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葡萄牙人,职业高手,精通德甲、葡超等欧洲联赛,对各球队有深入和独特的了解。
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8/7 - Lets Get Another WIN Here 德甲 科隆VS波鸿

2023-03-10

比赛分析

德甲

已完赛

星期六2023-03-11 03:30

解读理由

FC Koln vs VfL Bochum

Koln is sitting on a very safe 12th place but in my opinion they are a better team than that but this season is a very safe one because they have a decent lead over the relegation places and most important they are a good team who is playing well. It's tough to say that they are playing well since they are coming of 3 games without a win, they lost on the road to Stuttgart badly by 0:3, than at home they lost to Wolfsburg 0:2 and in their last game on the road they got a 0:0 draw against a good Union Berlin team. Even their results haven't been good, against Wolfsburg it was an even game they just were unlucky and Wolfsburg was effective and in that draw against Union Berlin I think Koln could have won it, they had the better chances but in the end it wasn't enough and got a draw. At home Koln usually is a strong unit, especially since the World Cup Break they started with an impressive 7:1 win over Bremen, than a 0:0 draw against a strong Leipzig team and we can say they were the better team in that game. After that they beat a strong Frankfurt team by 3:0 and in the last game like I said, they lost to Wolfsburg but it was a very even game and to be fair, after their last home loss nothing better to face the worst road team in the league today and get the win for their fans today.

For this game Koln is without Andersson, Dietz, Pedersen, Uth and Thielmann. Killian is doubtful for the game.

Even Bochum is in last place right now there is just 1 point difference between the last place and the 14th place, the relegation battle will be between five team till the end of the season so everything is still wide open but personally I do think that Bochum is the weakest link right now in the Bundesliga and they are coming to this game with 4 losses in a row against Bayern, Freiburg, Bremen and Schalke and scored 0 goals in those games and suffered 10 against. What makes this Bochum team favourites to get relegated in my opinion is their defensive line, they are really poor at defending and have already suffered 56 goals against them in 23 games what is crazy and also because on the road Bochum hasn't been competitive at all with 1 win and 11 losses in 12 games and even the game they won it was kinda lucky since Augsburg missed an penalty kick and were the better team. If Bochum defensive line has been a mess overall it has been shown especially on the road, 35 goals against in 12 games, that's almost 3 goals per game and today they will face a good team in Koln who is hungry to finally win a game again, so trouble are expected here for Bochum.

For this Bochum is without Grave, Holtmann and Zoller.

Even Koln hasn't won any game of their last 3 games they played good football in their last two and today they are receiving a team who has looked lost since the World Cup Break, Bochum is losing their games by big margin and aren't able to score goals and with all their defensive problems that they have it's the perfect scenario for Koln finally have their chance to win and score some goals here and get their confidence back. I expect Koln to control the game and create enough chances to score here multiple goals and I don't see Bochum match up with that, maybe Bochum scores one or so but in the end I expect Koln to win here by 2:0 or 2:1.

Good Luck

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

科隆目前稳居第12位,但在我看来,他们的实力要比第12强得多,但本赛季他们稳居第12位,因为他们在降级区遥遥领先,最重要的是,他们是一支踢得不错的强队。很难说他们踢得好,因为他们三场比赛都没有赢过,他们在客场0:3惨败给斯图加特,在主场0:2输给沃尔夫斯堡,在上一场客场0:0战平柏林联盟。即使他们的结果也不是很好,对沃尔夫斯堡的比赛是一场平局,他们只是运气不好,沃尔夫斯堡发挥得很好,在对阵柏林联合的比赛中,我认为科隆本可以赢球,他们有更好的机会,但最终还是不够,他们得到了平局。在主场,科隆通常是一支强大的球队,尤其是在世界杯后,他们以7:1大胜不莱梅,而不是0:0战平强大的莱比锡,我们可以说他们在那场比赛中表现更好。在那之后,他们以3:0击败了强大的法兰克福队,在最后一场比赛中,他们输给了沃尔夫斯堡,但这是一场非常平的比赛,公平地说,在他们上一场主场失利之后,没有什么比今天面对联赛中最糟糕的客场球队更好的了,今天为他们的球迷赢得了胜利。

这场比赛科隆没有安德森、迪茨、佩德森、乌斯和蒂尔曼。基利安不确定能否参加比赛。

波鸿甚至是在去年的地方现在是1点区别的地方和第14位,5个团队之间的保级大战将直到本赛季结束后所有仍开放但我个人认为波鸿现在最薄弱的环节在德甲和他们来这个游戏4连续亏损对阵拜仁,弗莱堡,不莱梅和沙尔克和0进球的游戏,遭受了10票反对。在我看来,波鸿最可能降级的原因是他们的后防线,他们的防守真的很差,在23场比赛中已经打进56球,这很疯狂,而且在客场,波鸿完全没有竞争力,12场比赛1胜11负,甚至他们赢的那场比赛也有点幸运,因为奥格斯堡错过了一个点球,他们是更好的球队。如果说波鸿的后防线总体上是一团糟的话,尤其是在客场,12场比赛进了35球,几乎是场均3球,今天他们将在科隆面对一支渴望再次赢得比赛的强队,所以波鸿在这里肯定会遇到麻烦。

这场比赛波鸿没有格雷夫、霍特曼和佐勒。

即使是科隆在过去的三场比赛中没有赢过一场,他们在最近的两场比赛中踢得很好,今天他们迎来了一支自世界杯休息期以来看起来已经迷失的球队,波鸿正在以很大的差距输掉比赛,无法进球,加上他们所有的防守问题,这对科隆来说是完美的场景,他们终于有机会赢球,进一些球,重新找回信心。我希望科隆能控制比赛,创造足够的机会在这里打进多个进球,我不认为波鸿能做到这一点,也许波鸿能进一个左右,但最终我希望科隆能以2:0或2:1赢得比赛。

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