Cluj vs UTA Arad

Cluj welcome UTA Arad for this Romanian Liga 1 round 28 battle at Stadionul Dr. Constantin Rădulescu in Cluj-Napoca late Thursday evening Beijing time. This league is of slightly lower level as a whole by international standards than many football fans and bettors probably realize.. There is no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the better teams by pure class. They definitely have an edge in all areas of the game. Even so, their season has been a slight disappointment as they are in the second-place in the standings at the moment. They have 56 points to their account and have netted the ball 46 times in this league so far this season. They have allowed 25 goals – and I would have expected them to do a little better defensively.. In this area of the game their edge over UTA Arad is clearly smaller than the betting market probably estimates. Last season Cluj won the championship and anything other than repeating this is unsatisfactory for this very big team by Romanian standards! They do, of course, still have a genuine chance of toppling Farul Constanta, who have taken 61 points so far. I have slightly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my in-depth pre-season analysis. I have, however, been forced to do the same lowering in the power rating for UTA Arad as well. Last season they performed pretty well and finished in 8th place with 40 points in the pocket and had a score difference of 24:20. This season has been more difficult and they are currently in the 15th place in this league with a total of 16 clubs.Even so, I rate them much higher than the betting markets seems to rate them at the moment and would not be shocked if they were to take a point here. Cluj have a 55% chance of taking all three points.

The visitors have grabbed 24 points so far but have been unlucky in quite a few games this season. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 29.24. They have much potential for improvement in all areas of the game. I do trust their often unrated coach to succeed in this. They should pass the ball faster and more accurately near the opponent's goal and also be more creative and less predictable offensively.. Indeed, they have scored just 24 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 28.32. Their defense has, however, been pretty solid, but of course the decline in this area of the game from last season is pretty big.. They have allowed 36 goals so far. I expect them to be very defensive, even cautious here. I see the match is slightly more low-scoring than the bookies do. This suits the recommended bet +1.5 goals on UTA Arad well. All they have to do is to avoid losing by more than one goal's difference! The probability for this is 71%. Let's remember that they have not lost any of their most recent 10 matches by more than one goal's margin! They played well in their most recent match despite losing to Farul Constante 0-1 at home. UTA Arad had 54% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks than the visitors who were, of course, the favorites in this game. Cluj have not fully convinced me in February despite beating Petrolul in their latest game 5-2 away from home as very clear favorites – priced around 1.70 to win by the bookmakers. Yes, they were the better team but the final score massively flatters them! The ball possession was 50-50% and the hosts recorded 12 goal attempts – Cluj's number was only moderately higher - 16. Cluj have lost three of their most recent six games – even failing to score in four of these six matches! Cluj will surely have to work hard against the visitors who must be hugely motivated by the threat of relegation!

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

北京时间周四晚些时候，克卢日欢迎UTA Arad参加在克卢日纳波卡举行的罗马尼亚甲级联赛第28轮比赛。按照国际标准，这个联赛的整体水平略低于许多球迷和投注者可能意识到的水平。毫无疑问，从级别上看，东道主是更好的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势。即便如此，他们的赛季还是有点令人失望，因为他们目前在积分榜上排名第二。他们已经得到56分，本赛季到目前为止，他们已经在联赛中进球46次。他们已经丢了25个球，我本希望他们在防守端能做得更好一些。在这方面的比赛中，他们对UTA阿拉德的优势显然小于博彩市场可能的估计。上赛季克卢日赢得了冠军，以罗马尼亚的标准来看，这支非常强大的球队除了重复冠军之外，任何事情都不能令人满意!当然，他们仍然有机会击败目前已经拿到61分的法鲁-康斯坦察。从我的季前赛深度分析中，我稍微降低了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。然而，我也不得不在UTA Arad的功率等级上做同样的降低。上赛季他们表现得相当不错，以40分的成绩排在第8位，比分差为24:20。本赛季更加艰难，他们目前在联赛16支球队中排名第15位。即便如此，我对他们的评级远高于博彩市场目前似乎对他们的评级，如果他们在这一点上有所斩获，我也不会感到震惊。克鲁日有55%的几率拿下这三分。

客队到目前为止已经拿到了24分，但本赛季在相当多的比赛中运气不佳。事实上，他们的期望点数(xPTS)是29.24。他们在比赛的各个方面都有很大的提升潜力。我相信他们的教练能在这方面取得成功。他们应该在对手球门附近更快、更准确地传球，同时在进攻端更有创造力、更不可预测。事实上，他们只进了24个球，但他们的预期进球数(xG)是28.32个。然而，他们的防守一直都很稳固，但当然了，他们在防守方面的表现与上赛季相比有了很大的下降。到目前为止，他们已经失球36个。我预计他们会非常谨慎，甚至非常谨慎。我认为这场比赛的得分比博彩公司的要低一些。这适合UTA阿拉德的推荐投注+1.5个目标。他们所要做的就是避免输掉超过一个球的差距!这个的概率是71%让我们记住，在最近的10场比赛中，他们从未以超过1球的差距输球!他们在最近的比赛中表现出色，尽管在主场0-1输给了法鲁·康斯坦特。UTA Arad拥有54%的控球率，记录了更多的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、攻击次数和危险攻击，当然，客队是这场比赛的热门。克鲁日在2月份的比赛中并没有完全说服我，尽管他们在最近的一场客场比赛中以5-2击败了佩罗卢，这是非常明显的热门——博彩公司对获胜的定价大约是1.70美元。是的，他们是更好的球队，但最终的比分大大恭维了他们!控球率是50% -50%，东道主有12次射门尝试——克卢日的数字只是略高——16次。克卢日在最近的6场比赛中输掉了3场，甚至在这6场比赛中有4场没有进球!克鲁日一定要在面对面临降级威胁的客队时加倍努力!