This game may seem difficult to call on paper, given the teams are next to one another in the table and there is basically very little separating them in terms of quality or form.

However, there are at least 2 strong arguments, which are worthy of making Napoli favorites on the 0 market and likely not to lose in Rome.

Unlike Neapolitans, AS Roma is still involved in the European campaign and go into the Sunday match having flown to Ukraine (Kyiv) and back for the 2nd leg of their tie against Shakhtar Donetsk. The confident looking 5-1 aggregate win against the Ukrainian champion should not be overestimated as these days Shakhtar are in a really poor condition. Recently Roma always encountered serious problems in their Serie A games, that followed Europa League midweek fixtures - they could not do anything with Benevento (0-0 away draw) after the trip to face Braga on February 18. I perfectly remember that game and how dead and slow Roma were against one of Serie A worst teams; after 2nd leg against Braga (3-1 win), which was also basically a formality game (like the one in Kyiv) - Roma lost 1-2 to AC Milan and could easily concede 7 or 8 goals with the level of play showcased. And the third example - Roma lost to Parma 0-2 on the road, days after defeating Shakhtar 3-0. This means that up to now Roma has failed to win any of the 3 games that followed Europa League fixtures, lost 2 and drew one against Benevento..

Evidently, the team is not physically or mentally ready to maintain the same level of football in both competitions.

The 2nd argument, Fonseca’s Roma is never good enough in games against top 6 opponents in Serie A. Their gameplay works against the likes of Spzia, Udinese or Fiorentina with Genoa. But Fonseca’s record against teams fighting for the Champions League is abysmal. Juventus, Lazio, AC Milan, Inter, Atalanta or Napoli - Roma is yet to win against any of these teams in the current season.

So, as you see, this is a pick mostly against Roma, based on their clear tendency to underperform in big games and struggle after Europa League midweek fixtures.

双方实力相近，排名接近。

然而，至少有两个强有力的理由，可以让那不勒斯成为最受欢迎的球队，并且不会在罗马输掉比赛。

与那不勒斯不同的是，罗马仍然在欧洲征战中。球队淘汰矿工，但罗马也不应该被高估，因为这些天矿工们的状态真的很差。最近罗马在意甲比赛中总是遇到严重的问题，参加完欧联杯后踢联赛，球队表现不佳——他们在2月18日客场对阵布拉加的比赛后，对贝内文托(0-0客场战平)束手无策。我非常清楚地记得那场比赛，以及罗马是如何死气沉沉的面对意甲最差的球队之一。在第二回合对阵布拉加(3-1获胜)的比赛后，罗马以1-2输给了AC米兰，按照比赛的水平，罗马很可能会输掉7到8个球。第三个例子是，罗马在客场0-2输给了帕尔马，几天前他们3-0击败了矿工队。这意味着到目前为止，罗马在欧罗巴联赛之后的3场比赛中一场都没有赢过。

显然，这支球队在体力和精神上都没有做好准备，无法在两场比赛中保持相同的水平。

第二个论点是，丰塞卡的罗马在面对意甲前六名的对手时永远都不够好，对付斯齐亚、乌迪内斯、热那亚或佛罗伦萨并不难。但是丰塞卡在与欧冠行列中的球队交手时表现糟糕。尤文图斯、拉齐奥、AC米兰、国际米兰、亚特兰大或那不勒斯——罗马本赛季还没有赢过这些球队中的任何一支。

所以，正如你所看到的，基于罗马明显在重大比赛中表现不佳，并且在欧罗巴联赛周中的赛程之后处境艰难。看好那不勒斯不败。