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BIG value in Eredivisie! 荷甲 福图纳VS费耶诺德

2023-02-26

比赛分析

荷甲

已完赛

星期日2023-02-26 19:15

解读理由

On Sunday, games in the Netherlands Eredivisie are going to start early. The first match is going to be between Fortuna and Feyenoord. After 22 games played, Fortuna has 7 wins, 5 draws, 10 losses, a total of 26 points and the 11th place while Feyenoord has 14 wins, 7 draws, 1 loss, a total of 49 points and the 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Feyenoord is going to win.

8 games have been played in the tournament since the restart of the season. Fortuna has 3 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Out of the 3 wins, only one was against the team which is higher in the standings than Fortuna and that is Heerenveen (8th). Both draws were also at home and the opponents were decent. Fortuna was very lucky in the game against PSV Eindhoven (4th). The hosts received a red card, and were down by 1:2 but scored in the last minute although opponents had 4 times more shots on target. The 2nd draw was against Sparta (6th). Overall this season, Fortuna has 3 wins, 3 draws, 5 losses at home, a total of 13 goals scored and 16 conceded. They have just 12 points at home which is 4th worst result. Per xG, Fortuna is expected to score 1.61 in front of their fans and concede 2.00 (the worst).

Feyenoord hasn't lost a single game since the restart. The team has won 4 games and draw 4 in the championship as well as won 2 games in the cup. Although they have 4 draws, all have been against TOP7 teams. On the road, Feyenoord is one of the best with 7 wins in 11 games, with a total of 26 goals scored (2nd best) and 14 conceded. Per xG, Feyenoord is expected to score 2.17 goals on the road (2nd best) and concede 1.43 (3rd best).

The only loss for Fortuna is going to be Ximo Navarro who has missed the last 4 games. The biggest loss for Feyenoord is missing the main goalkeeper Justin Bijlow who has missed the last 3 games although the team has won 2 of them. Sebastian Szymanski has also been out for the last 3 games.

The first meeting of the season between both teams ended with a 1:1 draw. Fortuna was lucky to secure a point because Feyenoord was dominating - they had 33 shots overall (Fortuna - 4), and 11 shots were on target (Fortuna - 1). In the last 7 meetings, Feyenoord has won 6 times including 3 wins on the road. At this stage of the season, Feyenoord can't afford to lose points because the 2nd best team Ajax is only 3 points behind. Feyenoord is a much better team and should win.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日,荷甲联赛的比赛将提前开始。第一场比赛将在福尔图纳和费耶诺德之间进行。经过22场比赛,福尔图纳取得7胜5平10负,积26分,排名第11位;费耶诺德取得14胜7平1负,积49分,排名第1位。在这场比赛中,我预测费耶诺德会赢。


自本赛季重新开始以来,该锦标赛已经进行了8场比赛。福尔图纳有3胜2平3负。在3场胜利中,只有一场是对阵排名高于Fortuna的球队,那就是Heerenveen(第8名)。两场平局都是在主场进行的,对手实力不错。福尔图纳在对阵埃因霍温(第四)的比赛中非常幸运。东道主得到一张红牌,虽然落后1:2,但在最后一分钟取得了进球,尽管对手的射正次数是对手的4倍。第二场平局是对阵斯巴达(第六场)。本赛季,福尔图纳在主场取得3胜3平5负的成绩,共进13球失16球。他们在主场仅积12分,排名倒数第四。根据xG的预测,福尔图纳在他们的球迷面前只能得1.61分,丢2.00分(最差)。


自重启以来,费耶诺德没有输过一场比赛。球队在联赛中取得4胜4平,在杯赛中取得2胜。虽然他们有4场平局,但都是对阵世界排名前7的球队。在客场,费耶诺德是最好的球队之一,11场比赛7胜,总共打入26球(第二好),丢14球。根据xG,费耶诺德预计在客场打进2.17球(第二好),失球1.43球(第三好)。


福尔图纳唯一的损失是西莫·纳瓦罗,他错过了最近4场比赛。费耶诺德最大的损失是失去了主力门将贾斯汀·比杰罗,他缺席了最近3场比赛,尽管球队赢了其中的2场。塞巴斯蒂安·希曼斯基也缺席了最近3场比赛。


本赛季两队的第一次交锋以1:1的平局结束。福图纳很幸运地拿到了一分,因为费耶诺德很有统治力——他们总共有33次射门(福图纳- 4),11次射正(福图纳- 1)。在过去7次交锋中,费耶诺德赢了6场,其中3场是客场赢。在赛季的这个阶段,费耶诺德不能丢分,因为排名第二的阿贾克斯只落后3分。费耶诺德是一支更好的球队,应该赢。

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