performance. Before this Georgia beat them 2-0.
Yes, the hosts of course have an edge over Malta in all areas of the game but have clearly been low in confidence in their most recent matches. Malta are in the 167th place in the FIFA ranking but places say 115-118th would be more realistic in my opinion. Malta's defense has looked pretty organized in their most recent games and according to my sources have an awesome team spirit. They seem to be having fun on the pitch. I also think that their coach is underrated. North Macedonia have not scored more than one goal in any of their most recent five matches and the +1.5 goals handicap on Malta is a very lucrative betting option here. I see the match as more low scoring than the betting market does and would not be too surprised if Malta were to take a point here! They have a 66% chance of avoiding losing by more than one goal's difference - and bringing my fans and me yet another winner! Let's remember that they have not lost any of their latest 10 games by more than one goal's difference! In fact they have won 5/10 of their recent games! On the 17th of November 2022 they forced a pretty big football country, Greece, to a 2-2 draw at home as massive underdogs according to the bookies. They did, once again, prove that they would deserve more respect on the betting market. Before this they beat a pretty good team, Israel, 2-1 at home priced around 6.0-6.50 to win! In their most recent game they lost to Ireland 0-1 at home but the visitors were priced around 1.30 to win and Malta defended and fought well overall in this game!
北京时间周四晚些时候,北马其顿主场迎战马耳他,这场 2024 年欧洲杯预选赛 C 组比赛将在斯科普里国家竞技场 Toshe Proeski 举行。这是第一轮资格赛,但这里有很多利害关系,因为在这个共有五支球队的小组中,每场比赛都非常重要。英格兰是小组第一的夺冠大热门——紧随其后的是卫冕欧洲冠军意大利。获得第二名的球队也将获得明年夏天参加锦标赛的门票。乌克兰是一支危险的球队,显然是联盟中排名第三的球队。北马其顿确实获得了 2020 年欧洲杯的参赛资格。许多球迷可能还记得他们在 2022 年世界杯预选赛晋级半决赛中击败了意大利——尽管运气不错。然而,在下一轮比赛中,葡萄牙甚至没有给他们真正的战斗机会,并以 2-0 获胜。北马其顿在这场交锋中未能取得任何进球,而葡萄牙本可以轻松以更大的优势获胜。马耳他获得 2024 年欧洲杯的资格当然会让人大吃一惊,但他们的国家队在 2022 年确实取得了许多积极的成果。主队目前在 FIFA 排名中排名第 65 位,但在我的全球实力评级中反映了国家队的纯粹他们以最好的阵容排在第 79 位。北马其顿在后半年或 2022 年的表现主要是非常令人失望,事实上,他们击败的最近一个体面的足球国家是意大利 - 一年前。之后他们只能击败弱队直布罗陀。在最近的一场比赛中,他们以 1-3 输给了阿塞拜疆。不过,这是一场友谊赛,不应过分强调。他们最近输掉了两场比赛——都是在欧洲国家联赛中。 2022 年 9 月 26 日,根据博彩市场,他们在主场输给了保加利亚,成为明显的夺冠热门——全取三分的赔率约为 1.80。参观者记录了更多镜头目标、得分尝试、传球总数、完成的传球和危险的进攻。不过不得不提的是,主队的T. Todoroski在上半场就已经被红牌罚下,即使考虑到这个因素,我对他们的表现还是有些失望。在此之前,格鲁吉亚以 2-0 击败了他们。
是的,主队在比赛的所有方面当然都比马耳他有优势,但在最近的比赛中显然信心不足。马耳他在 FIFA 排名中排名第 167 位,但我认为排名第 115-118 位更为现实。马耳他的防守在他们最近的比赛中看起来组织得很好,而且根据我的消息来源,他们有着很棒的团队精神。他们似乎在球场上玩得很开心。我也认为他们的教练被低估了。北马其顿在最近的五场比赛中没有进一球以上,马耳他 +1.5 球的让分盘在这里是一个非常有利可图的投注选择。我认为比赛得分比投注低市场确实如此,如果马耳他在这里取得一点,也不会太惊讶!他们有 66% 的机会避免以超过一球的差距输球——并为我和我的粉丝带来又一个胜利者!让我们记住,他们在最近的 10 场比赛中没有一场以超过一球的差距输过!事实上,他们最近赢得了 5/10 的比赛!根据博彩公司的说法,在 2022 年 11 月 17 日,他们迫使足球大国希腊在主场以 2-2 战平对手。他们再次证明了他们在博彩市场上值得更多尊重。在此之前,他们在主场以 6.0-6.50 的赔率以 2-1 击败了一支相当不错的球队以色列,赢得了胜利!在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场以 0-1 输给了爱尔兰,但客队的赔率约为 1.30,而马耳他在这场比赛中的防守和战斗都非常出色!
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