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The best Ligue 1 prediction!

2023-03-05

比赛分析

法甲

已完赛

星期日2023-03-05 20:00

解读理由

A lot of games in the French Ligue 1 are going to be on Sunday and the 1st match of the day will be between Troyes and Monaco. After 25 games, Troyes has 4 wins, 7 draws, 14 losses, a total of 19 points and the 19th place (relegation) while Monaco has 15 wins, 5 draws, 5 losses, a total of 50 points and the 4th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Monaco will win.

It has been a disastrous stretch for Troyes. Since January 11th, the team has lost 7 games and drew 1. They got the only point more than a month ago against Lens although Troyes xG was 1.25 and the opponents had 2.94. Overall this season at home, Troyes has 1 win and 7 draws in 12 games, with a total of 12 goals scored and 18 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.45 goals at home (8th worst) and concede 1.76 (2nd worst).

Monaco had a very good stretch with 4 wins in a row in all tournaments but now they have lost 2 games in a row. They lost to Bayer 04 in the UEFA Europa League game and ended their international season which was followed by a loss to Nice at home. Interesting that both losses were at home but on the road, they have won 3 games in a row in all competitions. Away from home in the Ligue 1, the team has 8 wins in 12 games, with a total of 24 goals scored (3rd best) and 12 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.76 goals (5th best) and concede 1.55 (7th best).

Troyes has some discipline problems because they have received red cards in two games in a row. Mama Balde scored the only goal in the last game but also got 2 yellow cards. Lucien Agoume is also suspended. As for Monaco, Vanderson and Guillermo Maripan are still out while Gelson Martins returned to the lineup.

Troyes won the 1st meeting of the season but it has to be mentioned that Monaco got a red card. Prior to that, Monaco won 5 meetings in a row. Overall, it is clear which team is a favorite. This game is very important for Monaco because they are fighting for a spot in European tournaments. If they win tonight, they will be in the 2nd place and will stay there if Marseille loses. Only the first two places will have a guaranteed Champions League spot so Monaco will be very motivated.


法国甲级联赛的很多比赛都将在周日进行,当天的第一场比赛将在特鲁瓦和摩纳哥之间进行。 25轮过后,特鲁瓦4胜7平14负积19分,排名第19(保级);摩纳哥15胜5平5负积50分,排名第4。在这场比赛中,我预测摩纳哥会赢。

这对特鲁瓦来说是灾难性的一段时期。自1月11日以来,球队7负1平,他们在一个多月前唯一一次拿到积分是在对阵朗斯的比赛中,虽然特鲁瓦xG是1.25分,对手是2.94分。整体本赛季主场,特鲁瓦12场比赛1胜7平,总共打进12球失18球。根据 xG,球队预计将在主场进 1.45 个球(倒数第 8),失球 1.76 个(倒数第 2)。

摩纳哥在所有比赛中取得了4连胜,但现在他们已经连续输掉了2场比赛。他们在欧国联的比赛中输给了拜耳04,结束了他们的比赛。国际赛季之后在主场输给了尼斯。有趣的是,两场失利都是在主场,但在客场,他们在各项赛事中取得了 3 连胜。法甲客场12战8胜,共打进24球(第3名)失12球。根据 xG,球队预计将进 1.76 个球(第 5 名)并失球 1.55 个(第 7 名)。

特鲁瓦因为连续两场比赛吃到红牌,所以纪律上有些问题。 Mama Balde在上一场比赛中打入唯一进球,但也吃到2张黄牌。 Lucien Agoume 也被停赛。摩纳哥方面,范德森和吉列尔莫马里潘仍然缺阵,而热尔松马丁斯则回到了阵容中。

特鲁瓦在本赛季的第一次交锋中获胜,但不得不提的是,摩纳哥吃到了一张红牌。此前,摩纳哥5连胜。总的来说,哪支球队是夺冠热门一目了然。这场比赛对摩纳哥来说非常重要,因为他们正在为欧洲锦标赛的席位而战。如果他们今晚赢了,他们将排在第二位,如果马赛输了,他们将保持在第二位。只有前两个名额才有欧冠席位,所以摩纳哥会很有动力。

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