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Over 70% wins in France! 法甲胜率超过70%!

2023-03-19

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期一2023-03-20 00:05

解读理由

Seven games in the French Ligue 1 are going to happen on Sunday night and 2nd to last game will be between Paris Saint-Germain and Rennais. After 27 games, PSG has 21 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses, a total of 66 points and 1st place while Rennais has 14 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses, a total of 47 points and 6th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Paris Saint-Germain is going to win.

Last week was a tough one for PSG. The team lost to Bayern and was eliminated from the Champions League but in Ligue 1 they got a 2:1 win on the road against Brest after Kylian Mbappe scored the winning goal in the 90th minute. There have been some struggles on the road for Paris but a different story has been at home where they have 11 wins and 2 draws in 13 games, with a total of 34 goals scored (the best) and 15 conceded. Per xG, PSG is expected to score 2.30 goals at home (the best) and concede 1.32 (6th best).

Rennais' results recently have been very different. A few weeks ago, the team didn't qualify for the next Europa League stage and in the next 3 Ligue 1 games they have a win, loss and draw. At home, Rennais is one of the best teams but they struggle on the road where they have 3 wins and 5 draws in 13 games, with a total of 15 goals scored and 18 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.80 goals and concede 1.47.

As we all know, Neymar is out for the season while players like Achraf Hakimi, Sergio Ramos, Carlos Soler, Nordi Mukiele and Marquinho could sit out tonight. As for Rennais, Martin Terrier is out for the season but Jeremy Doku, Xeka and Lorenz Assignon won't also play today.

The 1st meeting of the season ended with Rennais' 1:0 win but from xG's standpoint, PSG had it better (0.97 to 0.80). In the last 5 meetings, PSG has 2 wins, Rennais also has 2 and one match ended with a draw. The story is different when teams are playing in Paris where PSG has won the last 4 matchups. Despite roster problems, PSG is a favorite here and should win. Nobody can stop them at home while Rennais struggle on the road.


法国甲级联赛的比赛将在周日晚上进行,倒数第二场比赛将在巴黎圣日耳曼队和雷恩队之间进行。27轮战罢,巴黎圣日耳曼21胜3平3负积66分排名第1,雷恩14胜5平8负积47分排名第6。在这场比赛中,我预测巴黎圣日耳曼会赢。

上周对巴黎圣日耳曼来说是艰难的一周。球队输给拜仁并被欧冠淘汰,但在法甲联赛中,姆巴佩在第 90 分钟攻入制胜一球,客场 2:1 战胜布雷斯特。巴黎在客场表现不佳,但在主场则完全不同,他们在 13 场比赛中取得 11 胜 2 平,总共打入 34 个进球(最佳)和 15 个失球。根据 预期进球,PSG 预计在主场打入 2.30 个进球(最佳)并失球 1.32 个(第 6 名)。

雷恩最近的成绩非常不同。几周前,球队还没有晋级在接下来的欧罗巴联赛阶段和接下来的 3 场 Ligue 1 比赛中,他们有胜利、失败和平局。在主场,雷恩是最好的球队之一,但他们在客场表现不佳,13场比赛3胜5平,总共打进15球失18球。 Per xG,球队预计进 1.80 球失 1.47。

众所周知,内马尔本赛季缺席,而阿什拉夫·哈基米、塞尔吉奥·拉莫斯、卡洛斯·索勒、诺迪·穆基莱和马尔基尼奥等球员今晚可能会缺席。至于 Rennais,Martin Terrier 本赛季缺席,但 Jeremy Doku、Xeka 和 Lorenz Assignon 今天也不会上场。

本赛季的第 1 场交锋以雷恩 1:0 获胜而告终,但从预期进球的角度来看,巴黎圣日耳曼的表现更好(0.97 比 0.80)。最近5次交手,巴黎圣日耳曼2胜,雷恩2胜1平。当球队在巴黎比赛时,情况就不同了,巴黎圣日耳曼赢得了最近 4 场比赛。尽管阵容存在问题,但巴黎圣日耳曼是这里的热门,应该会获胜。没有人能阻止他们回家,而雷恩则在路上挣扎。

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