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4/4 in one day, big game in CL!

2023-03-08

比赛分析

欧冠

已完赛

星期四2023-03-09 04:00

解读理由

For many football fans, it is a real shame that the draw wanted Bayern Munich and PSG to meet in the first elimination phase. A match between two teams of this quality deserves at least a semi-final, but reality is what it is. Bayern enters this game with a lead of 1 goal from Paris and they welcome the Parisians with a little more confidence. Both teams have been playing really well in the last few games, this is certainly expected from Bayern in every game, but after a few bad results, PSG has finally found its form. They tied even 3 defeats and seemed completely unmotivated in those games. But then Mbappe returned to the team and PSG started to play much better. I also said in previous analyzes that PSG is simply not the same team when Mbappe is not in the team, which is clearly visible in the last three games. He scored as many as 5 goals in those 3 matches and was absolutely the most notable player of his team. The most will certainly be expected from him, with the huge support of Messi, who can create a huge problem for the opponent's defense with just one pass into the space. We should expect an offensive from PSG from the very start, which could be a chance from the home team.

They are not in a situation where they have to chase the result and it is possible that they will quite consciously give the ball to the guests. One imprecise pass in the middle of the field is enough for Bayern to start a quick counterattack, and without a doubt they have players in the team who can escape the opponent's defenders. It is very possible that Nagelsmann will decide to transfer his fastest player to the side where Mbappe is playing, in order to exclude him as much as possible from the visitors' attack. Davies is a player who is used to changing positions on the field, both in the team and in the national team, and if anyone can even approximate the speed of Mbappe, it is certainly him. One of Bayern's advantages in this match could be the midfield, which in my opinion is much better than PSG's. Davies, Kimmich, Goretzka, Coman and in front of them the excellent young Musiala have more experience and, most likely, quality compared to Mukiele, Vitinha, Mendes and Ruiz. Another thing that favors Bayern are the players on the bench. The majority of the PSG bench is made up of extremely young players, while Bayern has players like Gnabry, Sane, Cancelo and Mane on the bench, who has returned from injury and is getting more and more minutes.

The big question is how Mbappe and Messi will be able to cope with Bayern's extremely good defense. Of course, PSG is not only made up of these two players, but it is clear to everyone that these two will control the majority of their team's attack. This is one of those games that can really go either way, but I have to give a slight advantage to Bayern. A better and more experienced midfield, the quality of players on the bench, playing in front of their fans, the result from the previous game... I honestly believe that we can see a lot of goals in this match, but I think that Bayern will manage to solve this in their favor.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

对于许多球迷来说,抽签结果让拜仁慕尼黑和巴黎圣日耳曼在淘汰赛第一阶段相遇,这真是一件憾事。两支如此优秀的球队之间的比赛至少应该有一场半决赛,但现实就是这样。拜仁在这场比赛中领先巴黎1球,他们更有信心欢迎巴黎人的到来。在过去的几场比赛中,两支球队都踢得非常好,这当然是拜仁在每场比赛中的预期,但在几场糟糕的结果之后,巴黎圣日耳曼终于找到了自己的状态。他们3场平局,在那些比赛中似乎完全没有动力。但后来姆巴佩回到了球队,巴黎圣日耳曼开始踢得更好。我在之前的分析中也说过,当姆巴佩不在的时候,巴黎圣日耳曼就不是原来的那支球队了,这在最近三场比赛中可以明显地看到。在这3场比赛中,他进了5个球,绝对是球队中最引人注目的球员。在梅西的大力支持下,他肯定能发挥出最大的作用,只要一次传球就能给对手的防守制造巨大的问题。我们应该从一开始就期待巴黎圣日耳曼的进攻,这可能是主队的机会。

他们不是在一个他们必须追逐结果的情况下,他们很可能会有意识地把球给客人。中场一次不精确的传球就足以让拜仁开始快速反击,毫无疑问,他们队中有球员可以逃脱对手的防守。纳格尔斯曼很有可能决定将他最快的球员转移到姆巴佩所在的位置,以便尽可能地将他排除在客队的进攻之外。戴维斯是一个习惯在场上改变位置的球员,无论是在球队还是在国家队,如果有人能接近姆巴佩的速度,那肯定是他。拜仁在这场比赛中的优势之一可能是中场,在我看来,这比巴黎圣日耳曼要好得多。戴维斯、基米希、戈雷茨卡、科曼以及在他们前面的优秀年轻球员穆西亚拉比穆基莱、维金尼亚、门德斯和鲁伊斯更有经验,更有实力。另一件有利于拜仁的事情是板凳上的球员。巴黎圣日耳曼的替补席大部分由极其年轻的球员组成,而拜仁的替补席上有格纳布里、萨内、坎塞洛和马内等球员,后者伤愈复出,获得的出场时间越来越多。

最大的问题是姆巴佩和梅西将如何应对拜仁极其出色的防守。当然,巴黎圣日耳曼不仅仅是由这两名球员组成的,但每个人都很清楚,这两名球员将控制球队的大部分进攻。这是一场双方都有可能获胜的比赛,但我必须给拜仁一点优势。一个更好更有经验的中场,板凳球员的质量,在球迷面前踢球,上一场比赛的结果……老实说,我相信我们会在这场比赛中看到很多进球,但我认为拜仁会设法解决这个对他们有利的问题。

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