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6/6, big European derby = big chance! 欧预赛 意大利VS英格兰

2023-03-23

比赛分析

欧预赛

已完赛

星期五2023-03-24 03:45

解读理由

After missing the World Cup in Qatar, Italy cannot afford to miss another big competition. The defending champions from the last European Championship will have the most difficult task at the very start of the qualification and will play against England in the first round. These two teams are the main favorites to secure participation in the Euro as the two best teams in the group. It is realistic to expect that Malta has no chance in this group, but the favorites will not have an easy task against Macedonia and Ukraine. Macedonians are the ones who cost Italy going to the World Cup and that only shows that they are a very difficult team, but it gives the Italians more motivation to take revenge for that defeat. But we'll talk about that when the time comes, now it's time for the big European derby against England. Knowing the style of play of the Italians, we certainly should not expect a very interesting game. They are known as masters of tactics and know very well how to force the opponent to their style of play, no matter how offensive the opponent is. In the last 5 matches between these two teams, none of them saw more than 2.5 goals, while 4 ended in a draw with one victory for Italy. The match will be played in Naples and there is no doubt that the unforgiving Naples atmosphere will be of great help to the Italians in this match. Two figures that give a big advantage to the home team sound really incredible and only show how difficult a task England will have. Italy has a streak of 14 victories in the qualifiers for the EURO and they have a streak of even 40 games without defeat in these qualifications that has been going on since 2006. Furthermore, it has been 24 years since the reigning continental champions last lost a Euros qualifier on home soil, which is really a data for great respect. In this match, Mancini will have problems with the offensive part of the team, and for that reason I believe that the match will be broken by the play in the middle of the field, where both teams are truly exceptional. I have to give a slight advantage to the Italians, primarily because Verratti, Barella and Jorginho have much more experience compared to England's midfield. I believe that they will not rush towards their rival's goal at all costs, but if Italy takes the lead, we should expect a complete closing of the game and the maintenance of that result.

As for England, there is no doubt that they are a top team and it is very difficult to say anything negative about their game. The team is made up of very high-quality and experienced players, supported by great young hopes of world football such as Saka, Bellingham, Foden, Mount and many others. They played very well at the World Cup in Qatar and finished their participation in the 1/4 finals when they were knocked out by, realistically speaking, a much better France. Like Italy, England will have certain problems in the composition of the team, where the absence of Rasford and Mount should be singled out first of all. Along with them, Southgate will not be able to count on the current best goalkeeper in England, Nick Pope. However, even without them, this team deserves respect and of course they have a chance against any team in the world. I think that they will try to damage Italy with their quick wing attacks, but the question is how much the home team will allow it. Matches in recent history do not go in England's favor even though, as now, they had a fantastic team. Italy is a team that knows how to play for the result, often using some "dirty tricks". Due to the lack of options in the attack, we should expect a cautious approach from the Italians to this game who will look for a chance after free kicks or after a counter attack. England will certainly try to impose their style of play, but I honestly think that it will be difficult for them to win all three points in this match.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

在错过卡塔尔世界杯之后,意大利再也不能错过另一场大赛了。上届欧洲杯卫冕冠军将在预选赛一开始就面临最艰巨的任务,他们将在第一轮对阵英格兰队。这两支球队作为小组中最好的两支球队,是参加欧洲杯的主要热门球队。现实的预期是马耳他在这个小组中没有机会,但最受欢迎的球队对阵马其顿和乌克兰的任务并不容易。马其顿队让意大利无缘世界杯,这只能说明他们是一支很难对付的球队,但这给了意大利人更大的动力去为那场失败复仇。但我们会在时间到来的时候再讨论,现在是时候对英格兰进行欧洲德比了。了解意大利人的打法,我们当然不应该期待一场非常有趣的比赛。他们被称为战术大师,非常清楚如何迫使对手接受他们的打法,无论对手多么攻势。在过去的5场比赛中,这两支球队的进球数都没有超过2.5个,其中4场比赛意大利队以一场胜利告终。比赛将在那不勒斯进行,毫无疑问,那不勒斯的无情气氛将在这场比赛中对意大利人有很大帮助。两个数据给主队带来了巨大的优势,这听起来真的令人难以置信,只能说明英格兰队的任务有多么艰巨。意大利队在欧洲杯预选赛中已经连续14场胜利,而且自2006年以来,他们在预选赛中已经连续40场不败。此外,欧洲卫冕冠军上一次在本土输掉欧洲杯预选赛已经是24年前的事了,这确实是一个值得尊敬的数据。在这场比赛中,曼奇尼将会在球队的进攻部分遇到问题,因此我相信这场比赛将会被中场的发挥所打破,这两支球队都是非常出色的。我不得不给意大利人一点优势,主要是因为维拉蒂、巴雷拉和若日尼奥比英格兰中场更有经验。我相信他们不会不惜一切代价冲向对手的球门,但如果意大利取得领先,我们应该期待比赛的圆满结束,并保持这一结果。

至于英格兰,毫无疑问,他们是一支顶级球队,很难对他们的比赛说任何负面的话。这支球队由高质量和经验丰富的球员组成,并得到了萨卡、贝灵汉、福登、芒特等年轻有为的球员的支持。他们在卡塔尔世界杯上表现出色,并在1/4决赛中被更强的法国队淘汰。和意大利一样,英格兰在球队的组成上也会有一定的问题,首当其冲的应该是拉斯福德和芒特的缺阵。与他们一起,索斯盖特将无法指望目前英格兰最好的门将尼克·波普。然而,即使没有他们,这支球队也值得尊重,当然他们有机会对抗世界上任何一支球队。我认为他们会试图用他们快速的边路进攻来破坏意大利,但问题是主队会允许多少。尽管像现在这样,他们拥有一支出色的球队,但在最近的历史上,比赛并不对英格兰有利。意大利是一支知道如何为结果而战的球队,经常使用一些“肮脏的技巧”。由于进攻中缺乏选择,我们应该期待意大利人在这场比赛中采取谨慎的态度,他们会在任意球或反击后寻找机会。英格兰队肯定会试图把他们的比赛风格强加给对手,但我真的认为他们很难在这场比赛中全取三分。

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