Sunderland VS Fulham

Sunderland and Fulham lock horns in this English FA cup 1/16-finals 2nd leg battle at Stadium of Light early Thursday morning Beijing time. Fulham play in Premier League and Sunderland compete in the Championship, the second tier. There is a massive difference between the teams in terms of pure class. They are having a terrific season and currently occupy the 8th place in the standings with a very good number of points – 32 – to be precise. They have, however, grabbed more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS). They have take more points than very big clubs Chelsea, who recently sent hundreds of millions of euros on new players, and Liverpool, the UEFA Champions League finalists from 2022! I can admit that I did not expect them to be this good this season – I do not think anyone – even their own fans did. I have, as result, significantly raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my sophisticated in-depth preseason analysis. It seems to bookmakers, however, still do not respect them more. FA is the most prestigious English Cup competition but is still not the main priority for either team. Some squad rotition by both teams' managers would not be a surprise but I do expect the players to be motivated!

Second-choice goalkeeper Marek Rodak is expected to come in for Bernd Leno between the sticks. Fulham's super dangerous striker Aleksandar Mitrovic could lead the line after being named on the bench for the previous meeting. It was a 1-1 draw on the 28th January in London. However, I want to highlight that Fulham would have deserved a win. They had 69% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, total passes, completed passes, attacks (125-69) and dangerous attacks - 63-33. Before this Fulham were unlucky to lose to Tottenham, a very dangerous team, currently in 5th place. Tottenham even beat Manchester City 1-0 on Sunday. Fulham created 1.24 in expected goals (xG) - Tottenham's number was just 0.89. Moreover, Fulham recorded more shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. In their most recent match Fulham took a point away from home as clear underdogs against Chelsea. It was a goalless draw but Chelsea did record in xG. However, I liked the way Fulham played – especially in terms of defense. They are offered odds of around 1.75-1.80 to win during 90 minutes of play at the time of writing this Tuesday evening Beijing time. These odds are definitely too high. In my view their chance is 62-63%. I expect the odds to most probably drop before the kickoff though – unless some surprising info about the lineups comes up. Sunderland currently occupy the 9th place with 42 points and are from the top even in the Championship..

According to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Sunderland's players have a total market value of 45.65 million euros. In my view this is slightly too much .. I would set the number at around 40 million euros.. In their most recent match the hosts did not impress me despite taking a point away from home against Millwall who recorded more goal attempts (14-5) as well as attacks. Sunderland's offense was lame in this match and they only recorded one shot on goal. Fulham's players have a total market value of a whopping 252.50 million which is still too low in my opinion! At least four players are under-valued.. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a pretty good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one.. The sharp bookmakers, football journalists/analysts and particularly professional football bettors pay increasingly more attention to teams' total market values these days.. However, if two players are equally capable and one of them is 23 years old and the other one is 33, the younger one is, of course, much more valuable.. For example, fresh World Champion Leo Messi or Barcelona's Polish super star Robert Lewandowski do not have even close to the largest current market value despite being top-8 players on the planet! Furthermore, for example super-promising Englishman Jude Bellingham, just 19 years old, has a clearly higher market value than the legendary super stars Messi or Lewadowski at the moment.. Sunderland will be missing the injured duo of Corry Evans and Ross Stewart for the rest of the season. Lynden Gooch and Elliot Embleton are expected to remain sidelined for a long time as well. Jack Clarke has produced a goal and assist in his last two FA Cup appearances but I think he is an overrated guy.. Amad Diallo will surely not struggle to score against a very strong opponent.. "The Black Cats" have a busy winter transfer window. Indeed, the hosts made three permanent signings and one loan move - Joe Gelhardt from Leeds but I think these okay players do not make a big difference here..Fulham, on the other hand, have not informed about any fresh injury problems ahead of Wednesday's .Neeskens Kebano is still out due to a ruptured achilles.

北京时间周四凌晨，桑德兰和富勒姆在光明球场举行的这场英格兰足总杯1/16决赛第2回合的较量中势均力敌。富勒姆参加英超联赛，桑德兰参加第二级别的英冠联赛。就纯阶级而言，两队之间存在巨大差异。他们度过了一个很棒的赛季，目前以非常高的积分——准确地说是 32 分——排名积分榜第 8 位。然而，他们获得的分数超过了预期分数 (xPTS) 应得的分数。他们获得的积分比最近为新球员支付数亿欧元的大俱乐部切尔西和 2022 年欧洲冠军联赛决赛入围者利物浦还要多！我可以承认，我没想到他们这个赛季会这么好——我认为没有人——甚至他们自己的球迷也这么认为。因此，根据我复杂深入的季前赛分析，我显着提高了他们的实力等级，这反映了球队的纯等级。它然而，在博彩公司看来，他们仍然不太尊重他们。足协是最负盛名的英格兰杯比赛，但仍然不是任何一支球队的主要优先事项。两支球队的经理轮换阵容并不令人意外，但我确实希望球员们能够积极主动！

预计二号门将马雷克罗达克将替补贝恩德雷诺上场。富勒姆的超级危险前锋亚历山大·米特罗维奇在上次会议被任命为替补队员后可能会领先。这是 1 月 28 日在伦敦举行的 1-1 平局。但是，我想强调的是，富勒姆本应获得一场胜利。他们拥有 69% 的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、总传球、完成传球、进攻 (125-69) 和危险进攻 - 63-33。此前富勒姆不幸输给了热刺，这是一支非常危险的球队，目前排名第5。托特纳姆甚至在周日以 1-0 击败曼城。富勒姆创造了 1.24 个预期进球 (xG) - 托特纳姆热刺的数字仅为 0.89。此外，富勒姆记录了更多的射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。在最近的一场比赛中，富勒姆客场拿下一分，明显处于对切尔西的劣势。这是一场互交白卷，但切尔西确实在 xG 中取得了进球。然而，我喜欢富勒姆的比赛方式——尤其是在防守方面。在北京时间周二晚上撰写本文时，他们在 90 分钟的比赛中获胜的赔率约为 1.75-1.80。这些几率绝对是太高了。在我看来，他们的机会是 62-63%。不过，我预计开球前赔率很可能会下降——除非出现一些关于阵容的令人惊讶的信息。桑德兰目前积42分排在第9位，即使在英冠也是遥遥领先。

根据德国一家非常知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，桑德兰的球员总市值为4565万欧元。在我看来，这有点太多了。我会将这个数字定在 4000 万欧元左右。在他们最近的比赛中，东道主并没有给我留下深刻印象，尽管他们在客场对阵米尔沃尔时取得了进球，米尔沃尔的进球次数更多（14- 5）以及攻击。桑德兰本场比赛进攻乏力，只有1次射正。富勒姆的球员总市值高达2.525亿，在我看来还是太低了！至少有四名球员被低估了。当然，总市值有时会产生误导，但它仍然是球队在球场上实际行动水平的一个很好的指标。足球（球员）市场是，在全部，一个全球性的。敏锐的博彩公司、足球记者/分析师，尤其是职业足球博彩玩家越来越关注球队的表现这些天的总市值.. 但是，如果两名球员的能力相当，其中一名 23 岁，另一名 33 岁，那么年轻的当然更有价值.. 例如，新的世界冠军 Leo梅西或巴塞罗那的波兰超级巨星罗伯特莱万多夫斯基即使是这个星球上排名前 8 的球员，也没有接近当前最大的市值！此外，例如年仅19岁的超级有前途的英国人裘德贝林汉姆，目前的市场价值明显高于传奇巨星梅西或莱瓦多夫斯基。桑德兰将缺席受伤的科里埃文斯和罗斯斯图尔特二人组。本赛季剩下的时间。 Lynden Gooch 和 Elliot Embleton 预计也将长期缺阵。杰克克拉克在他最近两场足总杯比赛中都有进球和助攻，但我认为他是一个被高估的人。阿马德迪亚洛肯定不会在面对一个非常强大的对手时难以进球。“黑猫队”度过了一个忙碌的冬天转会窗口。事实上，东道主签下了三笔永久性签约和一次租借——来自利兹联的乔盖尔哈特，但我认为这些还不错的球员在这里并没有太大的不同。另一方面，富勒姆在周三的比赛之前没有通知任何新的伤病问题.Neeskens Kebano 由于跟腱断裂仍缺席。