Italy and England continue their long history of rivalry when Gareth Southgate's boys travel to Southern Italy for their first game of the International break. This is another crucial game for both teams and the hosts in particular would be on their toes after missing out on the last international tournament. I'm confident that Italy can get the job done over England once again, hence my preferred pick of a home win or draw. Here's why you should back Italy to win or draw;

Italy is playing at home and this is a big fortress for them, I don't see them losing to the English team. Roberto Mancini's side were on a very long unbeaten run at home till the defeats against Argentina and North Macedonia. Only the result against North Macedonia was surprising but they have quickly recovered from that loss with very strong performances at home. Less than six months ago, England became the latest victim of the Italian national team when they visited the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza back in September, losing one nil courtesy of a second half strike from Giacomo Raspedori. Interestingly, England's form away from home is very poor and the Three Lions have not won any one of their last three away games, losing twice. I see the Italians edging this out on home soil and we should see an Italy win or draw.

England is experiencing one of their worst phases ever and unlike France who won the last edition of the European Championship, England has been underwhelming and it is evident in their results. In the last ten games, the only wins for Gareth Southgate's team were against Iran, Wales, and Senegal. These are games where the opposition were mostly average and whenever they faced a team in the top 10, England always struggled. In the last decade, England has never beaten Italy in a competitive game and the Italians are enjoying a good run against the Englishmen. I expect that to continue with the Italians looking sharper, and I'm going with the home win or draw bet on this one.

加雷斯·索斯盖特 (Gareth Southgate) 的球队前往意大利南部参加国际比赛日的第一场比赛，意大利和英格兰继续他们长期的竞争历史。这对两支球队来说都是另一场至关重要的比赛，尤其是东道主在错过上届国际锦标赛后将保持警惕。我相信意大利可以再次完成对英格兰的工作，因此我更喜欢主场获胜或平局。

意大利在主场作战，这对他们来说是一座大堡垒，我不认为他们会输给英格兰队。罗伯托·曼奇尼的球队在主场保持了很长一段时间的不败，直到输给了阿根廷和北马其顿。只有对阵北马其顿的结果令人惊讶，但他们很快就从这场失利中恢复过来，在主场表现非常出色。不到六个月前，英格兰成为意大利国家队的最新受害者，当时意大利国家队在 9 月份造访了朱塞佩梅阿查球场，由于 Giacomo Raspedori 的下半场罢工，他们输掉了一场比赛。有意思的是，英格兰客场状态很差，三狮军团近3个客场1胜1负，输了2场。我看到意大利人在本土击败了这一点，我们应该看到意大利获胜或平局。

英格兰正在经历他们有史以来最糟糕的阶段之一，与赢得上一届欧洲锦标赛冠军的法国不同，英格兰一直表现平平，这在他们的成绩中显而易见。在过去的十场比赛中，索斯盖特的球队只赢过伊朗、威尔士和塞内加尔。在这些比赛中，对手大多表现平平，每当他们面对排名前 10 的球队时，英格兰队总是举步维艰。在过去的十年里，英格兰队从未在正式比赛中击败过意大利队，而意大利队在与英格兰队的比赛中表现出色。我希望随着意大利人看起来更敏锐，这种情况会继续下去，预测意大利不败。