Universitatea Cluj vs Arges

Universitatea Cluj and Arges lock horns in this Romanian Liga 1 Relegation Group round 1 clash at Cluj Arena in Cluj-Napoca early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. Both Universitatea Cluj and Arges, of course, are not among the top-teams in Liga 1 and we can't expect a particularly high-level game here. Even so, I think we have a lucrative betting opportunity here! The hosts are clearly the better team here and are pretty big favorites in this match. The biggest bookies that accept the largest bets from customers offer odds of around 1.65 on the hosts to send Arges home empty-handed. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis these odds are definitely too high and we have to take advantage of this opportunity. The hosts finished in 9th place in the standings after the regular season – 30 rounds to be precise. They grabbed 34 points but in terms of expected points (xPTS) they were unlucky. They would have deserved around 39 points. They netted the ball 25 times but their number of expected goals (xG) was 29.19. Even so, there is no denying that I – and probably most football analysts as well as the betting market – would have expected more from the hosts offensively.. Their offense has lacked creativity and speed in too many games this season - especially against the strong teams.. Their offense has been too predictable in many games – making it easy for the opponent to defend somewhat successfully. However, the potential for improvement is there and I trust their coach to work on this area of the game. Their basic offensive structure is, after all, decent.

The hosts conceded 37 goals during the regular season but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) was 34.48. They do have a pretty significant edge over Arges in all areas of the game. Even with the offensive challenges I see the hosts having a very good chance of scoring (at least) twice here and this should be enough to win.. Indeed, Arges' defense has lacked structure and individual skill throughout the season as especially in recent months. Their midfielders should be more active in defending but often look pretty lazy and do not press the opponent efficiently. Their defenders make too many silly mistakes – especially away from home where they often seem to lack confidence and are often too defensive – even cautious. They have won just two away games in this league so far this season. They have conceded 41 goals so far but their xGA is even higher – 45.32. Arges have not won any of their most recent 12 games losing most of them! According to my sources the team have some internal problems at the moment – surely never a good sign.. Their offense has been very lame this season and have scored just 21 goals in Liga 1 so far. Their offense has lacked basically everything needed to score goals.. They netted the ball just 21 times - which was less than any other team's number of goals scored - during the regular season. Arges do have some potential for improvement in this area of the game but I believe the bookies over-estimate this potential.. In their latest game they lost to Petrolul 0-1 at home as solid favorites – priced around 2.35 to win by the bookies. It was a disappointing performance despite the 55% ball possession. The visitors recorded more scoring attempts - both teams recorded three shots on goal. Universitatea Cluj have been in pretty good form lately winning 3/5 of their most recent games. They did lose to CFR Cluj away from home in their most recent game 0-4 as very clear underdogs. Yes, the hosts did deserve the win but Universitatea Cluj had their chances - they recorded seven scoring attempts. The ball possession was 53-47% and the final score is very misleading and probably affects the odds here too much. Let's remember that CFR Cluj are a very strong team and are, in my view, the favorites to win the championship – once again..

北京时间周二凌晨，克卢日大学和阿尔杰斯在克卢日-纳波卡的克卢日竞技场进行罗马尼亚甲级联赛保级组第一轮的交锋。按照欧洲标准，这个联赛属于中等水平。当然，Universitatea Cluj 和 Arges 都不在 Liga 1 的顶级球队之列，我们不能指望这里有一场特别高水平的比赛。即便如此，我认为我们这里有一个有利可图的投注机会！东道主显然是这里更好的球队，并且是这场比赛中的大热门。根据我复杂的深入分析，这些可能性肯定太高了，我们必须利用这个机会。常规赛结束后，东道主在积分榜上排名第 9 - 准确地说是 30 轮。他们拿到了 34 分，但就预期得分 (xPTS) 而言，他们并不走运。他们应该得到大约 39 分。他们打进 25 球，但他们的预期进球数 (xG) 为 29.19。即便如此，不可否认的是，我——可能还有大多数足球分析师和博彩市场——对东道主的进攻抱有更高的期望。他们的进攻在本赛季的太多比赛中缺乏创造力和速度——尤其是在对阵强队的比赛中球队.. 他们的进攻在很多比赛中都太容易预测了——这让对手很容易防守成功。然而，改进的潜力是存​​在的，我相信他们的教练会在比赛的这方面努力。毕竟，他们的基本进攻结构还不错。

主队在常规赛期间丢了 37 个球，但他们的预期失球数 (预期失球) 为 34.48。他们确实在游戏的所有领域都比阿格斯有相当大的优势。即使面临进攻挑战，我也认为东道主在这里（至少）两次得分的机会非常大，这应该足以获胜。事实上，阿格斯的防守整个赛季都缺乏结构和个人技术，尤其是最近几个月。他们的中场球员应该更积极地防守，但往往看起来很懒惰，不能有效地压迫对手。他们的防守者犯了太多愚蠢的错误——尤其是在客场，他们似乎常常缺乏信心并且往往过于防守——甚至是谨慎。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中只赢了两场客场比赛。到目前为止，他们已经丢了 41 个球，但他们的预期失球甚至更高——45.32。 Arges 在最近的 12 场比赛中没有赢过任何一场，其中大部分都输了！根据我的消息来源，球队目前有一些内部问题——这肯定不是一个好兆头。他们本赛季的进攻非常糟糕，到目前为止在 Liga 1 中只进了 21 个球。他们的进攻基本上缺乏进球所需的一切。在常规赛期间，他们只进了 21 球——这比任何其他球队的进球数都要少。做在比赛的这方面有一些改进的潜力，但我相信博彩公司高估了这种潜力。在他们最近的比赛中，他们在主场以 0-1 输给了 Petrolul，成为最热门的球队。尽管控球率为 55%，但表现令人失望。客队记录了更多的得分尝试——两支球队都有 3 次射门。 克卢日大学最近的状态非常好，最近赢得了 3/5 的比赛。在最近的一场比赛中，他们确实在客场以 0-4 输给了 CFR 克鲁日，这是非常明显的劣势。是的，东道主确实配得上胜利，但克卢日大学有他们的机会——他们记录了七次得分尝试。控球率为 53-47%，最终比分非常具有误导性，可能对这里的赔率影响太大。让我们记住克卢日大学是一支非常强大的球队，在我看来，他们是夺冠的热门……