In my opinion Blackburn have really good chances to avoid big loss in today's match up. +1.5 AH looks like very safe bet to play.

Leicester plays very poor season, they are only 14th place in league table and failed to win in 9 of 12 home league matches. According to the expected goals scored model they should be even lower. They scored 36 goals, but created chances to score only 28.9. They have second-worst defensive formation in whole league, only Fulham have higher expected goals conceded number.

Leicester coming here with confidence on very low level as they lost last two consecutive matches and failed to score twice. In addition to that their best player in current season (according to the ratings) Maddison missed last game and is very doubtful today (he is also best scorer and best assistant..). Second-best player Tielemans is unavailable.

Blackburn coming here without any fear - they didn't lost in last 9 matches in a row in all competitions. They won last 3 consecutive matches. At the weekend Blackburn won 3:1 on the road against QPR so for sure their confidence is on the highest possible level.

On those circumstances I see value on away side. Blackburn have bigger chances than bookies wants to suggest for us in their odds.

在我看来，布莱克本很有机会在今天的比赛中避免大败。布莱克本看起来是非常安全的赌注。

莱斯特本赛季表现非常糟糕，他们在联赛中仅排名第14位，并且在12场主场联赛中有9场未能获胜。根据预期进球得分模型，他们应该更低。他们进了36个球，但创造机会的次数只有28.9次。他们拥有全联盟第二差的防守阵型，只有富勒姆的预期失球数更高。

莱斯特以非常低的水平来到这里，因为他们连续输掉了最后两场比赛并且未能得分两次。除了他们本赛季的最佳球员（根据收视率）之外，麦迪逊错过了上一场比赛并且今天非常值得怀疑（他也是最佳得分手和最佳助攻..）。第二好的球员蒂勒曼斯无法上场。

布莱克本毫无畏惧地来到这里——他们在所有比赛中连续 9 场比赛没有输球。他们最近3连胜火柴。周末布莱克本客场 3:1 战胜女王公园巡游者，所以他们的信心肯定是最高的。

在那种情况下，我看到了客队的价值。布莱克本的机会比机构想为我们建议的数据更大。