In my opinion Leverkusen have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.

Leverkusen coming here with good mental advantage as they won 3 of last 4 matches at this stadium. In overall Leverkusen have really solid record against Augsburg as they won 15 of last 24 matches against them.

Leverkusen today will start with almost best possible line up, only midfielder Aranguiz is unavailable. On the other hand Augsburg is without key midfielder Vargas, important midfielder Hahn and best scorer Demirovic. In addition to that key Iago is doubtful. It's huge blow and should have very bad impact on their performance today.

Augsburg in current season scored 23 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 20.3. I see problems with goalscoring today, especially without Demirovic. On the other hand Leverkusen looks better at the back than their results shows - they conceded 30 goals, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede 24.4.

Augsburg is really unstable at the back - in last round they conceded 3 goals against Freiburg and they conceded already 33 goals in current season. According to the expected goals conceded model only Bochum have worse defensive formation than hosts of today's match. Leverkusen in last round played against strong Dortmund. They failed to score, but they looked really dangerous as they had 21 shots and 1.70 expected goals scored. I believe guests have all required tools to score more than one goal today and that should be enough to make 3 points.

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在我看来，勒沃库森有很大的机会在今天的比赛中拿到3分。

勒沃库森带着良好的心理优势来到这里，他们在这个球场赢得了过去4场比赛中的3场。总的来说，勒沃库森对奥格斯堡的战绩非常不错，他们在过去24场比赛中赢了15场。

勒沃库森今天的首发阵容几乎是最好的，只有中场阿兰圭兹无法上场。另一方面，奥格斯堡缺少了关键中场巴尔加斯，重要中场哈恩和最佳射手德米罗维奇。除了那把钥匙，伊阿古也不确定。这是一个巨大的打击，应该会对他们今天的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

奥格斯堡本赛季打进23球，但根据预期进球数模型，他们应该打进20.3球。我看到了今天的进球问题，尤其是德米罗维奇不在的时候。另一方面，勒沃库森的后防线看起来比他们的结果要好——他们丢了30个球，但根据预期丢球模型，他们应该丢24.4个球。

奥格斯堡的后防线真的很不稳定——上轮他们对弗赖堡丢了3球，本赛季他们已经丢了33球。根据预期失球模型，只有波鸿的防守阵型比今天的东道主更差。勒沃库森在上一轮对阵强队多特蒙德。他们没有进球，但他们看起来真的很危险，因为他们有21次射门和1.70个预期进球数。我相信客人们今天已经有了所有必要的工具来进一个以上的球，这应该足够得到3分了。