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芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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11/12 latest WON in Ligue 2!

2023-02-03

比赛分析

主队勒阿弗尔LOGO

勒阿弗尔

法乙

已完赛

星期六2023-02-04 03:45

客队巴黎FCLOGO

巴黎FC

解读理由

Le Havre vs Paris FC


Le Havre welcome Paris for this French Ligue 2 round 22 clash at Stade Océane early Saturday morning Beijing time. The biggest, mostly rather smart bookmakers with the largest betting limits seem to make quite a few mistakes with their odds on Ligue 2 matches and this match is no exception! Odds of around 1.90 are widely available on Le Havre to send the visitors home empty-handed! That is clearly too much and I would expect the odds to go down a bit unless new information on absentent players appears before the kickoff.. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Le Havre have a 59% chance to win this battle. They have a substantial edge in all areas of the game! The biggest difference is in defensive quality. Indeed, the hosts have allowed just nine goals so far in this league! Bordaux, a big team with a great history in Ligue 1, have conceded the second-lowest number of goals – 16 to be precise.. They have netted the ball 32 times and can improve even furher. They could pass the ball a bit faster near the opponent's goal.. Paris FC, on the other hand, have scored just 18 goals – this is the same number as Niort, the rock-bottom team in Ligue 2. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is a bit higher 19.08.

Le Havre have improved massively from last season and the bookies have clearly failed to realize how good they have been – and are expected to be during the remainder of the season! They top the standings with 46 points to their account and have suffered just one defeat so far in this league! They have a massive margin of 10 points to Sochaux and Bordeaux – currently in second place and third place. Paris FC, on the other hand, are having a disappointing season and are in 13th place with 27 points. I have them in the 14th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class but the bookmakers seem to see them having potential for a clear improvement... Paris FC's defense has been pretty solid though and they have allowed just 23 goals. I expect them to once again be pretty defensive here against a bvery strong opponent. They will probably mainly rely on counter attacks, corner kicks or perhaps a penalty kick to score. However, I would expect to be satisfied with a draw.

In their most recent match Le Havre beat Bordeaux away from home 2-1 as underdogs according to the bookmakers. Yes, they did have some luck on their side but I liked the way they defended and fought as a team! According to my sources they have a very good team spirit. On the 28th of last month they faced a dangerous team Amiens away from home and took a point through 1-1 draw. Let's remember that the home advantage in this league is on average bigger than in many other European football leagues! Le Havre have been very strong in front of their enthusiastic fans and have won 7/10 matches and taken three draws at Stade Océane. Before the games against Bordeaux and Amiens they took two fine home wins over Nimes and Sochaux. Paris FC, on the other hand, have lost three matches in a row in Ligue 2 against mediocre opponents: Pau (0-1), Quevilly Rouen (1-3) and Annecy (0-2). On the 21th of January they did beat Chamalieres 4-0 away from home in a French Cup clash though. Let's remember that the hosts are very small team and play in Nacional 2, fourth tier. Yes, Paris FC deserved the win but the score is still misleading as Chamalieres even recorded more goal attempts – 12-7.The visitors seem to be low in confidence at the moment and their defense has recently been more leaky than early season.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

勒阿弗尔欢迎巴黎参加这场法甲第22轮的比赛Océane北京时间周六凌晨。最大的,大部分相当聪明的博彩公司与最大的投注限制似乎在法甲比赛的赔率上犯了不少错误,这场比赛也不例外!在勒阿弗尔,约1.90的赔率可以让游客空手而归!这显然是太多了,我预计赔率会下降一点,除非在开球前出现关于缺席球员的新消息。根据我的深入分析勒阿弗尔有59%的几率赢得这场战斗。他们在比赛的所有领域都有实质性的优势!最大的不同在于防守质量。事实上,到目前为止,东道主在联赛中只丢了9球!博尔多,一支在法甲有着辉煌历史的豪门球队,丢球数第二低——准确地说是16个。他们已经进球32次,而且还可以进一步提高。他们可以在对方球门附近把球传得快一点。另一方面,巴黎FC只进了18个球——这个数字与法甲垫底的球队尼奥尔特相同。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)略高,为19.08。

勒阿弗尔比上赛季有了很大的进步,博彩公司显然没有意识到他们有多好,而且在本赛季剩余的时间里他们还会这么好!他们以46分高居积分榜首位,到目前为止在联赛中只输过一场比赛!他们与目前排名第二和第三的索肖和波尔多有10分的巨大差距。另一方面,巴黎FC正在经历一个令人失望的赛季,以27分排名第13位。在我的实力评分中,他们排在第14位,这反映了球队的纯粹水平,但博彩公司似乎认为他们有明显提升的潜力……巴黎FC的防守相当稳固,他们只丢了23个球。我希望他们在面对一个非常强大的对手时,能再一次保持防守。他们可能主要依靠反击、角球或点球得分。不过,我希望能以平局收场。

在他们最近的一场比赛中,勒阿弗尔以2:1的比分在客场击败了波尔多。是的,他们确实有一些运气,但我喜欢他们防守的方式,像一个团队一样战斗!根据我的消息来源,他们有很好的团队精神。上个月28日,他们在客场面对危险的亚眠队,并通过1-1战平拿到1分。让我们记住,这个联赛的主场优势平均来说比许多其他欧洲足球联赛都要大!勒阿弗尔在他们热情的球迷面前非常强大,在体育场取得了7/10的胜利和3场平局Océane。在对阵波尔多和亚眠之前,他们在主场赢了尼姆和索肖。另一方面,巴黎FC已经在法甲联赛中连输三场比赛,对手是波城(0-1)、鲁昂(1-3)和安纳西(0-2)。在1月21日的法国杯比赛中,他们在客场4-0击败了Chamalieres。让我们记住,东道主是一支非常小的球队,他们参加的是国家二级联赛,第四梯队。是的,巴黎理应获得胜利,但比分仍然具有误导性,因为Chamalieres甚至记录了更多的进球尝试- 12-7。客队目前似乎信心不足,他们最近的防守比赛季初更有漏洞。

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