On paper the odds for this asian handicap look rather correct, but as Bournemouth still do not pass the eye test despite a few new relatively good player signings I am forced to have a bet here for Newcastle -1.5 asian handicap, even if they are away.

Newcastle are in top-4 and deservedly so by all statics, they have lost only one game this season, it was back in August away at Liverpool by 2-1.

All in all their away game saldo is 4-5-1, which might make you wonder if it is wise to back them to win away, but the thing is that when they win they do it in style, and as they face the leagues weakest team this makes sense.

The 4 wins away are 1-4, 1-4, 0-3 vs midtable or bottom teams, at Tottenham they only won by 1-2.

The 5 away draws are against top teams Arsenal, Man United, Brighton, Palace - all miraculously 0-0! - and 1-1 at Wolves. It has to noted that 4 of the matches were on 2022, the last was early January at Arsenal.

Extremely tough games and it is probable that with a better fixture list for this latter half of the season Newcastle results only improve.

There was no need for new signings at Newcastle and they did not go shopping. On the injury list there are only a few players, and only the suspension of Guimaraes has some importance.

I discussed Bournemouth last round, but the results and the xG-data tell pretty much everything there is to know.

Yes, they did sign a few quality players but the roster remains weak, and I am not at all sure Vina and Traore are good enough to lift them from relegation zone.

In short, I base the big win on the huge quality class and form.

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本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

理论上，这个亚洲障碍的赔率看起来相当正确，但由于伯恩茅斯仍然没有通过视力测试，尽管新签了一些相对优秀的球员，我不得不在这里打赌纽卡斯尔-1.5亚洲障碍，即使他们客场。

纽卡斯尔排在前四，从所有数据来看，他们本赛季只输了一场比赛，那是在8月份客场2-1输给利物浦。

总而言之，他们的客场战术是4-5-1，这可能会让你怀疑支持他们在客场取胜是否明智，但问题是，当他们赢球时，他们表现得很有风格，因为他们面对的是联赛最弱的球队，这是有道理的。

客场4胜分别是1-4、1-4、0-3对中游或垫底球队，对热刺他们只赢了1-2。

5个客场平局的对手是顶级球队阿森纳，曼联，布莱顿，宫殿——都是奇迹般地0-0!- 1-1战平狼队。值得一提的是，其中4场比赛是在2022年，最后一场是1月初在阿森纳的比赛。

非常艰苦的比赛，很有可能在下半赛季有一个更好的赛程，纽卡斯尔的成绩只会有所提高。

纽卡斯尔不需要新援，他们也没有去采购。伤兵名单上只有少数球员，只有吉马良斯的停赛有一定的重要性。

我在上一轮讨论了伯恩茅斯，但结果和xg数据几乎告诉了我们所有可以知道的事情。

是的，他们确实签下了一些有实力的球员，但阵容仍然很弱，我不确定维纳和特劳雷是否足够好，可以让他们脱离降级区。

总而言之，我的大胜建立在高质量和状态上。

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