We go with the same bet as the first leg, backing Borussia Dortmund. Simply can’t be underdogs here, because they are one of the most in-form teams in Europe right now.

Previous game ended 1:0 for Borussia. In that fixture, Karim Adeyemi scored the only goal of the game for BVB, in what was their first ever competitive fixture against Chelsea.

Adeyemi’s goal saw him score for a third successive Borussia Dortmund game, but he is likely to be ruled out of this leg with a hamstring injury suffered against Hertha Berlin in the Bundesliga just four days after the Chelsea win – not before he’d scored in his fourth game in a row.

The match didn’t see a single shot on target in the first half – the first UCL game in 2022-23 not to do so, despite there being 16 shots before the break overall. Across the entire match, Chelsea attempted 21 shots without scoring, which was their most without scoring in a Champions League knockout stage game since their 2010-11 quarter-final first leg against Man Utd (also 21). This is a clear signal of their bad form in attack.

Since Graham Potter took over at Chelsea from Thomas Tuchel in mid-September, the Blues have lost the same number of games that they have won (10) across 27 competitive matches. They have also scored and conceded the same tally of goals (26). Their 1-0 Premier League win over Leeds United at Stamford Bridge on Saturday was their first competitive win since 15 January, having drawn three and lost three of their previous six, in which they’d scored just one goal overall.

Finding a regular goalscorer has been a major issue for Potter’s Chelsea, with Kai Havertz (five) the only player to have scored more than three goals across these 27 matches – Raheem Sterling, Mason Mount and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang all scoring three, with Saturday’s match-winner against Leeds – Wesley Fofana – scoring twice.

In the 2022-23 Champions League, Chelsea topped Group E ahead of Italian giants Milan, Red Bull Salzburg and Dinamo Zagreb, with their only defeat coming in the opening game away in the Croatian capital.

On the other hand, Borussia Dortmund enter this match in exceptional form, having won 10 competitive matches in a row for the first time since August 2021. If they win this match, it’ll be their best winning run in all competitions since September 2015 (11 wins in a row) under Thomas Tuchel; a man that has managed both of these clubs.

Across 2023, Borussia Dortmund are the only team to have won 100% of their competitive matches (10/10). In comparison, Chelsea have won just two of their 12 in all competitions.

Following the 2022 FIFA World Cup, BVB have shared the goals around the team, with no fewer than 11 different goalscorers in those 10 matches: Julian Brandt (four), Karim Adeyemi (four), Giovanni Reyna (three), Marco Reus (three) Nico Schlotterbeck (two), Jamie Bynoe-Gittens (two), Emre Can (two) Julian Ryerson, Jude Bellingham, Donyell Malen and Sébastien Haller have all got on the scoresheet.

With their 1-0 victory in the first leg, Borussia Dortmund enjoyed their first win over an English side in the Champions League since September 2014 over Arsenal (2-0), ending a run of nine matches against English clubs without a win in the competition (D1 L8).

Furthermore, BVB have a solid record in UCL ties after winning the first leg, progressing from five of their previous six knockout ties after winning the opening game of two, with the exception being their 2019-20 round of 16 exit to Paris Saint-Germain. Despite this, they rarely win both legs of their UCL knockout ties, not doing so since 1996-97. They won both legs of their quarter-final (vs. Auxerre) and semi-final (vs. Manchester United) ties that year, en route to lifting the Champions League trophy for the first and only time.

We must remember that Borussia Dortmund qualified for the round of 16 by finishing in second place behind Manchester City in Group G. Their nine-point tally in the group stage was the lowest of any team to qualify for the last 16, but still was enough to finish above LaLiga club Sevilla and FC Copenhagen. Their only defeat in the group came against Man City at the Etihad Stadium, in a match that they led until the 80th minute before goals from John Stones and former striker Erling Haaland turned the game around.

Seeing the current form of Borussia which looks unstoppable and Chelsea, who is playing a very irregular football and lacking consistency in their recent results, I see BVB totally able to qualify here avoiding a defeat.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

我们的赌注和第一回合一样，支持多特蒙德。在这里，他们绝不是弱者，因为他们是目前欧洲状态最好的球队之一。

上一场比赛，保加利亚以1:0结束。在那场比赛中，卡里姆·阿德耶米(Karim Adeyemi)为BVB打进了本场比赛的唯一进球，这也是他们首次对阵切尔西的比赛。

阿德耶米的进球让他在多特蒙德的比赛中连续第三次进球，但他很可能因为在德甲对阵柏林赫塔的比赛中腿筋受伤而缺席本场比赛，而四天前他刚刚连续第四场比赛进球。

这场比赛上半场没有一次射正——这是2022-23赛季第一场没有射正的UCL比赛，尽管中场休息前总共有16次射门。整场比赛，切尔西有21次射门没有进球，这是自2010-11赛季1 / 4决赛首回合对阵曼联(也是21次)以来，切尔西在欧冠淘汰赛中射门次数最多的一次。这是他们进攻状态不好的明显信号。

自从9月中旬格雷厄姆·波特从托马斯·图赫尔手中接管切尔西以来，蓝军在27场正式比赛中输掉的场次与赢下的场次相同(10场)。他们的进球数和失球数相同(26球)。周六，他们在斯坦福桥1-0战胜利兹联，这是他们自1月15日以来的第一场比赛胜利，此前他们在6场比赛中3平3负，总进球数仅为1球。

寻找一名经常进球的球员是波特的切尔西的主要问题，凯·哈弗茨(5个)是这27场比赛中唯一进球超过3个的球员，拉希姆·斯特林，梅森·芒特和皮埃尔·埃默里克·奥巴梅扬都进了3个球，周六对阵利兹联的制胜球韦斯利·福法纳梅开二度。

在2022-23赛季的欧冠联赛中，切尔西在E组领先意大利豪门米兰、萨尔茨堡红牛和萨格勒布迪纳摩，他们唯一的一场失利是在克罗地亚首都的首场比赛中。

另一方面，多特蒙德以出色的状态进入这场比赛，这是自2021年8月以来首次在正式比赛中取得10连胜。如果他们赢得这场比赛，这将是他们自2015年9月(11连胜)托马斯·图赫尔执教以来，在各项赛事中取得的最好成绩;一个曾执教过这两家俱乐部的人。

整个2023年，多特蒙德是唯一一支在比赛中取得100%胜率的球队(10/10)。相比之下，切尔西在各项赛事的12场比赛中只赢了2场。

在2022年世界杯之后，BVB在球队中分享了进球，在这10场比赛中，至少有11名不同的进球者:朱利安·勃兰特(4球)，卡里姆·阿德耶米(4球)，乔瓦尼·雷纳(3球)，马可·罗伊斯(3球)尼科·斯洛特贝克(2球)，杰米·拜诺-吉滕斯(2球)，埃姆雷·詹(2球)朱利安·里尔森，裘德·贝灵汉，东耶尔·马伦和Sébastien哈勒都进了球。

多特蒙德首回合1-0战胜阿森纳(2-0)，这是自2014年9月以来，多特蒙德在欧冠联赛中首次战胜英格兰球队，结束了在欧冠联赛中连续9场对阵英格兰俱乐部的比赛(D1 L8)。

此外，在赢得首回合比赛后，BVB在UCL比赛中取得了稳定的战绩，在赢得两场比赛的首场比赛后，他们在之前的六场淘汰赛中取得了五场比赛的胜利，除了他们在2019-20赛季的16强比赛中被巴黎圣日耳曼淘汰。尽管如此，他们很少能赢得UCL淘汰赛的两回合比赛，自1996-97赛季以来就没有这样做过。那一年，他们在四分之一决赛(对阵欧塞尔)和半决赛(对阵曼联)的两回合比赛中都取得了胜利，并首次也是唯一一次举起了欧冠奖杯。

我们必须记住，多特蒙德在g组排名第二，落后于曼城，晋级16强。他们在小组赛中积9分，是所有晋级16强的球队中最低的，但仍然足以排在西甲塞维利亚和哥本哈根之前。他们在小组中唯一的一场失利是在伊蒂哈德球场对阵曼城，他们一直领先到第80分钟，直到约翰斯通斯和前前锋埃尔林哈兰德的进球扭转了比赛。

考虑到目前的状态，波罗西亚看起来势不可挡，而切尔西踢得非常不规律，最近的成绩缺乏稳定性，我认为BVB完全可以在这里出线，避免一场失败。