In my opinion Grimsby have really good chances to avoid big loss in this game. +1.5 AH on away side looks like safe option to play.

Grimsby this is huge game, they have a chance to get qualification into quarterfinals of FA Cup for the first time since 1939! For sure motivation is on the highest possible level. They coming for this game in good form - in last away match they won against Northampton (4th in their league). At the weekend they played at home against leaders of the table Leyton Orient. Match finished with draw 2:2, but Grimsby deserved for something more: expected goals scored for Grimsby 2.22, for Leyton 0.73. Today we will see on the pitch all their key players like Holohan (best player according to the ratings), Clifton (best scorer), Driscoll-Glennon (best assistant) or McAtee. Their coach Paul Hurst said: "We're getting into real dream territory. We're going to need luck and everyone performing to their maximum. It's a showcase for all the players and for the club as a whole. We've got to try and enjoy it because it might not come around again for some time. This could be a once in a career opportunity for a lot of the players."

On the other hand Southampton is in horrible form, already twice changed coach in current season. FA Cup for sure is not their priority as they are on the last position in Premier League table.. I expect big rotation today because upcoming league matches are extremely important. Coach Selles said: "Of course we will make some changes if you compare it to the last two games."

Southampton is still fav, but I see bigger chances for guests than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds. Grimsby will give absolutely everything and that should be very hard nut to crack for hosts.

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在我看来，格里姆斯比在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免大的损失。客场+1.5 AH看起来是安全的选择。

格里姆斯比这是一场重要的比赛，他们有机会自1939年以来首次进入足总杯四分之一决赛!当然，动机是最高层次的。他们以良好的状态来参加这场比赛——在上一场客场比赛中他们赢了北安普顿(联赛第四)。周末他们在主场迎战积分榜领头羊莱顿东方。比赛以2:2的平局结束，但格里姆斯比值得更多的东西:格里姆斯比的预期进球数为2.22，莱顿为0.73。今天我们将在球场上看到他们所有的关键球员，如霍罗汉(收视率最佳球员)，克利夫顿(最佳得分手)，德里斯科尔-格伦农(最佳助教)或麦卡特。他们的教练保罗·赫斯特说:“我们正在进入真正的梦想领域。我们需要运气，每个人都要发挥出最大的能力。这是对所有球员和整个俱乐部的一次展示。我们必须试着享受它，因为它可能在一段时间内不会再次出现。对很多球员来说，这可能是一个千载难逢的机会。”

另一方面，南安普顿的状态很糟糕，本赛季已经换了两次教练。足总杯当然不是他们的首要任务，因为他们在英超积分榜上排在最后。我希望今天有大的轮换，因为接下来的联赛非常重要。塞勒斯教练说:“当然，如果和前两场比赛相比，我们会做出一些改变。”

南安普顿仍然是最受欢迎的，但我认为客人的机会比博彩公司给我们的赔率要大。格里姆斯比绝对会付出一切，这对东道主来说应该是非常困难的。