I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the latest odds movements and the most possible line ups for today's match up.

Odds on Millwall slashed down by 0.15 in last 2 hours on big Asian markets with the highest possible limits and I fully agree with this trend.

Both teams are involved in fight to get promotion into Premier League at the end of the season so I expect very tight match. For sure the most important thing is to avoid loss here.

It's hard to see big difference between both teams - both with the same amount of points. Millwall looks better in expected goals scored table (1 goals more), Luton looks better in expected goals conceded model (2 goals less).

Both teams also with very strong line ups.

Where I see advantage for Millwall? Luton don't likes to play under the pressure, they simply not delivering on those circumstances. They failed to win in 11 of 16 home league matches.

Guests loves to play at Kenilworth as they didn't lost in last 5 consecutive matches at this stadium.

Millwall didn't lost in 7 of last 8 matches against Luton and they have all required tools to continue this streak also today.

Luton is in worse form, no doubt about that. They failed to win in 4 of last 5 matches. They won on away against Birmingham, but that wasn't convincing at all: expected goals scored for Luton 1.12, for Birmingham 0.79.

Millwall is in better form, they lost only once in last 7 matches - after close game on away against Coventry. In last round they won against Stoke on the road so team is full of confidence.