Lanus VS Argentinos Juniors

Lanus host Argentinos Juniors for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 8 clash at Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez in Lanus Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of worse level as a whole by international standards than many football fans probably think - taking into account what an awesome football country Argentina is in terms of football culture and – of course, Argentina won the World Cup, beating France in the final, last December in Qatar! As most of my fans probably know by now I never let the league table fool me! Lanus are currently in the 6th place in the standings. They have taken 13 points so far. They have netted the ball 10 times so far in this league. They have allowed six goals. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they have been lucky and would have deserved just 10.21 points. In terms of expected goals (xG) they would have deserved 7.87 goals. They started the season very well taking several wins and did play at a pretty high level. They reached a flow state but it was always clear for anyone who really follows Argentinian football closely that they would not be able to maintain that level in the long run – not even close. 7-8 of their regular starters have played above their normal level so far. Even so, I did raise their power rating which reflects the teams' pure class, after four rounds from the sophisticated in-depth preseason analysis. However, they have now lost the good form and their level of confidence has clearly plummeted! With today's expected lineups I see the visitors as solid favorites. However, the recommended bet is +0.5 goals and the visitors which offers my fans and me a very high chance of winning! I see this match as more low-scoring and the draw as a more probable result than the bookies do.. The draw would be enough for my fans and me to win. Indeed, I must strongly disagree with the biggest, often somewhat sharp bookmakers that offer the largest betting limits. These bookies see the visitors as slim favorites offering them odds of around 2.75 to take all three points here - at least at the time of writing this preview Monday evening Beijing time. However, I would not be at all surprised to see the visitors' odds go down before the kickoff as clever money is expected to pile up on Argentinos Juniors..

Last season Lanus finished in 27th place with just points to their account and had an abysmal score difference of 22:40! Not that much has after all changed for this season! Argentinos Juniors, on the other hand, finished in 8th place and had a clearly better score difference than Lanus. They netted the ball 33 goals and allowed 24 goals. At the moment they are in 14th place but I am positive it is only a matter of time until they start climbing up the standings! In terms of xPTS they would have deserved 13.21. They have won three of their most recent games and have suffered just one defeat in these five games. In their most recent game they easily swept past Deportivo Armenio in a Copa Argentina ( Argentinian Cup) match at a neutral location. 3-0 was the final score. Lanus, on the other hand, have lost 2/3 of their latest games. I was very disappointed by their offense in their most recent game - no goals were scored in this match against the newly promoted Belgrano away from home. Lanus were the favorites in this game – reflecting the fact that the betting market often over-values them..They have scored just one goal in their most recent three games and are facing a difficult challenge here against the well-organized Argentinos Juniors defense! They have allowed just one goal in their latest three games! Lanus do not have the bets home crowd but of course the home advantage still needs to be taken into account here..

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北京时间周二上午，拉努斯主场迎战阿根廷青年队，主场为Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez球场。从国际标准来看，这个联赛的整体水平可能比许多球迷想象的要差——考虑到阿根廷在足球文化方面是一个多么棒的足球国家——当然，阿根廷赢得了世界杯，在去年12月的卡塔尔世界杯决赛中击败了法国!我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从来没有被排行榜愚弄过!拉努斯目前排名第六。到目前为止，他们已经拿到了13分。到目前为止，他们在这个联赛中已经得分10次了。他们丢了6个球。然而，就预期得分(xPTS)而言，他们已经很幸运了，应该只得到10.21分。在期望进球数(xG)方面，他们应该得到7.87个进球。他们本赛季开局非常好，赢了几场比赛，确实打出了相当高的水平。他们达到了一种流动状态，但对于任何真正密切关注阿根廷足球的人来说，他们都很清楚，他们无法长期保持这种水平——甚至无法接近。到目前为止，他们7-8名常规首发球员的表现超过了正常水平。即便如此，在经过四轮复杂深入的季前赛分析后，我确实提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。然而，他们现在已经失去了良好的状态，他们的信心水平明显下降!从今天的阵容来看，我认为客队是最受欢迎的。然而，推荐的赌注是+0.5个进球和访客，这为我的球迷和我提供了非常高的获胜机会!我认为这场比赛比分更低，平局的结果比博彩公司的预测更有可能。这场平局足以让我的粉丝和我赢了。事实上，我必须强烈反对那些提供最大投注限额的最大、往往有些精明的博彩公司。这些博彩公司认为客队夺冠几率很小，至少在北京时间周一晚上写这篇文章的时候是这样，他们提供了2.75左右的赔率来拿下三分。然而，如果客队在开球前赔率下降，我一点也不会感到惊讶，因为聪明的钱预计会在阿根廷青年队身上堆积起来。

上赛季，拉努斯仅以积分排名第27位，并有22:40的糟糕比分差!毕竟这一季变化不大!另一方面，阿根廷青年队排在第8位，与拉努斯队相比得分差距明显更大。他们进了33个球，失球24个。目前他们排在第14位，但我相信这只是时间问题，直到他们开始上升的排名!就xPTS而言，他们本应获得13.21。他们在最近的比赛中赢了三场，在这五场比赛中只输了一场。在他们最近的一场阿根廷杯比赛中，他们在中立地点轻松横扫亚美尼亚拉科鲁尼亚队。最终比分是3比0。另一方面，Lanus在最近的比赛中输掉了2/3。我对他们最近一场比赛的进攻感到非常失望——在这场客场对阵刚刚升格的贝尔格拉诺的比赛中，他们一球未进。拉努斯在这场比赛中是最受欢迎的球队，这反映了博彩市场往往高估了他们的价值。他们在最近的三场比赛中只进了一个球，面对组织良好的阿根廷青年队的防守，他们面临着艰难的挑战。他们在最近的三场比赛中只丢了一个球!拉努斯没有主场球迷的赌注，但当然主场优势仍然需要考虑在内。