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The best Saturday football pick! 意甲 恩波利VS那不勒斯

2023-02-25

比赛分析

意甲

已完赛

星期日2023-02-26 01:00

解读理由

In the Italian Serie A, only two games are going to be played on Saturday but one of them is going to be between Empoli and Napoli. After 23 games played, Empoli has 6 wins, 10 draws, 7 losses, a total of 28 points and the 12th place while Napoli has 20 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss, a total of 62 points and the 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Napoli is going to win.

Empoli has played well since the restart of the season. The team has played 8 games, winning 2 games, drawing 5, and losing 1. At the same time, we can say that Empoli has been kinda lucky because in 5 games the opponents had a better xG. In the win against Inter, the opponents received a red card but still had a better xG overall. At home this season, Empoli has 4 wins and 4 draws in 11 games, a total of 12 goals scored (4th worst) and 12 conceded. Per xG, Empoli is expected to score 1.51 goals at home and concede 1.86 (2nd worst).

Napoli is having a dream season. The team lost the 1st game after the break to Inter but since then have won 7 Serie A games in a row. They lost to Cremonese in the Italian Cup though but the latest victory was in the Champions league TOP16 1st game in Eintracht (2:0) where they dominated and had an xG of 2.87. Napoli has been a real power on the road this season with 10 wins in 12 games, a total of 25 goals scored (the best) and only 7 conceded (the best). Per xG, Napoli is expected to score 1.94 goals on the road (the best) and concede 1.16 (the best).

Fabiano Parisi will be back for Empoli after missing the last game due to a red card while Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro and Filippo Bandinelli won't play due to too many yellow cards. There are no new injury concerns for Napoli but there could be some changes because it's going to be their 3rd game in 8 days. At the same time, Napoli is playing too well right now and I don't see a chance for Empoli. Napoli has conceded only 1 time on the road this year while scoring 9. Overall, Napoli has conceded only 3 times in the Serie A in 2023 and scored 19, and they should win easily on Saturday.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

意甲联赛周六只有两场比赛,其中一场是恩波利和那不勒斯之间的比赛。经过23场比赛,恩波利6胜10平7负,积28分,排名第12;那不勒斯20胜2平1负,积62分,排名第1。在这场比赛中,我预测那不勒斯会赢。

恩波利自赛季开始以来表现不错。球队打了8场比赛,2胜5平1负。与此同时,我们可以说恩波利有点幸运,因为在5场比赛中对手有一个更好的xG。在战胜国米的比赛中,对手吃了一张红牌,但总体上还是有一个更好的xG。本赛季在主场,恩波利11场比赛4胜4平,共进12球(倒数第4)丢12球。根据xG,恩波利预计在主场进1.51球,丢1.86球(倒数第二)。

那不勒斯正在经历一个梦幻的赛季。球队在中场休息后第一场比赛输给了国米,但从那以后他们已经连续赢了7场意甲比赛。虽然他们在意大利杯上输给了克雷莫纳斯,但最近的胜利是在欧洲冠军联赛TOP16的第一场比赛中(2:0),他们统治了比赛,xG为2.87。那不勒斯本赛季在客场取得了12场比赛的10场胜利,总共进了25球(最好),只有7球(最好)。根据xG,那不勒斯预计在客场打进1.94球(最好),丢1.16球(最好)。

法比亚诺·帕里西将在因红牌缺席上一场比赛后重返恩波利,而让-丹尼尔·阿克帕·阿克普罗和菲利波·班迪内利将因为太多黄牌而缺席比赛。那不勒斯没有新的伤病问题,但可能会有一些变化,因为这将是他们8天内的第三场比赛。与此同时,那不勒斯现在踢得太好了,我不认为恩波利有机会。那不勒斯今年在客场只丢了1次球,进了9球。总的来说,那不勒斯在2023年的意甲联赛中只丢了3次球,进了19球,他们应该会在周六轻松获胜。

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